Market snapshot: Nov 11, 2026, 6:00 PM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

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Event GroupKALSHIEntertainment

Anselm Kiefer: Melancholia (2005; lot 18) sale price?

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Anselm Kiefer: Melancholia (2005; lot 18) sale price?

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Current odds

Snapshot from Nov 11, 2026, 6:00 PM UTC

As of Nov 11, 2026, 6:00 PM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Kalshi is Above $750K at 58.5%.

Kalshi

Above $750K58.5%
Above $550K56%
Above $500K56%
Above $600K55.5%
Above $650K55%

Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.

Price ChartContract price history

10 markets tracked

Historical observations can differ from current quotes. Kalshi points are hourly trade averages.

Saved prices are comparisons, not executable quotes. A price difference does not establish arbitrage. Check both contracts, live order prices, fees and available size.

Will the realized auction sale price of Melancholia (2005; lot 18) by Anselm Kiefer, as reported by Artnet, be above $750000 during Phillips New York's November 2026 Modern & Contemporary Art Evening Sale (sale NY010726)?

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Single-Platform Markets(10)

Market	Platform	Price
Will the realized auction sale price of Melancholia (2005; lot 18) by Anselm Kiefer, as reported by Artnet, be above $750000 during Phillips New York's November 2026 Modern & Contemporary Art Evening Sale (sale NY010726)?	Kalshi	58.5%
Will the realized auction sale price of Melancholia (2005; lot 18) by Anselm Kiefer, as reported by Artnet, be above $550000 during Phillips New York's November 2026 Modern & Contemporary Art Evening Sale (sale NY010726)?	Kalshi	56.0%
Will the realized auction sale price of Melancholia (2005; lot 18) by Anselm Kiefer, as reported by Artnet, be above $500000 during Phillips New York's November 2026 Modern & Contemporary Art Evening Sale (sale NY010726)?	Kalshi	56.0%
Will the realized auction sale price of Melancholia (2005; lot 18) by Anselm Kiefer, as reported by Artnet, be above $600000 during Phillips New York's November 2026 Modern & Contemporary Art Evening Sale (sale NY010726)?	Kalshi	55.5%
Will the realized auction sale price of Melancholia (2005; lot 18) by Anselm Kiefer, as reported by Artnet, be above $650000 during Phillips New York's November 2026 Modern & Contemporary Art Evening Sale (sale NY010726)?	Kalshi	55.0%
Will the realized auction sale price of Melancholia (2005; lot 18) by Anselm Kiefer, as reported by Artnet, be above $950000 during Phillips New York's November 2026 Modern & Contemporary Art Evening Sale (sale NY010726)?	Kalshi	50.0%
Will the realized auction sale price of Melancholia (2005; lot 18) by Anselm Kiefer, as reported by Artnet, be above $900000 during Phillips New York's November 2026 Modern & Contemporary Art Evening Sale (sale NY010726)?	Kalshi	50.0%
Will the realized auction sale price of Melancholia (2005; lot 18) by Anselm Kiefer, as reported by Artnet, be above $850000 during Phillips New York's November 2026 Modern & Contemporary Art Evening Sale (sale NY010726)?	Kalshi	50.0%
Will the realized auction sale price of Melancholia (2005; lot 18) by Anselm Kiefer, as reported by Artnet, be above $800000 during Phillips New York's November 2026 Modern & Contemporary Art Evening Sale (sale NY010726)?	Kalshi	50.0%
Will the realized auction sale price of Melancholia (2005; lot 18) by Anselm Kiefer, as reported by Artnet, be above $1000000 during Phillips New York's November 2026 Modern & Contemporary Art Evening Sale (sale NY010726)?	Kalshi	41.5%

Rules & Resolution

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AI Analysis

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K 0 contracts

Reported volume · provider units

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Same-question pairs

Source snapshot: Nov 11, 2026, 6:00 PM UTC

About This Event

during Phillips New York's November 2026 Modern & Contemporary Art Evening Sale (sale NY010726) If the sale price including buyer’s premium of the Melancholia, 2005; lot 18, by Anselm Kiefer on Artnet is above X during Phillips New York's November 2026 Modern & Contemporary Art Evening Sale, sale NY010726, then the market resolves to Yes. All sale prices and sales totals used for this market will include the buyer’s premium. In the Artnet Price Database, “P” indicates that the buyer’s premium is included, while “H” indicates the hammer price only. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Phillips. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. This market will close and expire early if the price data is released.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

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Event: Anselm Kiefer: Melancholia (2005; lot 18) sale price?
Source snapshot: Nov 11, 2026, 6:00 PM UTC
Reported event volume (provider units): K 0 contracts
Coverage: 10 of 10 saved contracts included.
Prices are saved observations, not executable quotes. Listed close dates do not promise settlement or payout time.

