Snapshot observed 2026-10-20T03:00:06.020Z. This event is archived. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.

What the contract measures

The Kalshi event asks whether a title will be the top entry on the Netflix Top 10 Global Movie chart. The rules state: "If X is #1 on the Netflix Top 10 Global Movie on the chart published on Oct 20, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes." [1] The individual market titles say "on Oct 19, 2026," but the rules refer to the chart published on Oct 20, 2026, which covers the week ending the previous Sunday. [1] The rule text should guide interpretation, not the shorthand in the title.

The rules also say the charts are updated on Tuesday and that the market closes at 11:59 PM ET the day before. [1] The saved market records list an end date of 2026-10-26T14:00:00.000Z, yet the excerpt says "Listed end time: not supplied." [1] These entries do not reconcile, so this snapshot does not establish a close time.

Reading the snapshot

The snapshot was observed at 2026-10-20T03:00:06.020Z and retrieved at 2026-10-20T08:51:54.188Z. [1] It is an archived record and describes prices at the observation time only, not current conditions.

The saved sample contains ten titles, and the coverage record marks it as complete with no partial sample flag. [1] Within that sample, the Animals market shows a Yes price of 0.995 and a No price of 0.005. [1] The other nine titles each show a Yes price of 0.005 and a No price of 0.995. [1]

These figures are snapshot prices, not executable quotes or verified probabilities. The saved data includes no volume or trade counts, so it cannot speak to liquidity or to how many participants hold a given view. The excerpt gives no explanation for the observed pattern.

What remains uncertain

The record says all saved markets for this event are included, but it does not establish that the provider lists every possible title. [1] The excerpt contains no reason for the prices and no information about events after the observation time. Because the close time is not supplied in the excerpt, readers should check the provider's current rules before drawing conclusions about timing.

References

1. Kalshi: Top Global Netflix Movie this week?. Provider data observed 2026-10-20T03:00:06.020Z.