
Will the new Senate confirm a Cabinet nominee?
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Will the new Senate confirm a Cabinet nominee?

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Current odds
Snapshot from
As of Nov 8, 2026, 6:00 PM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Kalshi is Before Jan 1, 2028 at 87%.
Kalshi
- Before Jan 1, 202887%
- Before Jul 1, 202768%
- Before Apr 1, 202742%
- Before Mar 1, 202728%
Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.
AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
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Reported volume ยท provider units
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Same-question pairs
Source snapshot: Nov 8, 2026, 6:00 PM UTC
About This Event
Before Jan 1, 2028 If the Senate confirmed a nominee to a Cabinet-level position in the 120th Congress after Issuance and before X 1, Y then the market resolves to Yes. Only a vote of the full Senate to confirm a nomination counts, as recorded by the United States Senate, whether by roll call, voice vote, unanimous consent or en bloc resolution. X committee vote, a nomination, a hearing, or a person serving in an acting capacity does not count. The 120th Congress begins on Jan 3, 2027; confirmations before then do not count. The Cabinet includes the heads of the 15 executive departments, the Administrator of the EPA, Director of National Intelligence, Director of OMB, Director of the CIA, United States Trade Representative, Ambassador to the UN, Chair of the Council of Economic Advisers, Administrator of the SBA, and Director of OSTP. This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
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