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Events
GroupKALSHI

When will Trump golf this weekend? (10/30-11/1)

When will Trump golf this weekend? (10/30-11/1)
Vol

K 7.8K contracts

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Events

1

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Markets

4

Current odds

Snapshot from

As of Oct 31, 2026, 9:00 AM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Kalshi is Oct 31 at 72.5%.

Kalshi

  1. Oct 3172.5%
  2. Not this weekend (Oct 30-Nov 1)23%
  3. Nov 17.5%
  4. Oct 303%

Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks

K 7.8K contracts

Reported volume · provider units

4

Saved contracts

0

Same-question pairs

Source snapshot: Oct 31, 2026, 9:00 AM UTC

About This Event

10/30-11/1 If Donald Trump golfs X Y 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. How this is resolved X day counts if Roll Call Factbase's presidential calendar feed, https://media-cdn.factba.se/rss/json/trump/calendar-full.json, shows its "golf" value as true. X day also counts if a White House pool report or a Getty Images, Reuters Connect or AP Photos image unambiguously shows Donald Trump playing golf that day. Markets may resolve as soon as a day counts. Otherwise they resolve at expiration, 10:00 AM ET two days after the day, after Sunday for Not this weekend.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.

KalshiPolitics
2028 Electoral College margin of victory?

2028 Electoral College margin of victory?

K 25.3K contracts
Will the Democratic candidate win the 2028 presidential election by 91 to 130 Electoral College votes?Yes 12.5%
Will the Democratic candidate win the 2028 presidential election by 61 to 90 Electoral College votes?Yes 11.5%
Will the Democratic candidate win the 2028 presidential election by 31 to 60 Electoral College votes?Yes 10.5%
+11 moreNext deadline May 6, 2029 UTC
PolymarketKalshiCulture
Who will Trump publicly insult by October 31?

Who will Trump publicly insult by October 31?

PM $203.1K · K 708.4K contracts

Will Donald Trump publicly insult Kevin Warsh by December 31, 2026?

Kalshi: Will Trump publicly criticize Kevin Warsh before Jan 1, 2027?

Related contracts

PM Yes 21%Rules differK Yes 27.5%

Will Donald Trump publicly insult Kevin Warsh by November 30, 2026?

Kalshi: Will Trump publicly criticize Kevin Warsh before Dec 1, 2026?

Related contracts

PM Yes 5.5%Rules differK Yes 11.5%

Will Donald Trump publicly insult Kevin Warsh by October 31, 2026?

Kalshi: Will Trump publicly criticize Kevin Warsh before Nov 1, 2026?

Related contracts

PM Yes 1.6%Rules differK Yes 1%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

4 saved comparisonsNext deadline Oct 31, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
How many times will Donald Trump visit Trump Bedminster in Oct 2026?

How many times will Donald Trump visit Trump Bedminster in Oct 2026?

K 76.7K contracts
How many times will Donald Trump visit Trump National Golf Club Bedminster in Oct 2026? (0)Yes 99.5%
How many times will Donald Trump visit Trump National Golf Club Bedminster in Oct 2026? (4)Yes 0.5%
How many times will Donald Trump visit Trump National Golf Club Bedminster in Oct 2026? (3)Yes 0.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
PolymarketKalshiPolitics
Will Trump be impeached?

Will Trump be impeached?

PM $1.08M · K 3.39M contracts

Will Trump be impeached by December 31, 2027?

Kalshi: Will the President be impeached before Jan 1, 2028?

Related contracts

PM Yes 66%Rules differK Yes 64.5%

Will Trump be impeached by December 31, 2026?

Kalshi: Will the President be impeached before Jan 1, 2027?

Related contracts

PM Yes 2.1%Rules differK Yes 4.3%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

2 saved comparisonsNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
"Thriller" · Billboard Hot 100 rank (Nov 7, 2026)

"Thriller" · Billboard Hot 100 rank (Nov 7, 2026)

K 142.4K contracts
Will "Thriller" rank No. 16–20 on Billboard Hot 100?Yes 63%
Will "Thriller" rank No. 21–30 on Billboard Hot 100?Yes 37%
Will "Thriller" rank No. 11–15 on Billboard Hot 100?Yes 1.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Nov 7, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
"Housewife" · Billboard Hot 100 rank (Nov 7, 2026)

"Housewife" · Billboard Hot 100 rank (Nov 7, 2026)

K 54.4K contracts
Will "Housewife" rank No. 1–2 on Billboard Hot 100?Yes 96.5%
Will "Housewife" rank No. 3–4 on Billboard Hot 100?Yes 1.5%
Will "Housewife" rank No. 7–10 on Billboard Hot 100?Yes 0.5%
+8 moreNext deadline Nov 7, 2026 UTC

Market Insights

Price gaps of 2 pp+

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Same-question pairs

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No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.

Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.

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