Bitcoin hashprice: week of November 9?
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Current odds
Snapshot from
As of Nov 15, 2026, 9:00 AM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Polymarket is <$25 at 49%.
Polymarket
- <$2549%
- $25-$3049%
- $30-$3549%
- $35-$4049%
- >$4049%
Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.
AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
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Reported volume · provider units
5
Saved contracts
0
Same-question pairs
Source snapshot: Nov 15, 2026, 9:00 AM UTC
Snapshot observed Nov 14, 2026, 6:00 AM UTC. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
This Polymarket event asks which price range the Bitcoin Hashprice Index will show for one specific week. The rules state that the market "will resolve according to the Bitcoin Hashprice Index value displayed for the specified week (the weekly datapoint beginning Monday, 12:00 AM UTC)" [1]. The index is measured in US dollars per petahash per second per day [1].
The event has five brackets: below $25, $25 to $30, $30 to $35, $35 to $40, and above $40 [1]. Exactly one bracket resolves to "Yes" [1]. If the value falls exactly on a boundary, the market resolves to the higher bracket [1].
The source is specific. Only the Hashrate Index chart counts, and "Values from other data providers, independently calculated hashprice estimates, or other indexes will not be considered" [1].
Reading the snapshot
The provider observed these prices at Nov 14, 2026, 6:00 AM UTC, and this report was retrieved at Nov 14, 2026, 11:22 AM UTC [1]. The prices describe that moment only. They are not executable quotes, and they are not verified probabilities.
Each bracket shows Yes at 0.49 and No at 0.51 [1]. Those figures are identical across all five brackets, so this snapshot does not show any bracket as more or less likely than another. The five Yes prices add up to 2.45, which means they should not be read as a normalized probability distribution. Prices in a multi-bracket event are not expected to behave that way, so the numbers here are best understood as the displayed snapshot values.
All five saved markets are included, and the sample is not partial [1]. The provider reports $0 in volume for this event [1]. Volume is not liquidity or a count of traders, so a zero figure says nothing about how active the market is.
The listed end time is Nov 16, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC [1]. That is the provider's listed close, not the resolution. The rules say the market resolves only after the weekly datapoint is finalized, which happens once the following week's datapoint is published [1].
What remains uncertain
The snapshot does not show the final index value for the week, when that value will be finalized, or how the market will settle. The rules also include fallback and correction provisions for missing or erroneous data [1], but this evidence does not say whether any of them apply.
The snapshot does not explain why prices sit where they do, and it does not show how many traders hold each view. Because only this one event and its five brackets were saved, this evidence does not establish the full range of outcomes that could occur.
References
- Polymarket: Bitcoin hashprice: week of November 9?. Provider data observed Nov 14, 2026, 6:00 AM UTC.
Snapshot observed Nov 14, 2026, 6:00 AM UTC. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
This event asks which bracket will contain the Bitcoin Hashprice Index value for the week beginning Monday, November 9, in USD per PH/s per day [1]. The resolution source is the Bitcoin Hashprice Index chart on Hashrate Index, with "USD" and "PH/s" selected and the period set to "ALL" [1]. The source states that values from other data providers or independently calculated estimates will not be considered [1].
The five markets are not identical in wording. Four use "between" language, and the lowest bracket is "less than $25" while the highest is "greater than $40" [1]. The source also says that if the value falls exactly on a boundary between two brackets, the market resolves to the higher bracket, and that exactly one outcome resolves "Yes" [1].
The listed end time is Nov 16, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC [1]. That is a listed close time, not the resolution itself. The source says resolution waits until the weekly datapoint is finalized, which happens once the following week's datapoint is published [1].
Reading the snapshot
The provider observed these markets at Nov 14, 2026, 6:00 AM UTC, and the record was retrieved at Nov 14, 2026, 11:22 AM UTC [1]. The prices below describe that observation only. They are not executable quotes or verified probabilities.
