Oil Price (WTI) on Oct 30, 2026?
K 8.1K contracts
1
30
Oil Price (WTI) on Oct 30, 2026?
K 8.1K contracts
1
30
Current odds
Snapshot from
As of Oct 29, 2026, 6:00 PM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Kalshi is Above $95.49 at 98.5%.
Kalshi
- Above $95.4998.5%
- Above $96.4997.5%
- Above $95.9997.5%
- Above $97.4996.5%
- Above $96.9996.5%
Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.
AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
K 8.1K contracts
Reported volume · provider units
30
Saved contracts
0
Same-question pairs
Source snapshot: Oct 29, 2026, 6:00 PM UTC
About This Event
Oct 30, 2026 If the daily settlement price for WTI crude oil, December 2026 contract, on October 30, 2026 is above X USD/Bbl, then the market resolves to Yes. Settlement is based on the nearest listed contract month, rolling forward to the next contract 2 business days before the current contract's last trading day. For example, if the May 2026 contract's last trading day is April 28, the active month switches from May → June 2 business days prior to the expiry date. The settlement contract and corresponding month represent standard exchange symbology where contracts are named after their delivery month, not their expiration date. The settlement value is rounded to the nearest 2 decimal places. If no data is published by the specified source agency for the specified time, then the most recently available published data will be used to resolve the market.
This analysis is awaiting a background update, so its prices may be older than the odds above.
Snapshot observed 2026-10-27T03:00:06.103Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
This snapshot covers a Kalshi event titled "Oil Price (WTI) on Oct 30, 2026?" Each market asks whether the daily settlement price for WTI crude oil, December 2026 contract, on October 30, 2026 falls within a specified price range in USD per barrel. The rules state that the settlement value is rounded to the nearest two decimal places, and that if no data is published by the specified source agency at the specified time, the most recently available published data will be used [1]. The excerpt's rule text contains unfilled placeholders ("X Y"), so each individual market's exact bounds should be confirmed from its own title, which names a $1.00-wide range for each contract.
Two dates matter here. The contract refers to a settlement on October 30, 2026. The market records list an end date of November 6, 2026 at 19:30 UTC [1]. The source also reports that the listed end time is "not supplied," so this record does not establish how the end date relates to the settlement date. A date in the rules is not an announced event date, and neither date tells you when the outcome will be reported.
Reading the snapshot
The provider observed this data at 2026-10-27 03:00:06 UTC and the record was retrieved at 04:19:58 UTC. These are prices from that observation window, not live quotes, and they are not executable prices or verified probabilities.
The sample includes 12 of 27 markets in the saved event. The included markets were selected by highest Yes price, then by volume. Within this sample, the highest Yes price is 0.09 for the 100.00 to 100.99 range, followed by 0.085 for the 101.00 to 101.99 and 99.00 to 99.99 ranges [1]. The lowest included Yes price is 0.035, shared by the 106.00 to 106.99 and 95.00 to 95.99 ranges [1]. Because the omitted markets were not included, they should not be read as having lower prices. The sample also does not show trading volume or the number of traders, so the prices should not be treated as measures of liquidity or consensus.
Prices for different ranges describe different outcomes and should not be averaged or combined. This event is a single provider event, so no rankings should be compared with other platforms or events.
What remains uncertain
The saved record does not explain why any price is where it is, and it does not show any news, current conditions, or changes over time. It also does not establish the official settlement value, since that will depend on the source agency's publication. Because the record does not include a listed end time, readers should check the platform directly for the closing schedule and the final rules before drawing conclusions about timing.
References
- Kalshi: Oil Price (WTI) on Oct 30, 2026?. Provider data observed 2026-10-27T03:00:06.103Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Oct 27, 2026 UTCOverview
The market is titled "Oil Price (WTI) on Oct 30, 2026?" and is listed on Kalshi [1]. It asks about the daily settlement price of WTI crude oil, December 2026 contract, on October 30, 2026, measured in US dollars per barrel [1]. Rather than asking one question, the event is split into many separate markets, each covering a narrow price range. A range market resolves Yes if the settlement price falls within that range, and resolves No otherwise [1]. For example, one market in the sample asks whether the settlement will be between 100.00 and 100.99 USD/Bbl on October 30, 2026 [1]. The contract rules set out how the settlement value is handled. It is rounded to the nearest two decimal places [1]. If the specified source agency does not publish data for the required time, the most recently available published data is used to resolve the market instead [1]. The provider lists the event as active, but no listed end time is given in the saved record [1]. The price data in this article is a snapshot. The saved record was observed at 03:00 UTC on October 27, 2026, and the sample lists a close date of November 6, 2026 at 19:30 UTC for the markets shown [1]. Those dates describe when the provider observed or listed the markets. They do not mean the settlement has occurred, and the October 30 date in the contract title is the settlement date the rules refer to [1]. For the sample, the highest Yes price among the included ranges was 0.09 for the 100.00 to 100.99 range. Other nearby ranges were 0.085 for 101.00 to 101.99 and 0.085 for 99.00 to 99.99 [1]. These are provider-listed snapshot prices, not executable quotes, and the sample does not show every range in the event.
Historical Context
Long-run oil price history gives context for why traders follow WTI settlement prices, but it does not describe the December 2026 contract or current prices. According to a Wikipedia chronology, from the mid-1980s to September 2003 the inflation-adjusted price of a barrel of crude oil on NYMEX was generally under $25 per barrel [2]. Prices rose above $40 during 2004 and then above $60, exceeded $60 by August 11, 2005, and reached $75 by the middle of 2006 [2]. The same chronology reports a rise to $92 per barrel by October 2007 and $99.29 for December futures in New York on November 21, 2007 [2]. On June 27, 2008, prices touched $141.71 per barrel for August delivery on the New York Mercantile Exchange [2]. These figures are for earlier contracts and dates and are not comparable to the October 30, 2026 settlement ranges.
Why It Matters
The contract measures a single number: the daily settlement price of a specific WTI crude oil futures contract, the December 2026 delivery, on one date [1]. Splitting that number into narrow ranges lets each range be priced as its own yes or no question [1]. Because the settlement is rounded to two decimals and has a fallback rule when data is missing, the rules define exactly which published figure decides each range [1]. The resulting prices show how the provider's market currently values each range, which is useful for reading the distribution of outcomes the market covers, but the sample reflects only part of the event [1].
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-27 at 03:00 UTC. It contains listings from Kalshi. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
What must happen for a range market to resolve Yes?
The WTI crude oil settlement price for the December 2026 contract on October 30, 2026 must fall within the stated range in USD per barrel [1]. For example, the 100.00 to 100.99 market resolves Yes only if the settlement is within that band [1].
Why are there so many separate markets under one event?
Each market covers a different price range for the same settlement value, and each has its own Yes and No prices [1]. The provider lists the event with 27 markets in total, and this article draws on 12 of them [1].
What happens if the settlement data is not published on time?
If the specified source agency does not publish data for the specified time, the most recently available published data will be used to resolve the market [1].
Does a Yes price show the chance that the outcome will happen?
The prices in this article are snapshots of what the provider listed at the observation time. They are not executable quotes, and they are not verified probabilities [1]. The sample also omits some ranges, so the prices shown cannot be read as a full picture of the event [1].
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
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Price gaps of 2 pp+
0
Same-question pairs
0
No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.
Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.