Contract: Will the realized auction sale price of Melancholia (2005; lot 18) by Anselm Kiefer, as reported by Artnet, be above $950000 during Phillips New York's November 2026 Modern & Contemporary Art Evening Sale (sale NY010726)?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXART-PHI18NOV26-950000; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxart-phi18nov26
Observed: Nov 11, 2026, 6:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Feb 17, 2027, 3:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 50.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 50.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If the sale price including buyer’s premium of the Melancholia (2005; lot 18) by Anselm Kiefer on Artnet is above $950K during Phillips New York's November 2026 Modern & Contemporary Art Evening Sale (sale NY010726), then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: All sale prices and sales totals used for this market will include the buyer’s premium. In the Artnet Price Database, “P” indicates that the buyer’s premium is included, while “H” indicates the hammer price only.

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Phillips. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the price data is released.

Contract: Will the realized auction sale price of Melancholia (2005; lot 18) by Anselm Kiefer, as reported by Artnet, be above $900000 during Phillips New York's November 2026 Modern & Contemporary Art Evening Sale (sale NY010726)?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXART-PHI18NOV26-900000; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxart-phi18nov26
Observed: Nov 11, 2026, 6:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Feb 17, 2027, 3:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 50.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 50.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If the sale price including buyer’s premium of the Melancholia (2005; lot 18) by Anselm Kiefer on Artnet is above $900K during Phillips New York's November 2026 Modern & Contemporary Art Evening Sale (sale NY010726), then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: All sale prices and sales totals used for this market will include the buyer’s premium. In the Artnet Price Database, “P” indicates that the buyer’s premium is included, while “H” indicates the hammer price only.

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Phillips. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the price data is released.

Contract: Will the realized auction sale price of Melancholia (2005; lot 18) by Anselm Kiefer, as reported by Artnet, be above $850000 during Phillips New York's November 2026 Modern & Contemporary Art Evening Sale (sale NY010726)?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXART-PHI18NOV26-850000; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxart-phi18nov26
Observed: Nov 11, 2026, 6:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Feb 17, 2027, 3:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 50.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 50.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If the sale price including buyer’s premium of the Melancholia (2005; lot 18) by Anselm Kiefer on Artnet is above $850K during Phillips New York's November 2026 Modern & Contemporary Art Evening Sale (sale NY010726), then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: All sale prices and sales totals used for this market will include the buyer’s premium. In the Artnet Price Database, “P” indicates that the buyer’s premium is included, while “H” indicates the hammer price only.

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Phillips. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the price data is released.

Contract: Will the realized auction sale price of Melancholia (2005; lot 18) by Anselm Kiefer, as reported by Artnet, be above $800000 during Phillips New York's November 2026 Modern & Contemporary Art Evening Sale (sale NY010726)?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXART-PHI18NOV26-800000; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxart-phi18nov26
Observed: Nov 11, 2026, 6:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Feb 17, 2027, 3:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 50.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 50.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If the sale price including buyer’s premium of the Melancholia (2005; lot 18) by Anselm Kiefer on Artnet is above $800K during Phillips New York's November 2026 Modern & Contemporary Art Evening Sale (sale NY010726), then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: All sale prices and sales totals used for this market will include the buyer’s premium. In the Artnet Price Database, “P” indicates that the buyer’s premium is included, while “H” indicates the hammer price only.

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Phillips. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the price data is released.

Contract: Will the realized auction sale price of Melancholia (2005; lot 18) by Anselm Kiefer, as reported by Artnet, be above $750000 during Phillips New York's November 2026 Modern & Contemporary Art Evening Sale (sale NY010726)?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXART-PHI18NOV26-750000; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxart-phi18nov26
Observed: Nov 11, 2026, 6:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Feb 17, 2027, 3:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 58.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 41.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If the sale price including buyer’s premium of the Melancholia (2005; lot 18) by Anselm Kiefer on Artnet is above $750K during Phillips New York's November 2026 Modern & Contemporary Art Evening Sale (sale NY010726), then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: All sale prices and sales totals used for this market will include the buyer’s premium. In the Artnet Price Database, “P” indicates that the buyer’s premium is included, while “H” indicates the hammer price only.

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Phillips. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the price data is released.

