Skip to main content
Market snapshot: . Prices may have changed since this snapshot.
Events
GroupKALSHI

30Y US Treasury yield on Oct 30, 2026?

30Y US Treasury yield on Oct 30, 2026?
Vol

K 972 contracts

|
Events

1

|
Markets

15

Current odds

Snapshot from

As of Oct 27, 2026, 6:00 PM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Kalshi is 5.16% or above at 94%.

Kalshi

  1. 5.16% or above94%
  2. 5.18% or above92.5%
  3. 5.2% or above88.5%
  4. 5.22% or above86%
  5. 5.24% or above81%

Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks

K 972 contracts

Reported volume · provider units

15

Saved contracts

0

Same-question pairs

Source snapshot: Oct 27, 2026, 6:00 PM UTC

About This Event

On Oct 30, 2026 If the par yield for the 30Y U.S. Treasury is above X on Oct 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Oct 30, 2026, or one week following Oct 30, 2026.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.

KalshiEconomics
30Y US Treasury yield on Oct 30, 2026?

30Y US Treasury yield on Oct 30, 2026?

K 5.9K contracts
Will the 30Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.10% on Oct 30, 2026?Yes 96%
Will the 30Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.12% on Oct 30, 2026?Yes 95%
Will the 30Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.14% on Oct 30, 2026?Yes 94.5%
+42 moreNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics
10Y US Treasury yield on Oct 30, 2026?

10Y US Treasury yield on Oct 30, 2026?

K 25.1K contracts
Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.95% on Oct 30, 2026?Yes 70.5%
Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.97% on Oct 30, 2026?Yes 62%
Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.99% on Oct 30, 2026?Yes 53%
+32 moreNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics
7Y US Treasury yield on Oct 30, 2026?

7Y US Treasury yield on Oct 30, 2026?

K 14.7K contracts
Will the 7Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.65% on Oct 30, 2026?Yes 96.5%
Will the 7Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.67% on Oct 30, 2026?Yes 96%
Will the 7Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.71% on Oct 30, 2026?Yes 95.5%
+32 moreNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
KalshiEconomics
5Y US Treasury yield on Oct 30, 2026?

5Y US Treasury yield on Oct 30, 2026?

K 12.1K contracts
Will the 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.75% on Oct 30, 2026?Yes 77.5%
Will the 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.77% on Oct 30, 2026?Yes 74.5%
Will the 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.79% on Oct 30, 2026?Yes 68.5%
+32 moreNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
PolymarketKalshiEconomy
How high will the 30-year US Treasury yield get by Oct 30, 2026?

How high will the 30-year US Treasury yield get by Oct 30, 2026?

PM $23.9K · K 41.4K contracts

Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.76% in October?

Kalshi: Will the 30-year U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.75% by Oct 30, 2026?

Related contracts

PM Yes 2.5%Rules differK Yes 0.5%

Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.85% in October?

Kalshi: Will the 30-year U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.84% by Oct 30, 2026?

Related contracts

PM Yes 2.1%Rules differK Yes 1%

Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.73% in October?

Kalshi: Will the 30-year U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.72% by Oct 30, 2026?

Related contracts

PM Yes 2.1%Rules differK Yes 0.5%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

6 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
PolymarketKalshiEconomy
How high will the 10-year US Treasury yield get by Oct 30, 2026?

How high will the 10-year US Treasury yield get by Oct 30, 2026?

PM $35.9K · K 38.2K contracts

Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.32% in October?

Kalshi: Will the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.31% by Oct 30, 2026?

Related contracts

PM Yes 1.7%Rules differK Yes 0.5%

Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.50% in October?

Kalshi: Will the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.49% by Oct 30, 2026?

Related contracts

PM Yes 1.5%Rules differK Yes 1%

Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 5.38% in October?

Kalshi: Will the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.37% by Oct 30, 2026?

Related contracts

PM Yes 1.3%Rules differK Yes 0.5%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

7 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC

Market Insights

Price gaps of 2 pp+

0

Same-question pairs

0

No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.

Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.

Trade This Market