Market snapshot: Oct 11, 2026, 9:47 PM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETPolitics

Yemeni forces enter Sanaa by...?

Name: Yemeni forces enter Sanaa by...?
End: 2026-12-01T04:59:00.000Z

Total Volume

$26.96K

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket

Yemeni forces enter Sanaa by...?

Vol

$26.96K

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $26.96K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $26.96K

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

2 markets tracked

Will Yemeni forces enter Sanaa by November 30?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(2)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Yemeni forces enter Sanaa by November 30?	Poly	5%
Will Yemeni forces enter Sanaa by October 31?	Poly	3%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

Top Probability

$26.96K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Yemeni forces enter any part of Sanaa, Yemen by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". "Yemeni forces" refers to the armed forces of the internationally recognized Government of Yemen under the Presidential Leadership Council, and any armed group operating under or on behalf of it. This includes the Yemeni Armed Forces, the Giants Brigades, the Nation's Shield Forces (also rendered Homeland Shield Forces), the National

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Tap to expand

Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Sunday, October 11, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Yemeni forces enter Sanaa by...?
**Category:** Politics | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Dec 1, 2026 (51 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Low

**Description:** This market will resolve to "Yes" if Yemeni forces enter any part of Sanaa, Yemen by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

"Yemeni forces" refers to the armed forces of the internationally recognized Government of Yemen under the Presidential Leadership Council, and any armed group operating under or on behalf of it. This includes the Yemeni Armed Forces, the Giants Brigades, the Nation's Shield Forces (also rendered Homeland Shield Forces), the National 

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market will resolve to "Yes" if Yemeni forces enter any part of Sanaa, Yemen by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

"Yemeni forces" refers to the armed forces of the internationally recognized Government of Yemen under the Presidential Leadership Counc"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $27.0K
* **Total Liquidity:** $66.1K
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.41)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Yemeni forces enter Sanaa by October 31?
- **Polymarket** (End: Nov 1, 2026): Vol $13.7K
  DATA: [Yes: 2.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Yemeni forces enter Sanaa by November 30?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 1, 2026): Vol $13.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 5.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

POLYMARKETPolitics