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Events
GroupKALSHI

Will Trump do anything on Oct 31, 2026?

Will Trump do anything on Oct 31, 2026?
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As of Oct 31, 2026, 9:00 AM UTC, Yes is priced at 9.5% on Kalshi.

Kalshi

  1. Yes9.5%

Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks

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Reported volume · provider units

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Source snapshot: Oct 31, 2026, 9:00 AM UTC

About This Event

On Oct 31, 2026 If Donald Trump has taken any presidential actions on Oct 31, 2026 (as checked on the “Presidential Actions” page at whitehouse.gov at 10:00 AM ET on Nov 1, 2026), then the market resolves to Yes. How this is resolved The market solely resolves to the publication date visibly displayed on the "Presidential Actions" tab at whitehouse.gov at 10:00 AM ET the following day. Payout criteria The actions may include proclamations, executive orders, nominations & appointments, and memoranda. Any item listed on the page counts, regardless of its legal effect. Examples (for Jan 10, 2026): Executive Order with a Jan 7 signing date is released with a Jan 10 publication date → resolves Yes Proclamation e-mailed to White House Press Pool but not uploaded by 10:00 AM next day → resolves No Proclamation is released Jan 10 with a backdated Jan 9 publication date → resolves No Bill signed into law and shows up on "Briefings & Statements" instead of "Presidential Actions" → resolves No

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.

KalshiPolitics
Trump's RCP approval average on Oct 31, 2026?

Trump's RCP approval average on Oct 31, 2026?

K 104.5K contracts
Will Trump's RCP approval average be exactly 38.4 on Oct 31, 2026?Yes 88.5%
Will Trump's RCP approval average be exactly 38.6 on Oct 31, 2026?Yes 7%
Will Trump's RCP approval average be exactly 38.5 on Oct 31, 2026?Yes 2%
+6 moreNext deadline Oct 31, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Trump Truth Social posts on Oct 31, 2026?

Trump Truth Social posts on Oct 31, 2026?

K 155 contracts
Will Donald Trump make below 5 Truth Social posts on Oct 31, 2026?Yes 50%
Will Donald Trump make at least 40 Truth Social posts on Oct 31, 2026?Yes 24%
Will Donald Trump make between 15 and 19 Truth Social posts on Oct 31, 2026?Yes 20.5%
+5 moreNext deadline Jan 29, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
How many Executive Orders will Trump sign this week? (10/25 - 10/31)

How many Executive Orders will Trump sign this week? (10/25 - 10/31)

K 20.6K contracts
Will the President sign more than 0 Executive Orders between Oct 25, 2026 and Oct 31, 2026?Yes 8%
Will the President sign more than 1 Executive Orders between Oct 25, 2026 and Oct 31, 2026?Yes 5.5%
Will the President sign more than 4 Executive Orders between Oct 25, 2026 and Oct 31, 2026?Yes 1.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Nov 14, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
When will Trump golf this weekend? (10/30-11/1)

When will Trump golf this weekend? (10/30-11/1)

K 7.8K contracts
Will Trump golf on Oct 31, 2026?Yes 72.5%
Will Trump not golf from Oct 30, 2026 to Nov 1, 2026?Yes 23%
Will Trump golf on Nov 1, 2026?Yes 7.5%
+1 moreNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
What will Trump say during his rally in Salina, Kansas?

What will Trump say during his rally in Salina, Kansas?

K 28.6K contracts
What will Donald Trump say during midterm rally in Salina, Kansas originally scheduled for October 31, 2026 and rescheduled for November 1, 2026? (Save America Act)Yes 94%
What will Donald Trump say during midterm rally in Salina, Kansas originally scheduled for October 31, 2026 and rescheduled for November 1, 2026? (Transgender)Yes 91.5%
What will Donald Trump say during midterm rally in Salina, Kansas originally scheduled for October 31, 2026 and rescheduled for November 1, 2026? (Farm / Farmer)Yes 89%
+33 moreNext deadline Nov 14, 2026 UTC
PolymarketKalshiCulture
Who will Trump publicly insult by October 31?

Who will Trump publicly insult by October 31?

PM $203.1K · K 708.4K contracts

Will Donald Trump publicly insult Kevin Warsh by December 31, 2026?

Kalshi: Will Trump publicly criticize Kevin Warsh before Jan 1, 2027?

Related contracts

PM Yes 21%Rules differK Yes 27.5%

Will Donald Trump publicly insult Kevin Warsh by November 30, 2026?

Kalshi: Will Trump publicly criticize Kevin Warsh before Dec 1, 2026?

Related contracts

PM Yes 5.5%Rules differK Yes 11.5%

Will Donald Trump publicly insult Kevin Warsh by October 31, 2026?

Kalshi: Will Trump publicly criticize Kevin Warsh before Nov 1, 2026?

Related contracts

PM Yes 1.6%Rules differK Yes 1%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

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4 saved comparisonsNext deadline Oct 31, 2026 UTC

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Price gaps of 2 pp+

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