Contract: Will the realized auction sale price of Melancholia (2005; lot 18) by Anselm Kiefer, as reported by Artnet, be above $650000 during Phillips New York's November 2026 Modern & Contemporary Art Evening Sale (sale NY010726)?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXART-PHI18NOV26-650000; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxart-phi18nov26
Observed: Nov 11, 2026, 6:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Feb 17, 2027, 3:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 55.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 45.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If the sale price including buyer’s premium of the Melancholia (2005; lot 18) by Anselm Kiefer on Artnet is above $650K during Phillips New York's November 2026 Modern & Contemporary Art Evening Sale (sale NY010726), then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: All sale prices and sales totals used for this market will include the buyer’s premium. In the Artnet Price Database, “P” indicates that the buyer’s premium is included, while “H” indicates the hammer price only.

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Phillips. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the price data is released.

Contract: Will the realized auction sale price of Melancholia (2005; lot 18) by Anselm Kiefer, as reported by Artnet, be above $600000 during Phillips New York's November 2026 Modern & Contemporary Art Evening Sale (sale NY010726)?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXART-PHI18NOV26-600000; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxart-phi18nov26
Observed: Nov 11, 2026, 6:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Feb 17, 2027, 3:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 55.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 44.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If the sale price including buyer’s premium of the Melancholia (2005; lot 18) by Anselm Kiefer on Artnet is above $600K during Phillips New York's November 2026 Modern & Contemporary Art Evening Sale (sale NY010726), then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: All sale prices and sales totals used for this market will include the buyer’s premium. In the Artnet Price Database, “P” indicates that the buyer’s premium is included, while “H” indicates the hammer price only.

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Phillips. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the price data is released.

Contract: Will the realized auction sale price of Melancholia (2005; lot 18) by Anselm Kiefer, as reported by Artnet, be above $550000 during Phillips New York's November 2026 Modern & Contemporary Art Evening Sale (sale NY010726)?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXART-PHI18NOV26-550000; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxart-phi18nov26
Observed: Nov 11, 2026, 6:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Feb 17, 2027, 3:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 56.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 44.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If the sale price including buyer’s premium of the Melancholia (2005; lot 18) by Anselm Kiefer on Artnet is above $550K during Phillips New York's November 2026 Modern & Contemporary Art Evening Sale (sale NY010726), then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: All sale prices and sales totals used for this market will include the buyer’s premium. In the Artnet Price Database, “P” indicates that the buyer’s premium is included, while “H” indicates the hammer price only.

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Phillips. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the price data is released.

Contract: Will the realized auction sale price of Melancholia (2005; lot 18) by Anselm Kiefer, as reported by Artnet, be above $500000 during Phillips New York's November 2026 Modern & Contemporary Art Evening Sale (sale NY010726)?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXART-PHI18NOV26-500000; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxart-phi18nov26
Observed: Nov 11, 2026, 6:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Feb 17, 2027, 3:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 56.0%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 44.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If the sale price including buyer’s premium of the Melancholia (2005; lot 18) by Anselm Kiefer on Artnet is above $500K during Phillips New York's November 2026 Modern & Contemporary Art Evening Sale (sale NY010726), then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: All sale prices and sales totals used for this market will include the buyer’s premium. In the Artnet Price Database, “P” indicates that the buyer’s premium is included, while “H” indicates the hammer price only.

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Phillips. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the price data is released.

Contract: Will the realized auction sale price of Melancholia (2005; lot 18) by Anselm Kiefer, as reported by Artnet, be above $1000000 during Phillips New York's November 2026 Modern & Contemporary Art Evening Sale (sale NY010726)?
Provider: kalshi; ID: kalshi-KXART-PHI18NOV26-1000000; status: active
Source: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxart-phi18nov26
Observed: Nov 11, 2026, 6:00 PM UTC
Listed close: Feb 17, 2027, 3:00 PM UTC
Reported volume: 0 contracts
Outcome Yes: 41.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 58.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: If the sale price including buyer’s premium of the Melancholia (2005; lot 18) by Anselm Kiefer on Artnet is above $1M during Phillips New York's November 2026 Modern & Contemporary Art Evening Sale (sale NY010726), then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: All sale prices and sales totals used for this market will include the buyer’s premium. In the Artnet Price Database, “P” indicates that the buyer’s premium is included, while “H” indicates the hammer price only.

Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the Phillips. All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the price data is released.

Saved cross-platform review:
No exact pair with two valid binary Yes prices is available for comparison.

Explain the named outcomes, material rule/deadline differences, and evidence limits. Keep Polymarket dollar volume separate from Kalshi contract counts. Do not average unrelated contracts, infer missing prices or changes, or describe unreviewed/related pairs as equivalent. Distinguish listed prices from executable bid/ask prices, fees and available size. Do not invent current news, confidence scores or settlement guarantees. Cite the provided source links and identify what further evidence would be needed.

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AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

KALSHIEntertainment