GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETCulture

Turner Prize 2026 Winner

Name: Turner Prize 2026 Winner
End: 2026-12-10T23:59:00.000Z

Total Volume

$12.61K

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket

Turner Prize 2026 Winner

Vol

$12.61K

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $12.61K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $12.61K

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

4 markets tracked

Will Tanoa Sasraku win the Turner Prize 2026?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(4)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Tanoa Sasraku win the Turner Prize 2026?	Poly	31%
Will Kira Freije win the Turner Prize 2026?	Poly	27%
Will Marguerite Humeau win the Turner Prize 2026?	Poly	24%
Will Simeon Barclay win the Turner Prize 2026?	Poly	19%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

31%

Top Probability

$12.61K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

The Turner Prize is awarded annually by Tate to a British artist for an outstanding exhibition or other presentation of their work. The Turner Prize 2026 shortlist was announced on April 23, 2026, and the shortlisted artists' exhibition runs at Middlesbrough Institute of Modern Art (MIMA) from September 26, 2026 to March 29, 2027. The winner is scheduled to be announced on December 10, 2026. This market will resolve according to the artist who is awarded the Turner Prize 2026. If no winner has

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Saturday, September 5, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Turner Prize 2026 Winner
**Category:** Culture | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Dec 10, 2026 (97 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Low

**Description:** The Turner Prize is awarded annually by Tate to a British artist for an outstanding exhibition or other presentation of their work. The Turner Prize 2026 shortlist was announced on April 23, 2026, and the shortlisted artists' exhibition runs at Middlesbrough Institute of Modern Art (MIMA) from September 26, 2026 to March 29, 2027. The winner is scheduled to be announced on December 10, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the artist who is awarded the Turner Prize 2026.

If no winner has

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $12.6K
* **Total Liquidity:** $8.2K
* **Activity Level:** Stable (Vol/Liq Ratio: 1.54)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Simeon Barclay win the Turner Prize 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 10, 2026): Vol $2.4K
  DATA: [Yes: 18.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 81.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Kira Freije win the Turner Prize 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 10, 2026): Vol $3.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 26.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 73.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Marguerite Humeau win the Turner Prize 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 10, 2026): Vol $3.7K
  DATA: [Yes: 23.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 76.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Tanoa Sasraku win the Turner Prize 2026?
- **Polymarket** (End: Dec 10, 2026): Vol $3.5K
  DATA: [Yes: 30.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 69.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

POLYMARKETCulture