GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIClimate and Weather

Number of tornadoes in Jul 2026?

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Number of tornadoes in Jul 2026?

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Kalshi

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Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

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11 markets tracked

Will there be more than 25 tornadoes in July?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(11)

Market	Platform	Price
Will there be more than 25 tornadoes in July?	Kalshi	100%
Will there be more than 50 tornadoes in July?	Kalshi	96%
Will there be more than 75 tornadoes in July?	Kalshi	93%
Will there be more than 100 tornadoes in July?	Kalshi	78%
Will there be more than 125 tornadoes in July?	Kalshi	65%
Will there be more than 175 tornadoes in July?	Kalshi	17%
Will there be more than 150 tornadoes in July?	Kalshi	16%
Will there be more than 200 tornadoes in July?	Kalshi	12%
Will there be more than 225 tornadoes in July?	Kalshi	9%
Will there be more than 275 tornadoes in July?	Kalshi	6%
Will there be more than 250 tornadoes in July?	Kalshi	5%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

100%

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About This Event

In Jul 2026 If the preliminary number of tornadoes in Jul is above X , then the market resolves to Yes. The number of tornadoes will be determined by the "Storm Reports Legend" shown in the bottom left corner of the "Preliminary Report Summary."

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Friday, July 10, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Number of tornadoes in Jul 2026?
**Category:** Climate and Weather | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** In Jul 2026

If the preliminary number of tornadoes in Jul is above X , then the market resolves to Yes. The number of tornadoes will be determined by the "Storm Reports Legend" shown in the bottom left corner of the "Preliminary Report Summary."

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If the preliminary number of tornadoes in Jul is above 75 , then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The number of tornadoes will be determined by the "Storm Reports Legend" shown in the bottom left corner of the "Preliminary Report Summary.""

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $0
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will there be more than 75 tornadoes in July?
- **Kalshi** (End: Aug 1, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 93.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 7.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will there be more than 50 tornadoes in July?
- **Kalshi** (End: Aug 1, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 95.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 4.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will there be more than 275 tornadoes in July?
- **Kalshi** (End: Aug 1, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 5.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 94.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will there be more than 250 tornadoes in July?
- **Kalshi** (End: Aug 1, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 4.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will there be more than 25 tornadoes in July?
- **Kalshi** (End: Aug 1, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 99.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 0.5% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will there be more than 225 tornadoes in July?
- **Kalshi** (End: Aug 1, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 9.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 91.0% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will there be more than 200 tornadoes in July?
- **Kalshi** (End: Aug 1, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 12.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 88.0% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will there be more than 175 tornadoes in July?
- **Kalshi** (End: Aug 1, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 16.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 83.5% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will there be more than 150 tornadoes in July?
- **Kalshi** (End: Aug 1, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 15.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 84.5% (0.0%)]

### 10. Will there be more than 125 tornadoes in July?
- **Kalshi** (End: Aug 1, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 64.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 35.5% (0.0%)]

### 11. Will there be more than 100 tornadoes in July?
- **Kalshi** (End: Aug 1, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 78.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 21.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHIClimate and Weather

Number of tornadoes in Jul 2026?

Volume$0.00

Markets11

11 of 11

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KALSHI

Will there be more than 25 tornadoes in July?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 99.5¢No 0.5¢

KALSHIClimate

Will there be more than 25 tornadoes in July?

If the preliminary number of tornadoes in Jul is above 25 , then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The number of tornadoes will be determined by the "Storm Reports Legend" shown in the bottom left corner of the "Preliminary Report Summary."

KALSHI

Will there be more than 50 tornadoes in July?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 95.5¢No 4.5¢

KALSHIClimate

Will there be more than 50 tornadoes in July?

If the preliminary number of tornadoes in Jul is above 50 , then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The number of tornadoes will be determined by the "Storm Reports Legend" shown in the bottom left corner of the "Preliminary Report Summary."

KALSHI

Will there be more than 75 tornadoes in July?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 93.0¢No 7.0¢

KALSHIClimate

Will there be more than 75 tornadoes in July?

If the preliminary number of tornadoes in Jul is above 75 , then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The number of tornadoes will be determined by the "Storm Reports Legend" shown in the bottom left corner of the "Preliminary Report Summary."

KALSHI

Will there be more than 100 tornadoes in July?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 78.5¢No 21.5¢

KALSHIClimate

Will there be more than 100 tornadoes in July?

If the preliminary number of tornadoes in Jul is above 100 , then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The number of tornadoes will be determined by the "Storm Reports Legend" shown in the bottom left corner of the "Preliminary Report Summary."

KALSHI

Will there be more than 125 tornadoes in July?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 64.5¢No 35.5¢

KALSHIClimate

Will there be more than 125 tornadoes in July?

If the preliminary number of tornadoes in Jul is above 125 , then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The number of tornadoes will be determined by the "Storm Reports Legend" shown in the bottom left corner of the "Preliminary Report Summary."

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Will there be more than 25 tornadoes in July?

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Educational Context

Events (1)

Number of tornadoes in Jul 2026?

Markets (11)

Will there be more than 25 tornadoes in July?

Will there be more than 25 tornadoes in July?

Will there be more than 50 tornadoes in July?

Will there be more than 50 tornadoes in July?

Will there be more than 75 tornadoes in July?

Will there be more than 75 tornadoes in July?

Will there be more than 100 tornadoes in July?

Will there be more than 100 tornadoes in July?

Will there be more than 125 tornadoes in July?

Will there be more than 125 tornadoes in July?

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Will there be more than 25 tornadoes in July?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Number of tornadoes in Jul 2026?

Will there be more than 25 tornadoes in July?

Will there be more than 25 tornadoes in July?

Will there be more than 50 tornadoes in July?

Will there be more than 50 tornadoes in July?

Will there be more than 75 tornadoes in July?

Will there be more than 75 tornadoes in July?

Will there be more than 100 tornadoes in July?

Will there be more than 100 tornadoes in July?

Will there be more than 125 tornadoes in July?

Will there be more than 125 tornadoes in July?

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