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NY-13 Democratic primary: Darializa Avila Chevalier vote percent

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NY-13 Democratic primary: Darializa Avila Chevalier vote percent

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Will Darializa Avila Chevalier receive at least 45% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-13 Democratic primary?

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Single-Platform Markets(6)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Darializa Avila Chevalier receive at least 45% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-13 Democratic primary?	Kalshi	100%
Will Darializa Avila Chevalier receive at least 40% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-13 Democratic primary?	Kalshi	100%
Will Darializa Avila Chevalier receive at least 35% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-13 Democratic primary?	Kalshi	100%
Will Darializa Avila Chevalier receive at least 50% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-13 Democratic primary?	Kalshi	3%
Will Darializa Avila Chevalier receive at least 55% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-13 Democratic primary?	Kalshi	2%
Will Darializa Avila Chevalier receive at least 60% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-13 Democratic primary?	Kalshi	1%

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Vote Percent - Darializa Avila Chevalier If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Darializa Avila Chevalier in the 2026 NY-13 Democratic primary is X to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes. The percentage is calculated as, total votes received by the specified person/party ÷ total valid votes cast, × 100, rounded to the specified decimal places. Resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are i

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Friday, July 10, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** NY-13 Democratic primary: Darializa Avila Chevalier vote percent
**Category:** Elections | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** Vote Percent - Darializa Avila Chevalier

If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Darializa Avila Chevalier in the 2026 NY-13 Democratic primary is X to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes. The percentage is calculated as, total votes received by the specified person/party ÷ total valid votes cast, × 100, rounded to the specified decimal places. Resolution is based on certified/official results only, not preliminary results. Write-in votes are i

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Darializa Avila Chevalier in the 2026 NY-13 Democratic primary is 60% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The percentage is calculated as (total votes received by the specified person/part"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $0
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Darializa Avila Chevalier receive at least 60% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-13 Democratic primary?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jun 23, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 1.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Darializa Avila Chevalier receive at least 55% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-13 Democratic primary?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jun 23, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Darializa Avila Chevalier receive at least 50% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-13 Democratic primary?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jun 23, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Darializa Avila Chevalier receive at least 45% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-13 Democratic primary?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jun 23, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 99.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 0.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Darializa Avila Chevalier receive at least 40% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-13 Democratic primary?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jun 23, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 99.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 0.5% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Darializa Avila Chevalier receive at least 35% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-13 Democratic primary?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jun 23, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 99.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 0.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHIElections

NY-13 Democratic primary: Darializa Avila Chevalier vote percent

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KALSHI

Will Darializa Avila Chevalier receive at least 45% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-13 Democratic primary?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 99.5¢No 0.5¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will Darializa Avila Chevalier receive at least 45% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-13 Democratic primary?

If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Darializa Avila Chevalier in the 2026 NY-13 Democratic primary is 45% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The percentage is calculated as (total votes received by the specified person/part

KALSHI

Will Darializa Avila Chevalier receive at least 40% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-13 Democratic primary?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 99.5¢No 0.5¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will Darializa Avila Chevalier receive at least 40% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-13 Democratic primary?

If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Darializa Avila Chevalier in the 2026 NY-13 Democratic primary is 40% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The percentage is calculated as (total votes received by the specified person/part

KALSHI

Will Darializa Avila Chevalier receive at least 35% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-13 Democratic primary?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 99.5¢No 0.5¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will Darializa Avila Chevalier receive at least 35% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-13 Democratic primary?

If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Darializa Avila Chevalier in the 2026 NY-13 Democratic primary is 35% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The percentage is calculated as (total votes received by the specified person/part

KALSHI

Will Darializa Avila Chevalier receive at least 50% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-13 Democratic primary?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 2.5¢No 97.5¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will Darializa Avila Chevalier receive at least 50% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-13 Democratic primary?

If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Darializa Avila Chevalier in the 2026 NY-13 Democratic primary is 50% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The percentage is calculated as (total votes received by the specified person/part

KALSHI

Will Darializa Avila Chevalier receive at least 55% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-13 Democratic primary?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 2.0¢No 98.0¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will Darializa Avila Chevalier receive at least 55% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-13 Democratic primary?

If the certified percentage of the popular vote received by Darializa Avila Chevalier in the 2026 NY-13 Democratic primary is 55% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The percentage is calculated as (total votes received by the specified person/part

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/Iqqquf" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="NY-13 Democratic primary: Darializa Avila Chevalier vote percent"></iframe>

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NY-13 Democratic primary: Darializa Avila Chevalier vote percent

NY-13 Democratic primary: Darializa Avila Chevalier vote percent

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Will Darializa Avila Chevalier receive at least 45% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-13 Democratic primary?

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Events (1)

NY-13 Democratic primary: Darializa Avila Chevalier vote percent

Markets (6)

Will Darializa Avila Chevalier receive at least 45% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-13 Democratic primary?

Will Darializa Avila Chevalier receive at least 45% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-13 Democratic primary?

Will Darializa Avila Chevalier receive at least 40% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-13 Democratic primary?

Will Darializa Avila Chevalier receive at least 40% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-13 Democratic primary?

Will Darializa Avila Chevalier receive at least 35% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-13 Democratic primary?

Will Darializa Avila Chevalier receive at least 35% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-13 Democratic primary?

Will Darializa Avila Chevalier receive at least 50% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-13 Democratic primary?

Will Darializa Avila Chevalier receive at least 50% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-13 Democratic primary?

Will Darializa Avila Chevalier receive at least 55% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-13 Democratic primary?

Will Darializa Avila Chevalier receive at least 55% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-13 Democratic primary?

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Will Darializa Avila Chevalier receive at least 45% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-13 Democratic primary?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

NY-13 Democratic primary: Darializa Avila Chevalier vote percent

Will Darializa Avila Chevalier receive at least 45% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-13 Democratic primary?

Will Darializa Avila Chevalier receive at least 45% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-13 Democratic primary?

Will Darializa Avila Chevalier receive at least 40% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-13 Democratic primary?

Will Darializa Avila Chevalier receive at least 40% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-13 Democratic primary?

Will Darializa Avila Chevalier receive at least 35% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-13 Democratic primary?

Will Darializa Avila Chevalier receive at least 35% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-13 Democratic primary?

Will Darializa Avila Chevalier receive at least 50% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-13 Democratic primary?

Will Darializa Avila Chevalier receive at least 50% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-13 Democratic primary?

Will Darializa Avila Chevalier receive at least 55% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-13 Democratic primary?

Will Darializa Avila Chevalier receive at least 55% of the popular vote in the 2026 NY-13 Democratic primary?

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