GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIScience and Technology

What kind of device will Jony Ive and OpenAI announce?

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What kind of device will Jony Ive and OpenAI announce?

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10 markets tracked

What kind of device will Jony Ive and OpenAI announce? (Earbuds/Headphones)

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Single-Platform Markets(10)

Market	Platform	Price
What kind of device will Jony Ive and OpenAI announce? (Earbuds/Headphones)	Kalshi	37%
What kind of device will Jony Ive and OpenAI announce? (Clip-on device for clothing)	Kalshi	13%
What kind of device will Jony Ive and OpenAI announce? (Phone)	Kalshi	11%
What kind of device will Jony Ive and OpenAI announce? (Glasses)	Kalshi	10%
What kind of device will Jony Ive and OpenAI announce? (Head-mounted display)	Kalshi	8%
What kind of device will Jony Ive and OpenAI announce? (Ring)	Kalshi	7%
What kind of device will Jony Ive and OpenAI announce? (Watch)	Kalshi	6%
What kind of device will Jony Ive and OpenAI announce? (Tablet)	Kalshi	6%
What kind of device will Jony Ive and OpenAI announce? (Computer)	Kalshi	5%
What kind of device will Jony Ive and OpenAI announce? (Necklace)	Kalshi	4%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

37%

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$0.00

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About This Event

Before 2027 If OpenAI announces its first hardware device as part of their collaboration/acquisition of Jony Ive's io that is X before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. If a device fulfills multiple device categories, e.g. , combined headphones and earbuds, then all relevant categories will resolve to Yes. This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Friday, July 10, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** What kind of device will Jony Ive and OpenAI announce?
**Category:** Science and Technology | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** Before 2027

If OpenAI announces its first hardware device as part of their collaboration/acquisition of Jony Ive's io that is X before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. If a device fulfills multiple device categories, e.g. , combined headphones and earbuds, then all relevant categories will resolve to Yes. This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If OpenAI announces its first hardware device as part of their collaboration/acquisition of Jony Ive's io that is Watch before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: If a device fulfills multiple device categories (e.g. , combined headphones and earbuds) then all relevant cat"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $0
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. What kind of device will Jony Ive and OpenAI announce? (Watch)
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 6.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 94.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. What kind of device will Jony Ive and OpenAI announce? (Ring)
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 6.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 93.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. What kind of device will Jony Ive and OpenAI announce? (Necklace)
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 4.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.0% (0.0%)]

### 4. What kind of device will Jony Ive and OpenAI announce? (Head-mounted display)
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 7.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 92.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. What kind of device will Jony Ive and OpenAI announce? (Glasses)
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 9.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 90.5% (0.0%)]

### 6. What kind of device will Jony Ive and OpenAI announce? (Earbuds/Headphones)
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 36.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 63.5% (0.0%)]

### 7. What kind of device will Jony Ive and OpenAI announce? (Clip-on device for clothing)
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 12.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 87.5% (0.0%)]

### 8. What kind of device will Jony Ive and OpenAI announce? (Tablet)
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 6.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 94.0% (0.0%)]

### 9. What kind of device will Jony Ive and OpenAI announce? (Phone)
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 11.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 89.0% (0.0%)]

### 10. What kind of device will Jony Ive and OpenAI announce? (Computer)
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 4.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHIScience and Technology

What kind of device will Jony Ive and OpenAI announce?

Volume$0.00

Markets10

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KALSHI

What kind of device will Jony Ive and OpenAI announce? (Earbuds/Headphones)

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 36.5¢No 63.5¢

KALSHITech

What kind of device will Jony Ive and OpenAI announce? (Earbuds/Headphones)

If OpenAI announces its first hardware device as part of their collaboration/acquisition of Jony Ive's io that is Earbuds/Headphones before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: If a device fulfills multiple device categories (e.g. , combined headphones and earbuds) then all

KALSHI

What kind of device will Jony Ive and OpenAI announce? (Clip-on device for clothing)

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 12.5¢No 87.5¢

KALSHITech

What kind of device will Jony Ive and OpenAI announce? (Clip-on device for clothing)

If OpenAI announces its first hardware device as part of their collaboration/acquisition of Jony Ive's io that is Clip-on device for clothing before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: If a device fulfills multiple device categories (e.g. , combined headphones and earbuds)

KALSHI

What kind of device will Jony Ive and OpenAI announce? (Phone)

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 11.0¢No 89.0¢

KALSHITech

What kind of device will Jony Ive and OpenAI announce? (Phone)

If OpenAI announces its first hardware device as part of their collaboration/acquisition of Jony Ive's io that is Phone before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: If a device fulfills multiple device categories (e.g. , combined headphones and earbuds) then all relevant cat

KALSHI

What kind of device will Jony Ive and OpenAI announce? (Glasses)

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 9.5¢No 90.5¢

KALSHITech

What kind of device will Jony Ive and OpenAI announce? (Glasses)

If OpenAI announces its first hardware device as part of their collaboration/acquisition of Jony Ive's io that is Glasses before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: If a device fulfills multiple device categories (e.g. , combined headphones and earbuds) then all relevant c

KALSHI

What kind of device will Jony Ive and OpenAI announce? (Head-mounted display)

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 7.5¢No 92.5¢

KALSHITech

What kind of device will Jony Ive and OpenAI announce? (Head-mounted display)

If OpenAI announces its first hardware device as part of their collaboration/acquisition of Jony Ive's io that is Head-mounted display before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: If a device fulfills multiple device categories (e.g. , combined headphones and earbuds) then a

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What kind of device will Jony Ive and OpenAI announce? (Earbuds/Headphones)

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Events (1)

What kind of device will Jony Ive and OpenAI announce?

Markets (10)

What kind of device will Jony Ive and OpenAI announce? (Earbuds/Headphones)

What kind of device will Jony Ive and OpenAI announce? (Earbuds/Headphones)

What kind of device will Jony Ive and OpenAI announce? (Clip-on device for clothing)

What kind of device will Jony Ive and OpenAI announce? (Clip-on device for clothing)

What kind of device will Jony Ive and OpenAI announce? (Phone)

What kind of device will Jony Ive and OpenAI announce? (Phone)

What kind of device will Jony Ive and OpenAI announce? (Glasses)

What kind of device will Jony Ive and OpenAI announce? (Glasses)

What kind of device will Jony Ive and OpenAI announce? (Head-mounted display)

What kind of device will Jony Ive and OpenAI announce? (Head-mounted display)

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What kind of device will Jony Ive and OpenAI announce? (Earbuds/Headphones)

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

What kind of device will Jony Ive and OpenAI announce?

What kind of device will Jony Ive and OpenAI announce? (Earbuds/Headphones)

What kind of device will Jony Ive and OpenAI announce? (Earbuds/Headphones)

What kind of device will Jony Ive and OpenAI announce? (Clip-on device for clothing)

What kind of device will Jony Ive and OpenAI announce? (Clip-on device for clothing)

What kind of device will Jony Ive and OpenAI announce? (Phone)

What kind of device will Jony Ive and OpenAI announce? (Phone)

What kind of device will Jony Ive and OpenAI announce? (Glasses)

What kind of device will Jony Ive and OpenAI announce? (Glasses)

What kind of device will Jony Ive and OpenAI announce? (Head-mounted display)

What kind of device will Jony Ive and OpenAI announce? (Head-mounted display)

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