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Event GroupKALSHIElections

South Carolina Democratic Governor nominee?

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South Carolina Democratic Governor nominee?

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4 markets tracked

Will Jermaine Johnson be the Democratic nominee for Governor in South Carolina?

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Single-Platform Markets(4)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Jermaine Johnson be the Democratic nominee for Governor in South Carolina?	Kalshi	67%
Will Billy Webster be the Democratic nominee for Governor in South Carolina?	Kalshi	21%
Will Mullins McLeod be the Democratic nominee for Governor in South Carolina?	Kalshi	8%
Will Justin Bennett be the Democratic nominee for Governor in South Carolina?	Kalshi	4%

AI Analysis

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67%

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About This Event

In 2026 If X wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2026 South Carolina Governorship, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close after X wins the party's nomination. This market will close after X wins the party's nomination.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Friday, July 10, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** South Carolina Democratic Governor nominee?
**Category:** Elections | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** In 2026

If X wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2026 South Carolina Governorship, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close after X wins the party's nomination. This market will close after X wins the party's nomination.

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If Mullins McLeod wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2026 South Carolina Governorship, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close after Mullins McLeod wins the party's nomination."

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $0
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Mullins McLeod be the Democratic nominee for Governor in South Carolina?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 3, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 7.7% (0.0%)] | [No: 92.3% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Jermaine Johnson be the Democratic nominee for Governor in South Carolina?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 3, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 66.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 33.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Justin Bennett be the Democratic nominee for Governor in South Carolina?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 3, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 4.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.9% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Billy Webster be the Democratic nominee for Governor in South Carolina?
- **Kalshi** (End: Nov 3, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 21.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 79.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHIElections

South Carolina Democratic Governor nominee?

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KALSHI

Will Jermaine Johnson be the Democratic nominee for Governor in South Carolina?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 66.5¢No 33.5¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will Jermaine Johnson be the Democratic nominee for Governor in South Carolina?

If Jermaine Johnson wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2026 South Carolina Governorship, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close after Jermaine Johnson wins the party's nomination.

KALSHI

Will Billy Webster be the Democratic nominee for Governor in South Carolina?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 21.0¢No 79.0¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will Billy Webster be the Democratic nominee for Governor in South Carolina?

If Billy Webster wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2026 South Carolina Governorship, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close after Billy Webster wins the party's nomination.

KALSHI

Will Mullins McLeod be the Democratic nominee for Governor in South Carolina?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 7.7¢No 92.3¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will Mullins McLeod be the Democratic nominee for Governor in South Carolina?

If Mullins McLeod wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2026 South Carolina Governorship, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close after Mullins McLeod wins the party's nomination.

KALSHI

Will Justin Bennett be the Democratic nominee for Governor in South Carolina?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 4.1¢No 95.9¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will Justin Bennett be the Democratic nominee for Governor in South Carolina?

If Justin Bennett wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the 2026 South Carolina Governorship, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close after Justin Bennett wins the party's nomination.

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/JeTmYq" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="South Carolina Democratic Governor nominee?"></iframe>

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South Carolina Democratic Governor nominee?

South Carolina Democratic Governor nominee?

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Will Jermaine Johnson be the Democratic nominee for Governor in South Carolina?

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Events (1)

South Carolina Democratic Governor nominee?

Markets (4)

Will Jermaine Johnson be the Democratic nominee for Governor in South Carolina?

Will Jermaine Johnson be the Democratic nominee for Governor in South Carolina?

Will Billy Webster be the Democratic nominee for Governor in South Carolina?

Will Billy Webster be the Democratic nominee for Governor in South Carolina?

Will Mullins McLeod be the Democratic nominee for Governor in South Carolina?

Will Mullins McLeod be the Democratic nominee for Governor in South Carolina?

Will Justin Bennett be the Democratic nominee for Governor in South Carolina?

Will Justin Bennett be the Democratic nominee for Governor in South Carolina?

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Will Jermaine Johnson be the Democratic nominee for Governor in South Carolina?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

South Carolina Democratic Governor nominee?

Will Jermaine Johnson be the Democratic nominee for Governor in South Carolina?

Will Jermaine Johnson be the Democratic nominee for Governor in South Carolina?

Will Billy Webster be the Democratic nominee for Governor in South Carolina?

Will Billy Webster be the Democratic nominee for Governor in South Carolina?

Will Mullins McLeod be the Democratic nominee for Governor in South Carolina?

Will Mullins McLeod be the Democratic nominee for Governor in South Carolina?

Will Justin Bennett be the Democratic nominee for Governor in South Carolina?

Will Justin Bennett be the Democratic nominee for Governor in South Carolina?

Related News & Context

Discussion

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