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S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on November 2?

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on November 2?
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Source snapshot: Oct 30, 2026, 9:00 PM UTC

About This Event

This market will resolve to "Up" if the official S&P 500 Index closing price for S&P 500 (SPX) on Monday, November 2, 2026 is higher than the official S&P 500 Index closing price for SPX on the most recent prior trading day. This market will resolve to "Down" if the official S&P 500 Index closing price for S&P 500 (SPX) on Monday, November 2, 2026 is lower than the official S&P 500 Index closing price for SPX on the most recent prior trading day. E.g., ordinarily, a market on Monday would refer to the previous Friday for its most recent closing price, unless that Friday were a market holiday, in which case it would refer to Thursday, or the next most recent trading day. If the two specified closing prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve 50-50. Note that all figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding. If SPX does not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve 50-50. If either of the relevant days are shortened (for example, due to a market holiday schedule), the official closing price published by S&P 500 Index for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If either of the relevant days have no official closing price (for example, due to a trading halt into the market close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price. The resolution source for this market is the Wall Street Journal, specifically the Close values published by the WSJ under "Historical Prices". US: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks EMEA: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks/emea ASIA: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks/asia

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.

PolymarketFinance
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on November 2?

S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on November 2?

PM $0
S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on November 2?View outcomes
1 mktNext deadline Nov 2, 2026 UTC
PolymarketFinance
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above ___ on November 2?

S&P 500 (SPY) closes above ___ on November 2?

PM $741.4
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $735 on November 2?Yes 97.5%
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $740 on November 2?Yes 97%
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $745 on November 2?Yes 88%
+8 moreNext deadline Nov 2, 2026 UTC
PolymarketFinance
What will S&P 500 (SPX) hit by end of December?

What will S&P 500 (SPX) hit by end of December?

PM $449.4K
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,400 (LOW) in December?Yes 68%
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,200 (LOW) in December?Yes 40%
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $8,000 (HIGH) in December?Yes 30%
+11 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2026 UTC
PolymarketFinance
What will S&P 500 (SPY) hit in November 2026?

What will S&P 500 (SPY) hit in November 2026?

PM $3.4K
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $770 in November?Yes 95%
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $760 in November?Yes 90%
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $780 in November?Yes 89%
+11 moreNext deadline Dec 1, 2026 UTC
PolymarketFinance
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above ___ on November 2?

WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above ___ on November 2?

PM $20
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $100 on November 2?Yes 87%
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $99 on November 2?Yes 85%
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $101 on November 2?Yes 71%
+8 moreNext deadline Nov 2, 2026 UTC
PolymarketFinance
What will S&P 500 (SPX) close at end of 2026?

What will S&P 500 (SPX) close at end of 2026?

PM $51.8K
Will S&P 500 (SPX) close at $7,500-$8,000 in December?Yes 32%
Will S&P 500 (SPX) close at >$8,000 in December?Yes 28%
Will S&P 500 (SPX) close at $7,000-$7,500 in December?Yes 12.5%
+3 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2026 UTC

Market Insights

Price gaps of 2 pp+

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Same-question pairs

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No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.

Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.

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