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Events
GroupKALSHI

Will the new Senate confirm a Cabinet nominee?

Will the new Senate confirm a Cabinet nominee?
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As of Nov 8, 2026, 6:00 PM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Kalshi is Before Jan 1, 2028 at 87%.

Kalshi

  1. Before Jan 1, 202887%
  2. Before Jul 1, 202768%
  3. Before Apr 1, 202742%
  4. Before Mar 1, 202728%

Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.

AI Analysis

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Reported volume ยท provider units

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Source snapshot: Nov 8, 2026, 6:00 PM UTC

About This Event

Before Jan 1, 2028 If the Senate confirmed a nominee to a Cabinet-level position in the 120th Congress after Issuance and before X 1, Y then the market resolves to Yes. Only a vote of the full Senate to confirm a nomination counts, as recorded by the United States Senate, whether by roll call, voice vote, unanimous consent or en bloc resolution. X committee vote, a nomination, a hearing, or a person serving in an acting capacity does not count. The 120th Congress begins on Jan 3, 2027; confirmations before then do not count. The Cabinet includes the heads of the 15 executive departments, the Administrator of the EPA, Director of National Intelligence, Director of OMB, Director of the CIA, United States Trade Representative, Ambassador to the UN, Chair of the Council of Economic Advisers, Administrator of the SBA, and Director of OSTP. This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.

PolymarketPolitics
New Senate confirms a Trump Cabinet or federal judge nominee by...?

New Senate confirms a Trump Cabinet or federal judge nominee by...?

PM $2.6K
Will the new Senate confirm a Trump Cabinet or federal judge nominee by June 30, 2027?Yes 61.5%
Will the new Senate confirm a Trump Cabinet or federal judge nominee by March 31, 2027?Yes 26%
Will the new Senate confirm a Trump Cabinet or federal judge nominee by January 31, 2027?Yes 12%
3 mktsNext deadline Feb 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
New York Democratic Senate nominee in 2028?

New York Democratic Senate nominee in 2028?

K 24.2K contracts
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez be the Democratic nominee for the Senate in New York?Yes 47.5%
Will Chuck Schumer be the Democratic nominee for the Senate in New York?Yes 30%
Will Zohran Mamdani be the Democratic nominee for the Senate in New York?Yes 5.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Nov 7, 2029 UTC
KalshiPolitics
When will the new Senate first confirm a federal judge?

When will the new Senate first confirm a federal judge?

K 0 contracts
Will the Senate confirm a federal judge in the 120th Congress before Jan 1, 2028?Yes 86%
Will the Senate confirm a federal judge in the 120th Congress before Jul 1, 2027?Yes 50%
Will the Senate confirm a federal judge in the 120th Congress before Apr 1, 2027?Yes 22%
+1 moreNext deadline Mar 8, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
New Hampshire Senate margin of victory

New Hampshire Senate margin of victory

K 216.7K contracts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in New Hampshire be at least 5 percentage points?Yes 99.6%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in New Hampshire be at least 3 percentage points?Yes 99.6%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in New Hampshire be at least 6 percentage points?Yes 99.6%
+19 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
New Jersey Senate General Election: voter turnout

New Jersey Senate General Election: voter turnout

K 5.8K contracts
Will the total vote count for all participants in New Jersey Senate General Election be above 2700000?Yes 56%
Will the total vote count for all participants in New Jersey Senate General Election be above 2300000?Yes 55%
Will the total vote count for all participants in New Jersey Senate General Election be above 2900000?Yes 52.5%
+12 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
New Jersey Senate margin of victory

New Jersey Senate margin of victory

K 22.0K contracts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in New Jersey be at least 9 percentage points?Yes 99.5%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in New Jersey be at least 13 percentage points?Yes 99.4%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the U.S. Senate election in New Jersey be at least 11 percentage points?Yes 98%
+9 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC

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