This event has ended. Showing historical data.

GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETSports

2026 Madrid Open: Men’s Singles Winner

Name: 2026 Madrid Open: Men’s Singles Winner
End: 2026-05-04T00:00:00.000Z

Total Volume

$136.83K

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket

2026 Madrid Open: Men’s Singles Winner

Vol

$136.83K

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $136.83K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $136.83K

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

9 markets tracked

Will Flavio Cobolli win the 2026 Men's Singles tournament at the Madrid Open?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(9)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Flavio Cobolli win the 2026 Men's Singles tournament at the Madrid Open?	Poly	83%
Will Arthur Fils win the 2026 Men's Singles tournament at the Madrid Open?	Poly	16%
Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's Singles tournament at the Madrid Open?	Poly	14%
Will Alexander Blockx win the 2026 Men's Singles tournament at the Madrid Open?	Poly	0%
Will Rafael Jódar win the 2026 Men's Singles tournament at the Madrid Open?	Poly	0%
Will Jiří Lehečka win the 2026 Men's Singles tournament at the Madrid Open?	Poly	0%
Will Casper Ruud win the 2026 Men's Singles tournament at the Madrid Open?	Poly	0%
Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's Singles tournament at the Madrid Open?	Poly	0%
Will Dani Mérida win the 2026 Men's Singles tournament at the Madrid Open?	Poly	0%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

83%

Top Probability

$136.83K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 Madrid Open Men’s Singles Tournament scheduled for April 20 - May 3, 2026. If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 Madrid Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”. If the 2026 Madrid Open Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after May 17, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Tap to expand

Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Friday, July 10, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** 2026 Madrid Open: Men’s Singles Winner
**Category:** Sports | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** May 4, 2026 (Ended)
**Time Pressure:** Expired

**Description:** This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 Madrid Open Men’s Singles Tournament scheduled for April 20 - May 3, 2026.

If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 Madrid Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding market will resolve to “No”.

If the 2026 Madrid Open Men’s Singles Tournament is cancelled, postponed after May 17, 2026, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will 

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market will resolve to the player that wins the 2026 Madrid Open Men’s Singles Tournament scheduled for April 20 - May 3, 2026.

If at any point it becomes impossible for a listed player to win the 2026 Madrid Open Men’s Singles Tournament per the rules of the tournament, the corresponding mark"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $75.7K
* **Total Liquidity:** $903.6K
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.08)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Alexander Blockx win the 2026 Men's Singles tournament at the Madrid Open?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 4, 2026): Vol $9.5K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Flavio Cobolli win the 2026 Men's Singles tournament at the Madrid Open?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 4, 2026): Vol $46.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 83.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 17.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Arthur Fils win the 2026 Men's Singles tournament at the Madrid Open?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 4, 2026): Vol $13.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 16.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 84.0% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Rafael Jódar win the 2026 Men's Singles tournament at the Madrid Open?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 4, 2026): Vol $150
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Jiří Lehečka win the 2026 Men's Singles tournament at the Madrid Open?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 4, 2026): Vol $150
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Casper Ruud win the 2026 Men's Singles tournament at the Madrid Open?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 4, 2026): Vol $150
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will Jannik Sinner win the 2026 Men's Singles tournament at the Madrid Open?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 4, 2026): Vol $150
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's Singles tournament at the Madrid Open?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 4, 2026): Vol $6.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 14.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 86.0% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will Dani Mérida win the 2026 Men's Singles tournament at the Madrid Open?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 4, 2026): Vol $150
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 100.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

POLYMARKETSports