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Bulgaria Presidential Election Second Round: Turnout (Higher Strikes)

Bulgaria Presidential Election Second Round: Turnout (Higher Strikes)
Vol

PM $398.97

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Events

1

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Markets

6

Current odds

Snapshot from

As of Oct 31, 2026, 9:00 AM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Polymarket is <25% at 51%.

Polymarket

  1. <25%51%
  2. 27.5-30%36.5%
  3. 32.5-35%34.4%
  4. 35%+34.4%
  5. 25-27.5%17%

Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks

PM $398.97

Reported volume · provider units

6

Saved contracts

0

Same-question pairs

Source snapshot: Oct 31, 2026, 9:00 AM UTC

About This Event

The second round of the presidential election is scheduled to take place in Bulgaria on November 1, 2026. This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate in the second round of the specified election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of eligible voters (see 2021 example: https://results.cik.bg/pvrns2021/tur2/aktivnost/index.html). If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket. If the results of this election are not known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket. The resolution source for this market will be official information published by the Bulgarian government, specifically the Central Election Commission of Bulgaria (Централна избирателна комисия, CIK) (e.g., https://results.cik.bg/).

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.

PolymarketWorld
Bulgaria Presidential Election Second Round: Turnout

Bulgaria Presidential Election Second Round: Turnout

PM $58.2K
Will voter turnout in the second round of the 2026 Bulgaria presidential election be 24% or more?Yes 80.5%
Will voter turnout in the second round of the 2026 Bulgaria presidential election be 22-24%?Yes 16.5%
Will voter turnout in the second round of the 2026 Bulgaria presidential election be less than 18%?Yes 0.6%
+2 moreNext deadline Nov 2, 2026 UTC
PolymarketWorld
Bulgaria Presidential Election Second Round: Margin of Victory

Bulgaria Presidential Election Second Round: Margin of Victory

PM $13.5K
Will Iliana Iotova win the second round of the 2026 Bulgarian presidential election by 4–8%?Yes 29%
Will Andrey Gyurov win the second round of the 2026 Bulgarian presidential election by less than 4%?Yes 24.5%
Will Iliana Iotova win the second round of the 2026 Bulgarian presidential election by less than 4%?Yes 24%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 2, 2026 UTC
PolymarketKalshiPolitics
2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?

2027 French Presidential Election: who will be on the ballot?

PM $162.73M · K 1.60M contracts

Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?

Kalshi: Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon appear on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?

Related contracts

PM Yes 10.5%Rules differK Yes 96.5%

Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?

Kalshi: Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon appear on the official candidate list for the first round of the 2027 French presidential election?

Same question, fine print differs

PM Yes 92.9%Rules differK Yes 96.5%

Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?

Kalshi: Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon qualify for the runoff in the 2027 French presidential election?

Related contracts

PM Yes 92.9%Rules differK Yes 42%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

247 saved comparisonsNext deadline Apr 17, 2027 UTC
PolymarketKalshiWorld
Bulgarian presidential election winner?

Bulgarian presidential election winner?

PM $2.88M · K 49.3K contracts

Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?

Kalshi: Will Iliana Yotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential election?

Same question, fine print differs

PM Yes 66%Rules differK Yes 66.5%

Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election?

Kalshi: Will Andrey Gyurov win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential election?

Same question, fine print differs

PM Yes 33.5%Rules differK Yes 33.5%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

2 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 2, 2026 UTC
PolymarketWorld
El Salvador Legislative Election: 2nd Place

El Salvador Legislative Election: 2nd Place

PM $16.7K
Will Vamos win the second most seats in the 2027 Salvadoran legislative election?Yes 68%
Will PCN win the second most seats in the 2027 Salvadoran legislative election?Yes 36%
Will ARENA win the second most seats in the 2027 Salvadoran legislative election?Yes 21%
+8 moreNext deadline Mar 1, 2027 UTC
PolymarketWorld
Will anyone win France’s presidential election in the first round?

Will anyone win France’s presidential election in the first round?

PM $4.8K
Will anyone win France’s presidential election in the first round?Yes 7.1%
1 mktNext deadline Apr 19, 2027 UTC

Market Insights

Price gaps of 2 pp+

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Same-question pairs

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No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.

Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.

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