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Events
GroupKALSHIPOLYMARKETCross-Platform

Who will Trump publicly insult by October 31?

Who will Trump publicly insult by October 31?
Vol

PM $172.4K · K 651.5K contracts

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Events

3

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Markets

28

Current odds

Snapshot from

As of Oct 26, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Polymarket is Hakeem Jeffries at 68.5%, and on Kalshi it is Before Apr 1, 2027 at 36%.

Polymarket

  1. Hakeem Jeffries68.5%
  2. J.B. Pritzker33%
  3. Tucker Carlson31%
  4. Mark Carney28.5%
  5. Stephen Colbert22.5%

Kalshi

  1. Before Apr 1, 202736%
  2. Before Jan 1, 202727.5%
  3. Before Dec 1, 202617%
  4. Before Nov 1, 20263.5%

Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks

PM $172.4K · K 651.5K contracts

Reported volume · provider units

28

Saved contracts

0

Same-question pairs

Source snapshot: Oct 26, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC

About This Event

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump makes any public statement in which he insults the listed individual between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A public statement is any written, verbal, or recorded statement which is either made in a public setting, published by the speaker, or on the record to media, and the direct language of which is made publicly available within the specified timeframe. Pre-recorded public statements will count for the date (ET) that they are made publicly available. Statements made in private that are subsequently leaked will not qualify, even if credibly reported. Narrations and paraphrasings do not qualify. Images and videos posted on verified social media accounts will only qualify if they contain insulting language clearly directed at the individual, whether within the content itself or in an accompanying caption. Language within the content of a video will only qualify if Donald Trump is clearly portrayed as saying it. Insulting language within the content of a video said by anyone other than Donald Trump or a portrayal thereof will not qualify. A quote post will qualify if added language independently qualifies as an insult, or endorses insulting language directed at the individual within the quoted post; a repost of another account's post will not qualify. A public statement qualifies as an insult if it mocks, degrades, or disparages the individual either personally or professionally. This includes calling the individual a clearly insulting trait (e.g., weak, stupid, disloyal, a failure), using an insulting nickname (e.g., Crooked Hillary), using other clearly derogatory language, or using the negative form of a positive trait in a clearly derogatory manner (e.g., “He isn’t smart”, “He has no judgment”). Disparaging the individual in their professional capacity will qualify (e.g., "He is a disaster candidate," "He is terrible at his job"); however, negative comments directed at the individual's specific actions, policies, or decisions will not qualify (e.g., "He has bad policies," "He is wrong about healthcare"). A statement made in direct reference to the individual will qualify even if they are not named, so long as it is reasonably clear from context that they are the subject. The resolution sources will be public statements made by Donald Trump and a consensus of credible reporting.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.

PolymarketCulture
Will Trump publicly insult someone on...?

Will Trump publicly insult someone on...?

PM $69.6K
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on October 27, 2026?Yes 98.4%
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on October 29, 2026?Yes 96.8%
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on October 30, 2026?Yes 95.6%
+3 moreNext deadline Oct 27, 2026 UTC
PolymarketCulture
Who will Trump publicly praise by October 31?

Who will Trump publicly praise by October 31?

PM $94.7K
Will Donald Trump publicly praise Delcy Rodriguez by October 31, 2026?Yes 47.5%
Will Donald Trump publicly praise Dario Amodei by October 31, 2026?Yes 41.9%
Will Donald Trump publicly praise Zohran Mamdani by October 31, 2026?Yes 29.5%
+9 moreNext deadline Oct 31, 2026 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Who will Trump meet with by October 31?

Who will Trump meet with by October 31?

PM $69.7K
Will Trump meet with Sam Altman by October 31, 2026?Yes 14%
Will Trump meet with Dario Amodei by October 31, 2026?Yes 10.5%
Will Trump meet with Benjamin Netanyahu by October 31, 2026?Yes 3.7%
+13 moreNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Who will Trump speak to by October 31?

Who will Trump speak to by October 31?

PM $268.1K
Will Trump speak to Andy Burnham by October 31?Yes 99%
Will Trump speak to Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva by October 31?Yes 54.5%
Will Trump speak to Mark Rutte by October 31?Yes 32%
+12 moreNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Republican nomination odds leader on October 31?

Republican nomination odds leader on October 31?

PM $8.9K
JD Vance Republican nomination odds leader on October 31?Yes 98.5%
Marco Rubio Republican nomination odds leader on October 31?Yes 1.6%
Donald Trump Jr. Republican nomination odds leader on October 31?Yes 0.9%
+2 moreNext deadline Oct 31, 2026 UTC
PolymarketKalshiPolitics
Trump issues AI Restrictions Executive Order by...?

Trump issues AI Restrictions Executive Order by...?

PM $25.4K · K 6.3K contracts

Will Trump issue an AI Safety Executive Order by December 31?

Kalshi: Will Donald Trump issue any executive action on establishing or directing a mandatory federal review, evaluation, or approval process that at least one class of AI models must complete before public release before Jan 1, 2027?

Related contracts

PM Yes 9%Rules differK Yes 12%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

1 saved comparisonNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC

Market Insights

Price gaps of 2 pp+

0

Same-question pairs

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No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.

Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.