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Events
GroupKALSHI

Lowest temperature in New York City on Nov 12, 2026?

Lowest temperature in New York City on Nov 12, 2026?
Vol

K 3.4K contracts

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Events

1

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Markets

6

Current odds

Snapshot from

As of Nov 12, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Kalshi is 48° to 49° at 38.5%.

Kalshi

  1. 48° to 49°38.5%
  2. 50° to 51°30.5%
  3. 52° to 53°17.5%
  4. 46° to 47°13%
  5. 45° or below3.5%

Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks

K 3.4K contracts

Reported volume · provider units

6

Saved contracts

0

Same-question pairs

Source snapshot: Nov 12, 2026, 3:00 PM UTC

About This Event

On Nov 12, 2026 If the minimum temperature recorded at New York City, CLINYC, for Nov 12, 2026, is X than Y fahrenheit according to The Weather Company, then the market resolves to Yes. Not all weather data is the same. While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market is the maximum/minimum temperature as reported by the Weather Company. Reading weather data Preliminary Weather Company data may be subject to rounding and conversion differences from the final reported value. Use caution when interpreting preliminary Weather Company readings. If it is determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange that there is a material error in the initial non-preliminary publication, Expiration may be held until the publication of a non-materially-erroneous data revision or until the Expiration Date, whichever comes first. If no data is available at the end of this period, all markets will resolve to the last fair price determined by Kalshi. Please note, a status of "Final" on weather.com/kalshi is provided for convenience only, and does not guarantee data to be error-free and thus exempt from the above. The Last Trading Time will be 11:59 PM local time on November 12, 2026 regardless of any data releases or events occurring. Expiration will occur on the sooner of the first 7:00 or 8:00 AM ET following the release of the data for November 12, 2026, or one week after November 12, 2026.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.

KalshiClimate and Weather
Lowest temperature in New York City from Nov 12 to 15, 2026

Lowest temperature in New York City from Nov 12 to 15, 2026

K 175.34 contracts
Will New York City fall below 42°F from Nov 12 to 15, 2026?Yes 91.5%
Will New York City fall below 40°F from Nov 12 to 15, 2026?Yes 82.5%
Will New York City fall below 44°F from Nov 12 to 15, 2026?Yes 54%
+2 moreNext deadline Nov 22, 2026 UTC
KalshiClimate
Highest temperature in New York City on Nov 12, 2026?

Highest temperature in New York City on Nov 12, 2026?

K 56.1K contracts
Will the maximum temperature be 61-62° on Nov 12, 2026?Yes 49.5%
Will the maximum temperature be 59-60° on Nov 12, 2026?Yes 48%
Will the maximum temperature be 63-64° on Nov 12, 2026?Yes 1.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Nov 19, 2026 UTC
KalshiClimate
Lowest temperature in New York City on Nov 13, 2026?

Lowest temperature in New York City on Nov 13, 2026?

K 0 contracts
Will the minimum temperature be 43-44° on Nov 13, 2026?Yes 49.5%
Will the minimum temperature be 41-42° on Nov 13, 2026?Yes 49.5%
Will the minimum temperature be 39-40° on Nov 13, 2026?Yes 49.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Nov 20, 2026 UTC
KalshiTech
Where will it rain on Nov 12, 2026?

Where will it rain on Nov 12, 2026?

K 307.8K contracts
Will it rain in Trenton on Nov 12, 2026?Yes 99.5%
Will it rain in Pittsburgh on Nov 12, 2026?Yes 99.5%
Will it rain in New York City on Nov 12, 2026?Yes 99.5%
+31 moreNext deadline Nov 14, 2026 UTC
KalshiClimate
Lowest temperature in Oklahoma City on Nov 12, 2026?

Lowest temperature in Oklahoma City on Nov 12, 2026?

K 1.4K contracts
Will the minimum temperature be 42-43° on Nov 12, 2026?Yes 96%
Will the minimum temperature be 40-41° on Nov 12, 2026?Yes 3.5%
Will the minimum temperature be <40° on Nov 12, 2026?Yes 2.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Nov 19, 2026 UTC
KalshiClimate
Lowest temperature in New Orleans on Nov 12, 2026?

Lowest temperature in New Orleans on Nov 12, 2026?

K 736.66 contracts
Will the minimum temperature be >59° on Nov 12, 2026?Yes 66%
Will the minimum temperature be 58-59° on Nov 12, 2026?Yes 29%
Will the minimum temperature be 56-57° on Nov 12, 2026?Yes 10%
+3 moreNext deadline Nov 19, 2026 UTC

Market Insights

Price gaps of 2 pp+

0

Same-question pairs

0

No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.

Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.

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