Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIEconomics

Wyoming total coal production in 2026

Total Volume

$131.05K

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Markets

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Wyoming total coal production in 2026

Vol

$131.05K

Events

Markets

Kalshi

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Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $131.05K

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $131.05K

100%

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8 markets tracked

Will Wyoming’s total coal production for calendar year 2026 be above 180 MMst?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(8)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Wyoming’s total coal production for calendar year 2026 be above 180 MMst?	Kalshi	97%
Will Wyoming’s total coal production for calendar year 2026 be above 190 MMst?	Kalshi	95%
Will Wyoming’s total coal production for calendar year 2026 be above 200 MMst?	Kalshi	85%
Will Wyoming’s total coal production for calendar year 2026 be above 210 MMst?	Kalshi	30%
Will Wyoming’s total coal production for calendar year 2026 be above 220 MMst?	Kalshi	6%
Will Wyoming’s total coal production for calendar year 2026 be above 230 MMst?	Kalshi	5%
Will Wyoming’s total coal production for calendar year 2026 be above 240 MMst?	Kalshi	4%
Will Wyoming’s total coal production for calendar year 2026 be above 250 MMst?	Kalshi	3%

AI Analysis

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97%

Top Probability

$131.05K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

calendar year 2026 If Wyoming’s total coal production for calendar year 2026 is above X MMst, then the market resolves to Yes. Resolution will be based on Wyoming’s total coal production for calendar year 2026, as reported by the U.S. Energy Information Administration in Table 2, Coal Production by State, of the first Quarterly Coal Report containing full-year 2026 data. Production is measured in million short tons. If EIA reports production in thousand short tons, the figure will be converted

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Wyoming total coal production in 2026
**Category:** Economics | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** calendar year 2026

If Wyoming’s total coal production for calendar year 2026 is above X MMst, then the market resolves to Yes. Resolution will be based on Wyoming’s total coal production for calendar year 2026, as reported by the U.S. Energy Information Administration in Table 2, Coal Production by State, of the first Quarterly Coal Report containing full-year 2026 data. Production is measured in million short tons. If EIA reports production in thousand short tons, the figure will be converted 

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If Wyoming’s total coal production for calendar year 2026 is above 

250 MMst, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Resolution will be based on Wyoming’s total coal production for calendar year 2026, as reported by the U.S. Energy Information Administration in Table 2, Coal Production b"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $131.0K
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Wyoming’s total coal production for calendar year 2026 be above 250 MMst?
- **Kalshi** (End: Apr 8, 2027): Vol $21.9K
  DATA: [Yes: 2.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Wyoming’s total coal production for calendar year 2026 be above 180 MMst?
- **Kalshi** (End: Apr 8, 2027): Vol $28.4K
  DATA: [Yes: 96.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 3.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Wyoming’s total coal production for calendar year 2026 be above 190 MMst?
- **Kalshi** (End: Apr 8, 2027): Vol $10.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 94.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 5.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Wyoming’s total coal production for calendar year 2026 be above 200 MMst?
- **Kalshi** (End: Apr 8, 2027): Vol $1.6K
  DATA: [Yes: 84.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 15.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Wyoming’s total coal production for calendar year 2026 be above 240 MMst?
- **Kalshi** (End: Apr 8, 2027): Vol $4.6K
  DATA: [Yes: 3.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.5% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Wyoming’s total coal production for calendar year 2026 be above 230 MMst?
- **Kalshi** (End: Apr 8, 2027): Vol $27.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 4.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.5% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will Wyoming’s total coal production for calendar year 2026 be above 220 MMst?
- **Kalshi** (End: Apr 8, 2027): Vol $24.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 5.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 94.5% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will Wyoming’s total coal production for calendar year 2026 be above 210 MMst?
- **Kalshi** (End: Apr 8, 2027): Vol $13.6K
  DATA: [Yes: 29.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 70.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHIEconomics

Wyoming total coal production in 2026

Volume$131.05K

Markets8

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KALSHI

Will Wyoming’s total coal production for calendar year 2026 be above 180 MMst?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 96.5¢No 3.5¢

KALSHIOther

Will Wyoming’s total coal production for calendar year 2026 be above 180 MMst?

