Skip to main content
Market snapshot: . Prices may have changed since this snapshot.
Events
GroupPOLYMARKET

Which party will hold more governorships after the midterms?

Which party will hold more governorships after the midterms?
Vol

PM $9.0K

|
Events

1

|
Markets

3

Current odds

Snapshot from

As of Oct 22, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Polymarket is Democratic Party at 70%.

Polymarket

  1. Democratic Party70%
  2. Republican Party19.5%
  3. Tie8%

Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks

PM $9.0K

Reported volume · provider units

3

Saved contracts

0

Same-question pairs

Source snapshot: Oct 22, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC

About This Event

The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the party, between the Republican Party and the Democratic Party, that holds the most US governor seats as a result of the 2026 midterm elections. If the Republican Party and the Democratic Party hold the same number of governor seats as a result of the 2026 midterm elections, this market will resolve to “Tie”. This market will resolve based on the results of all gubernatorial elections, including special elections, that are scheduled to occur in November 2026 as of October 31, 2026. If a required runoff for any such election could change the market’s outcome, the market will remain open until that runoff is conclusively called by this market’s resolution sources. For governor seats contested in the specified election, seats are attributed to the party under which the governor was elected. If a governor-elect changes party affiliation, or vacates their seat, after election day, the seat is attributed to the party under which the individual was elected. For seats not contested in the specified election, seats are attributed to the party that holds the seat as of the date of the election. If a current governor who is not up for election changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the governor was affiliated at the time of the election. If a governorship is vacant but a corresponding election will not be held in November 2026, that seat will be considered held by the party of the seat's most recent incumbent. The resolution sources for this market will be official information from relevant state electoral authorities, and a consensus of credible reporting.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.

PolymarketPolitics
How many Republican Governors after the 2026 midterm elections?

How many Republican Governors after the 2026 midterm elections?

PM $707.4K
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 22 or 23 governorships after the 2026 midterm elections?Yes 34%
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 24 or 25 governorships after the 2026 midterm elections?Yes 28%
Will the Republican Party hold fewer than 22 governorships after the 2026 midterm elections?Yes 23.5%
+4 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
How many House seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms? (Directional)

How many House seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms? (Directional)

K 23.6K contracts
Will the Democratic party hold more than 211 House seats in the 120th Congress?Yes 97%
Will the Democratic party hold more than 214 House seats in the 120th Congress?Yes 94%
Will the Democratic party hold more than 217 House seats in the 120th Congress?Yes 90.5%
+13 moreNext deadline Feb 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
How many Senate seats will Republicans hold after the Midterms?

How many Senate seats will Republicans hold after the Midterms?

K 3.45M contracts
Will the Republican party hold exactly 48 Senate seats in the 120th Congress?Yes 22%
Will the Republican party hold exactly 47 Senate seats in the 120th Congress?Yes 12.5%
Will the Republican party hold exactly 50 Senate seats in the 120th Congress?Yes 11%
+12 moreNext deadline Feb 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
How many Senate seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms?

How many Senate seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms?

K 6.07M contracts
Will the Democratic Party hold more than 52 seats in the 120th Congress?Yes 37.5%
Will the Democratic Party hold 52 seats in the 120th Congress?Yes 23%
Will the Democratic Party hold 50 seats in the 120th Congress?Yes 13.5%
+7 moreNext deadline Feb 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
How many Senate seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms? (Higher strikes)

How many Senate seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms? (Higher strikes)

K 577.4K contracts
Will the Democratic party hold fewer than 53 Senate seats in the 120th Congress?Yes 61.5%
Will the Democratic party hold exactly 53 Senate seats in the 120th Congress?Yes 13%
Will the Democratic party hold exactly 54 Senate seats in the 120th Congress?Yes 10.5%
+4 moreNext deadline Feb 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
How many House seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms?

How many House seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms?

K 3.54M contracts
Will the Democratic party win 234-237 House seats in the 120th Congress?Yes 18.5%
Will the Democratic party win above 249 House seats in the 120th Congress?Yes 16.5%
Will the Democratic party win 230-233 House seats in the 120th Congress?Yes 15.5%
+9 moreNext deadline Feb 1, 2027 UTC

Market Insights

Price gaps of 2 pp+

0

Same-question pairs

0

No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.

Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.

Trade This Market