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Events
GroupPOLYMARKET

Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by...?

Israeli forces enter Nabatieh by...?
Vol

PM $458.2K

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Events

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Markets

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Current odds

Snapshot from

As of Oct 26, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Polymarket is December 31 at 9.2%.

Polymarket

  1. December 319.2%

Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks

PM $458.2K

Reported volume · provider units

1

Saved contracts

0

Same-question pairs

Source snapshot: Oct 26, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC

About This Event

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israeli military personnel physically enter the municipality of Nabatieh in Lebanon for military purposes by the listed day 11:59 PM Israel Daylight Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, aerial and maritime operations will not be considered. Only operations involving troops on the ground within the municipality of Nabatieh will count. Undercover Israeli operatives and assets will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be photo and video evidence; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. If the date/time of a qualifying entry cannot be confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting within 48 hours of this market's end date, it will resolve to "No" regardless of whether it was later confirmed to have taken place.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.

PolymarketPolitics
Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by…?

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3 mktsNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
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Yemeni forces enter Sanaa by...?

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2 mktsNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
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Will Michael Malchieli be Minister of the Interior as a result of the government formation following the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Yes 11.5%
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+26 moreNext deadline Oct 27, 2027 UTC
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Will Itamar Ben-Gvir be Minister of National Security as a result of the government formation following the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Yes 13.5%
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+21 moreNext deadline Oct 27, 2027 UTC
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Israeli Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place

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K 13.9K contracts
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+20 moreNext deadline Oct 27, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Israeli Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place

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Will Together finish 3rd in the 2026 Israeli Knesset election?Yes 87.5%
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Will Shas finish 3rd in the 2026 Israeli Knesset election?Yes 3.5%
+20 moreNext deadline Oct 27, 2027 UTC

Market Insights

Price gaps of 2 pp+

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Same-question pairs

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No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.

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