Every bracket shows a Yes price of 0.49 and a No price of 0.51 [1]. Because the five Yes prices are identical, this snapshot does not show a distribution across brackets. The Yes prices also sum to more than one, even though the source says exactly one outcome resolves Yes [1]. This snapshot does not explain that discrepancy, and it should not be read as a trading opportunity.
The provider reports $0 in total volume for this event [1]. Volume is not liquidity, and it does not indicate how many traders are involved.
What remains uncertain
The coverage record marks all five saved markets as included and reports no partial sample [1]. The sample warning, however, states that this does not establish that the provider lists every possible outcome [1]. Only one provider is represented, so no cross-platform comparison is available.
The snapshot does not show why the prices are set as they are. It also does not show whether the displayed index value has been finalized, since the record does not include that value.
References
- Polymarket: Bitcoin hashprice: week of November 9?. Provider data observed Nov 14, 2026, 6:00 AM UTC.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Nov 14, 2026 UTCOverview
This is a Polymarket event titled "Bitcoin hashprice: week of November 9?" in the crypto category [1]. It groups five bracket contracts that each ask whether the Bitcoin Hashprice Index value for one weekly datapoint falls in a given range. The listed brackets are less than $25, between $25 and $30, between $30 and $35, between $35 and $40, and greater than $40 [1]. Exactly one outcome is designed to resolve Yes [1]. The index is measured in US dollars per petahash per second per day (USD per PH/s per day) [1]. Each weekly datapoint begins Monday at 12:00 AM UTC [1]. The contract names one resolution source: the Bitcoin Hashprice Index chart on Hashrate Index, with "USD" and "PH/s" selected and the chart period set to "ALL" [1]. The rules state that values from other data providers, independently calculated hashprice estimates, or other indexes will not be considered [1]. A weekly datapoint is treated as finalized once the datapoint for the following week is published, and revisions made after that point are not considered [1]. If a value boundary falls exactly between two brackets, the market resolves to the higher bracket [1]. The saved snapshot was observed on 2026-11-14 at 06:00 UTC and retrieved later that day [1]. The listed end time is 2026-11-16 at 00:00 UTC [1]. That end time is the time shown in the contract listing. It is not a statement of when the value will be finalized or resolved, which the rules tie to the datapoint's finalization and availability [1]. The snapshot shows each Yes price as 0.49 and each No price as 0.51 [1]. Because the Yes prices across the five brackets add up to more than one, these figures should not be read as verified probabilities or as prices a trader could execute. The reported volume for this event is $0 in US dollars [1]. Volume alone does not indicate liquidity or how many people traded.
Why It Matters
The contract measures a single weekly value of the Bitcoin Hashprice Index, expressed in US dollars per petahash per second per day [1]. Hashprice is the figure the contract tracks, and the bracket that contains the finalized value determines which outcome resolves Yes [1]. Because each bracket is a separate contract on the same datapoint, the outcomes are meant to be mutually exclusive, with exactly one resolving Yes [1]. The rules also specify how the value is chosen when data is missing or disputed, which affects how the contract settles in those cases [1].
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-11-14 at 06:00 UTC. It contains listings from Polymarket. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
What exactly does this contract measure?
It measures the Bitcoin Hashprice Index value for the specified week, shown on Hashrate Index in USD per PH/s per day, for the weekly datapoint that begins Monday at 12:00 AM UTC [1].
What happens if the value sits exactly on the boundary between two brackets?
The market resolves to the higher range bracket [1].
Can another hashprice source or estimate be used to settle the market?
No. The rules say the outcome depends solely on the index as displayed on Hashrate Index, and values from other data providers, independently calculated estimates, or other indexes will not be considered [1].
When is the weekly value treated as final?
A weekly datapoint is considered finalized once the datapoint for the following week is published, and later revisions to the prior week's value are not considered for resolution [1].
What happens if the value is unavailable?
The market resolves according to the value as first displayed once data is available again, no later than the end of the second calendar day (ET) after the specified week ends. If no value is displayed by then, the market resolves to the lowest listed bracket, and no substitute index or data provider is used [1].
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
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Price gaps of 2 pp+
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Same-question pairs
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No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.
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