Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIEconomics

Vermont total milk production in 2026

Total Volume

$22.66K

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Vermont total milk production in 2026

Vol

$22.66K

Events

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Kalshi

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Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $22.66K

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $22.66K

100%

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5 markets tracked

Will Vermont’s total milk production for 2026 be above 2.40 billion pounds?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(5)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Vermont’s total milk production for 2026 be above 2.40 billion pounds?	Kalshi	98%
Will Vermont’s total milk production for 2026 be above 2.45 billion pounds?	Kalshi	93%
Will Vermont’s total milk production for 2026 be above 2.50 billion pounds?	Kalshi	66%
Will Vermont’s total milk production for 2026 be above 2.55 billion pounds?	Kalshi	12%
Will Vermont’s total milk production for 2026 be above 2.60 billion pounds?	Kalshi	6%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

98%

Top Probability

$22.66K

Volume

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About This Event

2026 If USDA NASS reports Vermont’s total milk production for calendar year 2026 is above X billion pounds, then the market resolves to Yes. Resolution will be based on Vermont’s total milk production for calendar year 2026, as reported by USDA NASS in its Milk Production, Disposition, and Income annual report. Production is measured in pounds. This market will close and expire early if the economic data is released.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Vermont total milk production in 2026
**Category:** Economics | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** 2026

If USDA NASS reports Vermont’s total milk production for calendar year 2026 is above X billion pounds, then the market resolves to Yes. Resolution will be based on Vermont’s total milk production for calendar year 2026, as reported by USDA NASS in its Milk Production, Disposition, and Income annual report. Production is measured in pounds. This market will close and expire early if the economic data is released.

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If USDA NASS reports Vermont’s total milk production for calendar year 2026 is above 

2.40 billion pounds, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Resolution will be based on Vermont’s total milk production for calendar year 2026, as reported by USDA NASS in its Milk Production, Dispositi"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $22.7K
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Vermont’s total milk production for 2026 be above 2.40 billion pounds?
- **Kalshi** (End: May 7, 2027): Vol $5.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 97.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 2.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Vermont’s total milk production for 2026 be above 2.60 billion pounds?
- **Kalshi** (End: May 7, 2027): Vol $2.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 5.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 94.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Vermont’s total milk production for 2026 be above 2.55 billion pounds?
- **Kalshi** (End: May 7, 2027): Vol $8.4K
  DATA: [Yes: 11.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 88.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Vermont’s total milk production for 2026 be above 2.50 billion pounds?
- **Kalshi** (End: May 7, 2027): Vol $2.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 65.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 34.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Vermont’s total milk production for 2026 be above 2.45 billion pounds?
- **Kalshi** (End: May 7, 2027): Vol $5.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 92.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 7.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHIEconomics

Vermont total milk production in 2026

Volume$22.66K

Markets5

5 of 5

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KALSHI

Will Vermont’s total milk production for 2026 be above 2.40 billion pounds?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 97.5¢No 2.5¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will Vermont’s total milk production for 2026 be above 2.40 billion pounds?

If USDA NASS reports Vermont’s total milk production for calendar year 2026 is above 2.40 billion pounds, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Resolution will be based on Vermont’s total milk production for calendar year 2026, as reported by USDA NASS in its Milk Production, Dispositi

KALSHI

Will Vermont’s total milk production for 2026 be above 2.45 billion pounds?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 92.5¢No 7.5¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will Vermont’s total milk production for 2026 be above 2.45 billion pounds?

If USDA NASS reports Vermont’s total milk production for calendar year 2026 is above 2.45 billion pounds, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Resolution will be based on Vermont’s total milk production for calendar year 2026, as reported by USDA NASS in its Milk Production, Dispositi

KALSHI

Will Vermont’s total milk production for 2026 be above 2.50 billion pounds?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 65.5¢No 34.5¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will Vermont’s total milk production for 2026 be above 2.50 billion pounds?

If USDA NASS reports Vermont’s total milk production for calendar year 2026 is above 2.50 billion pounds, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Resolution will be based on Vermont’s total milk production for calendar year 2026, as reported by USDA NASS in its Milk Production, Dispositi

KALSHI

Will Vermont’s total milk production for 2026 be above 2.55 billion pounds?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 11.5¢No 88.5¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will Vermont’s total milk production for 2026 be above 2.55 billion pounds?

If USDA NASS reports Vermont’s total milk production for calendar year 2026 is above 2.55 billion pounds, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Resolution will be based on Vermont’s total milk production for calendar year 2026, as reported by USDA NASS in its Milk Production, Dispositi

KALSHI

Will Vermont’s total milk production for 2026 be above 2.60 billion pounds?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 5.5¢No 94.5¢

KALSHIPolitics

Will Vermont’s total milk production for 2026 be above 2.60 billion pounds?

If USDA NASS reports Vermont’s total milk production for calendar year 2026 is above 2.60 billion pounds, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Resolution will be based on Vermont’s total milk production for calendar year 2026, as reported by USDA NASS in its Milk Production, Dispositi

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Will Vermont’s total milk production for 2026 be above 2.40 billion pounds?

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Events (1)

Vermont total milk production in 2026

Markets (5)

Will Vermont’s total milk production for 2026 be above 2.40 billion pounds?

Will Vermont’s total milk production for 2026 be above 2.40 billion pounds?

Will Vermont’s total milk production for 2026 be above 2.45 billion pounds?

Will Vermont’s total milk production for 2026 be above 2.45 billion pounds?

Will Vermont’s total milk production for 2026 be above 2.50 billion pounds?

Will Vermont’s total milk production for 2026 be above 2.50 billion pounds?

Will Vermont’s total milk production for 2026 be above 2.55 billion pounds?

Will Vermont’s total milk production for 2026 be above 2.55 billion pounds?

Will Vermont’s total milk production for 2026 be above 2.60 billion pounds?

Will Vermont’s total milk production for 2026 be above 2.60 billion pounds?

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Will Vermont’s total milk production for 2026 be above 2.40 billion pounds?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Vermont total milk production in 2026

Will Vermont’s total milk production for 2026 be above 2.40 billion pounds?

Will Vermont’s total milk production for 2026 be above 2.40 billion pounds?

Will Vermont’s total milk production for 2026 be above 2.45 billion pounds?

Will Vermont’s total milk production for 2026 be above 2.45 billion pounds?

Will Vermont’s total milk production for 2026 be above 2.50 billion pounds?

Will Vermont’s total milk production for 2026 be above 2.50 billion pounds?

Will Vermont’s total milk production for 2026 be above 2.55 billion pounds?

Will Vermont’s total milk production for 2026 be above 2.55 billion pounds?

Will Vermont’s total milk production for 2026 be above 2.60 billion pounds?

Will Vermont’s total milk production for 2026 be above 2.60 billion pounds?

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