Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIPolitics

What cases will the Supreme Court agree to hear in 2026?

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$48.18K

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What cases will the Supreme Court agree to hear in 2026?

Vol

$48.18K

Events

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Kalshi

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Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $48.18K

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0.0%avg

max 0.0%

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Volume DistributionTotal: $48.18K

100%

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10 markets tracked

What cases will the Supreme Court agree to hear before Jan 2027? (Roybal v. Griffith)

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Single-Platform Markets(10)

Market	Platform	Price
What cases will the Supreme Court agree to hear before Jan 2027? (Roybal v. Griffith)	Kalshi	58%
What cases will the Supreme Court agree to hear before Jan 2027? (U.S. DOGE Service v. U.S. District Court)	Kalshi	37%
What cases will the Supreme Court agree to hear before Jan 2027? (Bird v. Iowa Migrant Movement for Justice)	Kalshi	32%
What cases will the Supreme Court agree to hear before Jan 2027? (Republican National Committee v. Eakin)	Kalshi	31%
What cases will the Supreme Court agree to hear before Jan 2027? (Pharmaceutical Research and Manufacturers of America v. O’Day)	Kalshi	25%
What cases will the Supreme Court agree to hear before Jan 2027? (Khalid Shaikh Mohammad v. United States)	Kalshi	16%
What cases will the Supreme Court agree to hear before Jan 2027? (Moylan v. Guam Society of Obstetrician and Gynecologists)	Kalshi	10%
What cases will the Supreme Court agree to hear before Jan 2027? (Duncan v. Bonta)	Kalshi	9%
What cases will the Supreme Court agree to hear before Jan 2027? (Norfolk Southern Railway v. Mallory)	Kalshi	8%
What cases will the Supreme Court agree to hear before Jan 2027? (Buenrostro-Mendez v. Blanche)	Kalshi	6%

AI Analysis

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58%

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$48.18K

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About This Event

Before Jan 2027 If the Supreme Court grants a writ of certiorari X v. Y before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs. This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** What cases will the Supreme Court agree to hear in 2026?
**Category:** Politics | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** Before Jan 2027

If the Supreme Court grants a writ of certiorari X v. Y before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs. This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If the Supreme Court grants a writ of certiorari to U.S. DOGE Service v. U.S. District Court before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs."

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $48.2K
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. What cases will the Supreme Court agree to hear before Jan 2027? (U.S. DOGE Service v. U.S. District Court)
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $914
  DATA: [Yes: 37.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 63.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. What cases will the Supreme Court agree to hear before Jan 2027? (Roybal v. Griffith)
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $5.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 58.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 42.0% (0.0%)]

### 3. What cases will the Supreme Court agree to hear before Jan 2027? (Republican National Committee v. Eakin)
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $4.5K
  DATA: [Yes: 30.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 69.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. What cases will the Supreme Court agree to hear before Jan 2027? (Pharmaceutical Research and Manufacturers of America v. O’Day)
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $7.6K
  DATA: [Yes: 24.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 75.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. What cases will the Supreme Court agree to hear before Jan 2027? (Norfolk Southern Railway v. Mallory)
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $6.6K
  DATA: [Yes: 8.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 92.0% (0.0%)]

### 6. What cases will the Supreme Court agree to hear before Jan 2027? (Moylan v. Guam Society of Obstetrician and Gynecologists)
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 9.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 90.5% (0.0%)]

### 7. What cases will the Supreme Court agree to hear before Jan 2027? (Khalid Shaikh Mohammad v. United States)
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $300
  DATA: [Yes: 16.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 84.0% (0.0%)]

### 8. What cases will the Supreme Court agree to hear before Jan 2027? (Duncan v. Bonta)
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $998
  DATA: [Yes: 8.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 91.5% (0.0%)]

### 9. What cases will the Supreme Court agree to hear before Jan 2027? (Buenrostro-Mendez v. Blanche)
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $18.4K
  DATA: [Yes: 5.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 94.5% (0.0%)]

### 10. What cases will the Supreme Court agree to hear before Jan 2027? (Bird v. Iowa Migrant Movement for Justice)
- **Kalshi** (End: Jan 1, 2027): Vol $3.5K
  DATA: [Yes: 32.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 68.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHIPolitics

What cases will the Supreme Court agree to hear in 2026?

