ZCash Up or Down - October 20, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET
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ZCash Up or Down - October 20, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET
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AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
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Reported volume · provider units
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Saved contracts
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Reviewed equivalent pairs
Source snapshot: Oct 19, 2026, 6:00 AM UTC
About This Event
This market will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of ZCash, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the ZEC/USD TWAP data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/zec-usd-twap-60s-streams. Please note that this market is about the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair ZEC/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets.
Snapshot observed 2026-10-19T06:00:06.076Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
This snapshot covers one Polymarket event, "ZCash Up or Down - October 20, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET" [1]. The contract resolves to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of ZCash over the window in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that window. Otherwise it resolves to "Down" [1]. The resolution source is Chainlink's ZEC/USD TWAP data stream, and the rules state that other sources or spot markets do not govern the outcome [1].
The listed end time is 2026-10-20T05:45:00.000Z [1]. That is a closing time in the contract listing, not a record of how or when the contract resolved. The evidence does not include a resolution result.
Reading the snapshot
The provider observed this market at 2026-10-19T06:00:06.076Z, and the record was retrieved at 2026-10-19T06:09:01.042Z [1]. These are snapshot times. They do not show the market's price at any later moment, and the status "active" describes the provider's state at observation.
The saved market shows two outcomes: "Up" at 0.5 and "Down" at 0.5 [1]. These are snapshot prices, not executable quotes, and they are not verified probabilities. The equal prices show only that the saved snapshot quoted both sides at 0.5. The evidence does not explain this pricing, and it does not show trading volume or how many participants took either side.
The sample covers all saved markets for this single event: one market, with no partial sample flag [1]. Because only one provider event is included, there is no cross-platform comparison here. Comparing these prices with contracts on other platforms or with different time windows would mix unlike outcomes, so this snapshot does not support that comparison.
What remains uncertain
The evidence does not show the ZEC/USD TWAP values for the window, the beginning-of-window price, or the final resolution. It also does not show any movement after the observation time. The saved sample is limited to what the provider reported for this event and does not establish that every possible outcome is listed. Readers should check the current contract rules and the resolution record directly before drawing conclusions about the result.
References
- Polymarket: ZCash Up or Down - October 20, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET. Provider data observed 2026-10-19T06:00:06.076Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Oct 19, 2026 UTCOverview
This PredictPedia entry covers a short-term price contract on Polymarket titled "ZCash Up or Down - October 20, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET", in the crypto category. The contract asks whether the price of ZCash, measured against the ZEC/USD pair, will be higher or lower over a five-minute window. Under the contract rules, the market resolves to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of ZCash over the time range in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise it resolves to "Down" [1]. The resolution source is Chainlink, specifically its ZEC/USD TWAP data stream with a 60-second interval. The rules state that only this Chainlink price stream counts. Other sources and spot markets are not used for resolution [1]. This means a contract can settle differently from a price shown on an exchange or aggregator, even at the same moment. The listed end time for the contract is 2026-10-20T05:45:00Z, which corresponds to 1:45 AM Eastern Time on October 20. The provider listed the event as active when it was observed [1]. The observation was recorded at 2026-10-19T06:00:06Z. A listed end time is a rule setting, not a report that the contract has closed or resolved. The saved record does not show a final outcome. In the saved snapshot, the Up and Down outcomes are each priced at 0.5. These are observed prices at one point in time. They are not executable quotes, and they should not be read as verified probabilities.
Why It Matters
The contract measures whether ZCash's price, as recorded by the Chainlink ZEC/USD TWAP stream, finishes the five-minute window at or above where the window began [1]. Because the measure is a time-weighted average rather than a single trade price, the result depends on the price path across the window and not only on its endpoints. The contract is useful for understanding how short-interval crypto markets define their settlement rule. Anyone reading the price should keep in mind that a rule-based outcome, a snapshot price and a live trading price are three different things.
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-19 at 06:00 UTC. It contains listings from Polymarket. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
What does an "Up" resolution mean for this contract?
An "Up" resolution occurs when the Chainlink ZEC/USD TWAP over the stated range is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range [1].
Which price source decides the outcome?
The resolution source is the Chainlink ZEC/USD TWAP data stream. The rules say the market is about this stream and not about any other sources or spot markets [1].
Does a price of 0.5 for each outcome mean a 50 percent chance?
No. The prices in the saved snapshot were recorded at one observation time and are not executable quotes or verified probabilities. The contract's rules, not the snapshot price, determine how it resolves [1].
When does the contract end?
The listed end time is 2026-10-20T05:45:00Z, which is 1:45 AM Eastern Time on October 20. This is the listed end time from the provider record, and the record does not show a final result [1].
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
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Price gaps of 2 pp+
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Reviewed equivalent pairs
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No currently reviewed equivalent pairs with both binary Yes prices are available.
Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.