Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIEconomics

New Jersey gas price at year-end 2026

Total Volume

$1.22K

Events

Markets

Trade on Kalshi

New Jersey gas price at year-end 2026

Vol

$1.22K

Events

Markets

Kalshi

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $1.22K

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $1.22K

100%

Kalshi leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

14 markets tracked

Will average gas prices be above $3.7000?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(14)

Market	Platform	Price
Will average gas prices be above $3.7000?	Kalshi	51%
Will average gas prices be above $5.0000?	Kalshi	50%
Will average gas prices be above $4.6000?	Kalshi	50%
Will average gas prices be above $4.5000?	Kalshi	50%
Will average gas prices be above $4.4000?	Kalshi	50%
Will average gas prices be above $4.3000?	Kalshi	50%
Will average gas prices be above $4.1000?	Kalshi	50%
Will average gas prices be above $4.0000?	Kalshi	50%
Will average gas prices be above $3.9000?	Kalshi	50%
Will average gas prices be above $3.8000?	Kalshi	50%
Will average gas prices be above $4.2000?	Kalshi	46%
Will average gas prices be above $4.7000?	Kalshi	21%
Will average gas prices be above $4.8000?	Kalshi	20%
Will average gas prices be above $4.9000?	Kalshi	17%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

51%

Top Probability

$1.22K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

On Dec 31, 2026 If average regular gas prices for New Jersey are strictly greater than X on Dec 31, 2026 according to AAA, then the market resolves to Yes.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Tap to expand

Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** New Jersey gas price at year-end 2026
**Category:** Economics | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** On Dec 31, 2026

If average regular gas prices for New Jersey are strictly greater than X on Dec 31, 2026 according to AAA, then the market resolves to Yes.

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If average regular gas prices for New Jersey are strictly greater than $5.0000 on Dec 31, 2026 according to AAA, then the market resolves to Yes."

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $1.2K
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will average **gas prices** be above $5.0000?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 7, 2027): Vol $141
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will average **gas prices** be above $4.9000?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 7, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 17.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 83.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will average **gas prices** be above $4.8000?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 7, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 19.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 80.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will average **gas prices** be above $4.7000?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 7, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 20.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 79.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will average **gas prices** be above $4.6000?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 7, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will average **gas prices** be above $4.5000?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 7, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will average **gas prices** be above $4.4000?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 7, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will average **gas prices** be above $4.3000?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 7, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will average **gas prices** be above $4.2000?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 7, 2027): Vol $70
  DATA: [Yes: 45.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 54.5% (0.0%)]

### 10. Will average **gas prices** be above $4.1000?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 7, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 11. Will average **gas prices** be above $4.0000?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 7, 2027): Vol $65
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 12. Will average **gas prices** be above $3.9000?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 7, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 13. Will average **gas prices** be above $3.8000?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 7, 2027): Vol $600
  DATA: [Yes: 50.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 50.0% (0.0%)]

### 14. Will average **gas prices** be above $3.7000?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 7, 2027): Vol $344
  DATA: [Yes: 51.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 49.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHIEconomics

New Jersey gas price at year-end 2026

On Dec 31, 2026 If average regular gas prices for New Jersey are strictly greater than X on Dec 31, 2026 according to AAA, then the market resolves to Yes.

Volume$1.22K

Markets14

14 of 14

Sort:

KALSHI

Will average gas prices be above $3.7000?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 51.0¢No 49.0¢

KALSHIOther

Will average gas prices be above $3.7000?

If average regular gas prices for New Jersey are strictly greater than $3.7000 on Dec 31, 2026 according to AAA, then the market resolves to Yes.

KALSHI

Will average gas prices be above $5.0000?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 50.0¢No 50.0¢

KALSHIOther

Will average gas prices be above $5.0000?

If average regular gas prices for New Jersey are strictly greater than $5.0000 on Dec 31, 2026 according to AAA, then the market resolves to Yes.

KALSHI

Will average gas prices be above $4.6000?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 50.0¢No 50.0¢

KALSHIOther

Will average gas prices be above $4.6000?

If average regular gas prices for New Jersey are strictly greater than $4.6000 on Dec 31, 2026 according to AAA, then the market resolves to Yes.

KALSHI

Will average gas prices be above $4.5000?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 50.0¢No 50.0¢

KALSHIOther

Will average gas prices be above $4.5000?

If average regular gas prices for New Jersey are strictly greater than $4.5000 on Dec 31, 2026 according to AAA, then the market resolves to Yes.

KALSHI

Will average gas prices be above $4.4000?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 50.0¢No 50.0¢

KALSHIOther

Will average gas prices be above $4.4000?

If average regular gas prices for New Jersey are strictly greater than $4.4000 on Dec 31, 2026 according to AAA, then the market resolves to Yes.

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Market Insights

Average Yes Price

43¢

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/KJobI4" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="New Jersey gas price at year-end 2026"></iframe>

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New Jersey gas price at year-end 2026

New Jersey gas price at year-end 2026

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Will average **gas prices** be above $3.7000?

AI Analysis

About This Event

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Educational Context

Events (1)

New Jersey gas price at year-end 2026

Markets (14)

Will average **gas prices** be above $3.7000?

Will average **gas prices** be above $3.7000?

Will average **gas prices** be above $5.0000?

Will average **gas prices** be above $5.0000?

Will average **gas prices** be above $4.6000?

Will average **gas prices** be above $4.6000?

Will average **gas prices** be above $4.5000?

Will average **gas prices** be above $4.5000?

Will average **gas prices** be above $4.4000?

Will average **gas prices** be above $4.4000?

Related News & Context

Discussion

Market Insights

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Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

Will average **gas prices** be above $3.7000?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

New Jersey gas price at year-end 2026

Will average **gas prices** be above $3.7000?

Will average **gas prices** be above $3.7000?

Will average **gas prices** be above $5.0000?

Will average **gas prices** be above $5.0000?

Will average **gas prices** be above $4.6000?

Will average **gas prices** be above $4.6000?

Will average **gas prices** be above $4.5000?

Will average **gas prices** be above $4.5000?

Will average **gas prices** be above $4.4000?

Will average **gas prices** be above $4.4000?

Related News & Context

Discussion

Share

Embed Widget

Will average gas prices be above $3.7000?

Will average gas prices be above $3.7000?

Will average gas prices be above $3.7000?

Will average gas prices be above $5.0000?

Will average gas prices be above $5.0000?

Will average gas prices be above $4.6000?

Will average gas prices be above $4.6000?

Will average gas prices be above $4.5000?

Will average gas prices be above $4.5000?

Will average gas prices be above $4.4000?

Will average gas prices be above $4.4000?

Will average gas prices be above $3.7000?

Will average gas prices be above $3.7000?

Will average gas prices be above $3.7000?

Will average gas prices be above $5.0000?

Will average gas prices be above $5.0000?

Will average gas prices be above $4.6000?

Will average gas prices be above $4.6000?

Will average gas prices be above $4.5000?

Will average gas prices be above $4.5000?

Will average gas prices be above $4.4000?

Will average gas prices be above $4.4000?