Volume$48.18K

Markets10

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KALSHI

What cases will the Supreme Court agree to hear before Jan 2027? (Roybal v. Griffith)

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 58.0¢No 42.0¢

KALSHIPolitics

What cases will the Supreme Court agree to hear before Jan 2027? (Roybal v. Griffith)

If the Supreme Court grants a writ of certiorari to Roybal v. Griffith before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

KALSHI

What cases will the Supreme Court agree to hear before Jan 2027? (U.S. DOGE Service v. U.S. District Court)

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 37.0¢No 63.0¢

KALSHIPolitics

What cases will the Supreme Court agree to hear before Jan 2027? (U.S. DOGE Service v. U.S. District Court)

If the Supreme Court grants a writ of certiorari to U.S. DOGE Service v. U.S. District Court before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

KALSHI

What cases will the Supreme Court agree to hear before Jan 2027? (Bird v. Iowa Migrant Movement for Justice)

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 32.0¢No 68.0¢

KALSHIPolitics

What cases will the Supreme Court agree to hear before Jan 2027? (Bird v. Iowa Migrant Movement for Justice)

If the Supreme Court grants a writ of certiorari to Bird v. Iowa Migrant Movement for Justice before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

KALSHI

What cases will the Supreme Court agree to hear before Jan 2027? (Republican National Committee v. Eakin)

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 30.5¢No 69.5¢

KALSHIPolitics

What cases will the Supreme Court agree to hear before Jan 2027? (Republican National Committee v. Eakin)

If the Supreme Court grants a writ of certiorari to Republican National Committee v. Eakin before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

KALSHI

What cases will the Supreme Court agree to hear before Jan 2027? (Pharmaceutical Research and Manufacturers of America v. O’Day)

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 24.5¢No 75.5¢

KALSHIPolitics

What cases will the Supreme Court agree to hear before Jan 2027? (Pharmaceutical Research and Manufacturers of America v. O’Day)

If the Supreme Court grants a writ of certiorari to Pharmaceutical Research and Manufacturers of America v. O’Day before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

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23¢

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What cases will the Supreme Court agree to hear in 2026?

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What cases will the Supreme Court agree to hear before Jan 2027? (Roybal v. Griffith)

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Events (1)

What cases will the Supreme Court agree to hear in 2026?

Markets (10)

What cases will the Supreme Court agree to hear before Jan 2027? (Roybal v. Griffith)

What cases will the Supreme Court agree to hear before Jan 2027? (Roybal v. Griffith)

What cases will the Supreme Court agree to hear before Jan 2027? (U.S. DOGE Service v. U.S. District Court)

What cases will the Supreme Court agree to hear before Jan 2027? (U.S. DOGE Service v. U.S. District Court)

What cases will the Supreme Court agree to hear before Jan 2027? (Bird v. Iowa Migrant Movement for Justice)

What cases will the Supreme Court agree to hear before Jan 2027? (Bird v. Iowa Migrant Movement for Justice)

What cases will the Supreme Court agree to hear before Jan 2027? (Republican National Committee v. Eakin)

What cases will the Supreme Court agree to hear before Jan 2027? (Republican National Committee v. Eakin)

What cases will the Supreme Court agree to hear before Jan 2027? (Pharmaceutical Research and Manufacturers of America v. O’Day)

What cases will the Supreme Court agree to hear before Jan 2027? (Pharmaceutical Research and Manufacturers of America v. O’Day)

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What cases will the Supreme Court agree to hear before Jan 2027? (Roybal v. Griffith)

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

What cases will the Supreme Court agree to hear in 2026?

What cases will the Supreme Court agree to hear before Jan 2027? (Roybal v. Griffith)

What cases will the Supreme Court agree to hear before Jan 2027? (Roybal v. Griffith)

What cases will the Supreme Court agree to hear before Jan 2027? (U.S. DOGE Service v. U.S. District Court)

What cases will the Supreme Court agree to hear before Jan 2027? (U.S. DOGE Service v. U.S. District Court)

What cases will the Supreme Court agree to hear before Jan 2027? (Bird v. Iowa Migrant Movement for Justice)

What cases will the Supreme Court agree to hear before Jan 2027? (Bird v. Iowa Migrant Movement for Justice)

What cases will the Supreme Court agree to hear before Jan 2027? (Republican National Committee v. Eakin)

What cases will the Supreme Court agree to hear before Jan 2027? (Republican National Committee v. Eakin)

What cases will the Supreme Court agree to hear before Jan 2027? (Pharmaceutical Research and Manufacturers of America v. O’Day)

What cases will the Supreme Court agree to hear before Jan 2027? (Pharmaceutical Research and Manufacturers of America v. O’Day)

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