GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIScience and Technology

When will Anthropic release Mythos?

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When will Anthropic release Mythos?

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6 markets tracked

Will Anthropic release Mythos before Jan 1, 2027?

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Single-Platform Markets(6)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Anthropic release Mythos before Jan 1, 2027?	Kalshi	20%
Will Anthropic release Mythos before Dec 1, 2026?	Kalshi	16%
Will Anthropic release Mythos before Nov 1, 2026?	Kalshi	12%
Will Anthropic release Mythos before Oct 1, 2026?	Kalshi	7%
Will Anthropic release Mythos before Sep 1, 2026?	Kalshi	5%
Will Anthropic release Mythos before Aug 1, 2026?	Kalshi	2%

AI Analysis

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20%

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About This Event

Mythos If Anthropic releases X model called Mythos before X 1, Y then the market resolves to Yes. Release must be to the public, outside of a closed beta, though limiting it to a high-cost subscription tier is acceptable. This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Friday, July 10, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** When will Anthropic release Mythos?
**Category:** Science and Technology | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** Mythos

If Anthropic releases X model called Mythos before X 1, Y then the market resolves to Yes. Release must be to the public, outside of a closed beta, though limiting it to a high-cost subscription tier is acceptable. This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If Anthropic releases A model called Mythos  before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Release must be to the public, outside of a closed beta, though limiting it to a high-cost subscription tier is acceptable. Early close condition: This market will close and expire earl"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $0
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Anthropic release Mythos before Jan 1, 2027?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 8, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 19.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 80.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Anthropic release Mythos before Sep 1, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Sep 8, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 4.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Anthropic release Mythos before Oct 1, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Oct 8, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 7.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 93.0% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Anthropic release Mythos before Nov 1, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 8, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 11.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 88.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Anthropic release Mythos before Dec 1, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Dec 8, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 16.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 84.0% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Anthropic release Mythos before Aug 1, 2026?
- **Kalshi** (End: Aug 8, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHIScience and Technology

When will Anthropic release Mythos?

Volume$0.00

Markets6

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KALSHI

Will Anthropic release Mythos before Jan 1, 2027?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 19.5¢No 80.5¢

KALSHIOther

Will Anthropic release Mythos before Jan 1, 2027?

If Anthropic releases A model called Mythos before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Release must be to the public, outside of a closed beta, though limiting it to a high-cost subscription tier is acceptable. Early close condition: This market will close and expire earl

KALSHI

Will Anthropic release Mythos before Dec 1, 2026?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 16.0¢No 84.0¢

KALSHIOther

Will Anthropic release Mythos before Dec 1, 2026?

If Anthropic releases A model called Mythos before Dec 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Release must be to the public, outside of a closed beta, though limiting it to a high-cost subscription tier is acceptable. Early close condition: This market will close and expire earl

KALSHI

Will Anthropic release Mythos before Nov 1, 2026?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 11.5¢No 88.5¢

KALSHIOther

Will Anthropic release Mythos before Nov 1, 2026?

If Anthropic releases A model called Mythos before Nov 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Release must be to the public, outside of a closed beta, though limiting it to a high-cost subscription tier is acceptable. Early close condition: This market will close and expire earl

KALSHI

Will Anthropic release Mythos before Oct 1, 2026?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 7.0¢No 93.0¢

KALSHIOther

Will Anthropic release Mythos before Oct 1, 2026?

If Anthropic releases A model called Mythos before Oct 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Release must be to the public, outside of a closed beta, though limiting it to a high-cost subscription tier is acceptable. Early close condition: This market will close and expire earl

KALSHI

Will Anthropic release Mythos before Sep 1, 2026?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 4.5¢No 95.5¢

KALSHIOther

Will Anthropic release Mythos before Sep 1, 2026?

If Anthropic releases A model called Mythos before Sep 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Release must be to the public, outside of a closed beta, though limiting it to a high-cost subscription tier is acceptable. Early close condition: This market will close and expire earl

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/HGuZdY" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="When will Anthropic release Mythos?"></iframe>

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Will Anthropic release Mythos before Jan 1, 2027?

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Events (1)

When will Anthropic release Mythos?

Markets (6)

Will Anthropic release Mythos before Jan 1, 2027?

Will Anthropic release Mythos before Jan 1, 2027?

Will Anthropic release Mythos before Dec 1, 2026?

Will Anthropic release Mythos before Dec 1, 2026?

Will Anthropic release Mythos before Nov 1, 2026?

Will Anthropic release Mythos before Nov 1, 2026?

Will Anthropic release Mythos before Oct 1, 2026?

Will Anthropic release Mythos before Oct 1, 2026?

Will Anthropic release Mythos before Sep 1, 2026?

Will Anthropic release Mythos before Sep 1, 2026?

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Will Anthropic release Mythos before Jan 1, 2027?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

When will Anthropic release Mythos?

Will Anthropic release Mythos before Jan 1, 2027?

Will Anthropic release Mythos before Jan 1, 2027?

Will Anthropic release Mythos before Dec 1, 2026?

Will Anthropic release Mythos before Dec 1, 2026?

Will Anthropic release Mythos before Nov 1, 2026?

Will Anthropic release Mythos before Nov 1, 2026?

Will Anthropic release Mythos before Oct 1, 2026?

Will Anthropic release Mythos before Oct 1, 2026?

Will Anthropic release Mythos before Sep 1, 2026?

Will Anthropic release Mythos before Sep 1, 2026?

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