If Wyoming’s total coal production for calendar year 2026 is above 180 MMst, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Resolution will be based on Wyoming’s total coal production for calendar year 2026, as reported by the U.S. Energy Information Administration in Table 2, Coal Production b

KALSHI

Will Wyoming’s total coal production for calendar year 2026 be above 190 MMst?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 94.5¢No 5.5¢

KALSHIOther

Will Wyoming’s total coal production for calendar year 2026 be above 190 MMst?

If Wyoming’s total coal production for calendar year 2026 is above 190 MMst, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Resolution will be based on Wyoming’s total coal production for calendar year 2026, as reported by the U.S. Energy Information Administration in Table 2, Coal Production b

KALSHI

Will Wyoming’s total coal production for calendar year 2026 be above 200 MMst?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 84.5¢No 15.5¢

KALSHIOther

Will Wyoming’s total coal production for calendar year 2026 be above 200 MMst?

If Wyoming’s total coal production for calendar year 2026 is above 200 MMst, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Resolution will be based on Wyoming’s total coal production for calendar year 2026, as reported by the U.S. Energy Information Administration in Table 2, Coal Production b

KALSHI

Will Wyoming’s total coal production for calendar year 2026 be above 210 MMst?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 29.5¢No 70.5¢

KALSHIOther

Will Wyoming’s total coal production for calendar year 2026 be above 210 MMst?

If Wyoming’s total coal production for calendar year 2026 is above 210 MMst, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Resolution will be based on Wyoming’s total coal production for calendar year 2026, as reported by the U.S. Energy Information Administration in Table 2, Coal Production by

KALSHI

Will Wyoming’s total coal production for calendar year 2026 be above 220 MMst?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 5.5¢No 94.5¢

KALSHIOther

Will Wyoming’s total coal production for calendar year 2026 be above 220 MMst?

If Wyoming’s total coal production for calendar year 2026 is above 220 MMst, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: Resolution will be based on Wyoming’s total coal production for calendar year 2026, as reported by the U.S. Energy Information Administration in Table 2, Coal Production by

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40¢

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Will Wyoming’s total coal production for calendar year 2026 be above 180 MMst?

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Educational Context

Events (1)

Wyoming total coal production in 2026

Markets (8)

Will Wyoming’s total coal production for calendar year 2026 be above 180 MMst?

Will Wyoming’s total coal production for calendar year 2026 be above 180 MMst?

Will Wyoming’s total coal production for calendar year 2026 be above 190 MMst?

Will Wyoming’s total coal production for calendar year 2026 be above 190 MMst?

Will Wyoming’s total coal production for calendar year 2026 be above 200 MMst?

Will Wyoming’s total coal production for calendar year 2026 be above 200 MMst?

Will Wyoming’s total coal production for calendar year 2026 be above 210 MMst?

Will Wyoming’s total coal production for calendar year 2026 be above 210 MMst?

Will Wyoming’s total coal production for calendar year 2026 be above 220 MMst?

Will Wyoming’s total coal production for calendar year 2026 be above 220 MMst?

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Will Wyoming’s total coal production for calendar year 2026 be above 180 MMst?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Wyoming total coal production in 2026

Will Wyoming’s total coal production for calendar year 2026 be above 180 MMst?

Will Wyoming’s total coal production for calendar year 2026 be above 180 MMst?

Will Wyoming’s total coal production for calendar year 2026 be above 190 MMst?

Will Wyoming’s total coal production for calendar year 2026 be above 190 MMst?

Will Wyoming’s total coal production for calendar year 2026 be above 200 MMst?

Will Wyoming’s total coal production for calendar year 2026 be above 200 MMst?

Will Wyoming’s total coal production for calendar year 2026 be above 210 MMst?

Will Wyoming’s total coal production for calendar year 2026 be above 210 MMst?

Will Wyoming’s total coal production for calendar year 2026 be above 220 MMst?

Will Wyoming’s total coal production for calendar year 2026 be above 220 MMst?

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