ZCash Up or Down - October 20, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET
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ZCash Up or Down - October 20, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET
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AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
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Reported volume · provider units
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Reviewed equivalent pairs
Source snapshot: Oct 19, 2026, 12:00 PM UTC
About This Event
This market will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of ZCash, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the ZEC/USD TWAP data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/zec-usd-twap-60s-streams. Please note that this market is about the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair ZEC/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets.
Snapshot observed 2026-10-19T09:00:05.974Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
This Polymarket contract covers a five-minute window in the ZCash Up or Down event, from 3:40AM to 3:45AM ET on October 20. According to the rules, the market "will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of ZCash, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down"" [1]. The contract therefore compares a Chainlink TWAP over the window with the price at the window's start, not a spot price at a single moment.
The rules name the resolution source as Chainlink's ZEC/USD TWAP data stream and state that the market concerns "the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair ZEC/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets" [1]. Other exchanges or spot pairs do not determine the outcome.
The listed end time is 2026-10-20T07:45:00.000Z [1], which corresponds to 3:45AM ET on October 20. This is the close of the window, not a confirmed resolution. The evidence does not show a resolution result.
Reading the snapshot
The provider observed the market at 2026-10-19T09:00:05.974Z, and the application retrieved the source at 2026-10-19T09:22:17.071Z. Those times describe when the data was captured, not the current state of the market. The provider status was active at capture [1].
At the observation time, the saved prices were Up at 0.5 and Down at 0.5 [1]. These are snapshot prices, not executable quotes, and they are not verified probabilities. The sample contains one market from one platform, and the coverage record shows all saved markets for this event were included, with no partial sample [1]. Because only one contract is present, there is no cross-platform comparison here, and no averaging across contracts is appropriate.
The volume figure is not included in this evidence, so nothing can be said about liquidity or the number of participants.
What remains uncertain
The evidence does not explain why the prices stood at 0.5 at the observation time, and it does not show whether the price has changed since capture. The snapshot cannot be treated as the current price on any later date.
The evidence also does not show the Chainlink TWAP values for the window or the starting price, so the outcome cannot be inferred. Readers comparing this contract with similar markets on other platforms should check each contract's rules, time window, and resolution source, because differences in wording or close times can change what is being priced.
References
- Polymarket: ZCash Up or Down - October 20, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET. Provider data observed 2026-10-19T09:00:05.974Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Oct 19, 2026 UTCOverview
This PredictPedia entry covers a short-term cryptocurrency price contract for ZCash (ZEC) on Polymarket, titled "ZCash Up or Down - October 20, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET." The contract asks whether the price of ZCash over a five-minute window will finish at or above where it started. [1] The rules say the market resolves to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of ZCash, generated by Chainlink, over the time range in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise it resolves to "Down." [1] Because the comparison uses an average over the window rather than a single trade, a brief spike at the start or end of the five minutes does not decide the outcome by itself. The average is compared with the starting price, so the result depends on how the TWAP behaves across the whole interval. The resolution source is the ZEC/USD TWAP data stream from Chainlink, identified in the rules as the 60-second TWAP stream. [1] The rules state that the market concerns the price in that Chainlink data stream and not the price in any other source or spot market. [1] A trader comparing this contract with a price chart from a different exchange should therefore expect the two to differ in principle, since the contract uses only the named stream. The provider lists the event as active, with a listed end time of 2026-10-20T07:45:00.000Z. [1] This listed time marks the end of the contract window. It is not a confirmed resolution, and the outcome is determined by the Chainlink data described in the rules.
Why It Matters
The contract measures the direction of ZCash's price over one short five-minute window, as expressed by the Chainlink ZEC/USD TWAP stream. [1] Its rules make the result depend on a time-weighted average compared with the starting price, and on one named data feed rather than on any general market price. [1] For anyone reading the market's prices, this means the contract tracks a narrow, rule-defined measurement. The rules do not describe anything beyond that window.
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-19 at 09:00 UTC. It contains listings from Polymarket. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
What determines whether this market resolves Up or Down?
The market resolves Up if the Chainlink ZEC/USD TWAP over the 3:40AM to 3:45AM ET range is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise it resolves Down. [1]
Which price data does the contract use?
The contract uses the ZEC/USD TWAP data stream from Chainlink, and the rules state it does not use other sources or spot markets. [1]
Is the listed end time the same as the resolution?
No. The source lists an end time of 2026-10-20T07:45:00.000Z for the event, which marks the end of the window in the provider data. The outcome is set by the Chainlink TWAP data described in the rules. [1]
Do the prices on this contract show the true probability of an Up result?
The prices are snapshots from the provider and are not verified probabilities or executable quotes. The provider's observed snapshot showed Up at 0.5 and Down at 0.5. [1]
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
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