Skip to main content
Market snapshot: . Prices may have changed since this snapshot.
Events
GroupPOLYMARKET

Will UAE leave the Gulf Cooperation Council in 2026?

Will UAE leave the Gulf Cooperation Council  in 2026?
Vol

PM $102.5K

|
Events

1

|
Markets

1

Current odds

Snapshot from

As of Oct 27, 2026, 9:00 AM UTC, Yes is priced at 5.1% on Polymarket.

Polymarket

  1. Yes5.1%

Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks

PM $102.5K

Reported volume · provider units

1

Saved contracts

0

Same-question pairs

Source snapshot: Oct 27, 2026, 9:00 AM UTC

About This Event

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the UAE officially announces or formally communicates its decision to withdraw from the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM Gulf Standard Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An official announcement or formal communication refers to a statement by the United Arab Emirates government or an entity officially authorized to make such a decision that clearly indicates its decision to withdraw from the Gulf Cooperation Council, including but not limited to a notice of denunciation or equivalent official statement, regardless of when the withdrawal is set to take effect. Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources, or leaks will not qualify. The primary resolution source will be official information from the UAE government and the GCC; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.

PolymarketKalshiPolitics
Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026?

Who will leave their role in the Trump administration in 2026?

PM $1.46M · K 4.65M contracts

Will Susie Wiles leave the Trump administration before 2027?

Kalshi: Will Susie WIles leaves Chief of Staff in before 2027?

Related contracts

PM Yes 35.5%Rules differK Yes 37.5%

Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027?

Kalshi: Will Pete Hegseth leaves Secretary of Defense in before 2027?

Related contracts

PM Yes 27%Rules differK Yes 29.5%

Will Tom Homan leave the Trump administration before 2027?

Kalshi: Will Tom Homan leaves White House Border Czar in before 2027?

Related contracts

PM Yes 24%Rules differK Yes 14.5%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

12 saved comparisonsNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Swiss Federal Council by-election winner?

Swiss Federal Council by-election winner?

K 443.72 contracts
Will Céline Amaudruz win the 2026 Swiss Federal Council by-election for Guy Parmelin's seat?Yes 24%
Will Natalie Rickli win the 2026 Swiss Federal Council by-election for Guy Parmelin's seat?Yes 9.5%
Will André Rüegsegger win the 2026 Swiss Federal Council by-election for Guy Parmelin's seat?Yes 8%
+10 moreNext deadline Dec 9, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
How many more people leave the Trump cabinet this year?

How many more people leave the Trump cabinet this year?

PM $11.2K
Will 0 people leave the Trump Cabinet by December 31, 2026?Yes 14%
Will 7 or more people leave the Trump Cabinet by December 31, 2026?Yes 13%
Will 1 person leave the Trump Cabinet by December 31, 2026?Yes 7%
+5 moreNext deadline Jan 1, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Los Angeles City Council District 13 winner election?

Los Angeles City Council District 13 winner election?

K 31.5K contracts
Who will win the 2026 Los Angeles City Council District 13 election? (Hugo Soto-Martinez)Yes 91.5%
Who will win the 2026 Los Angeles City Council District 13 election? (Rich Sarian)Yes 3.5%
Who will win the 2026 Los Angeles City Council District 13 election? (Colter Carlisle)Yes 3.5%
+1 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
South African Local Elections: Most Seats Won

South African Local Elections: Most Seats Won

K 94 contracts
Will the ANC win the most council seats in South Africa's 2026 local government elections?Yes 90.5%
Will the DA win the most council seats in South Africa's 2026 local government elections?Yes 6.5%
Will the MK Party win the most council seats in South Africa's 2026 local government elections?Yes 3%
+1 moreNext deadline Nov 4, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Jerome Powell departure as Fed Governor announced?

Jerome Powell departure as Fed Governor announced?

K 323.1K contracts
Will Jerome Powell leave Member of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System before Jan 31, 2028?Yes 64.5%
Will Jerome Powell leave Member of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System before Oct 1, 2027?Yes 48.5%
Will Jerome Powell leave Member of the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System before Jun 1, 2027?Yes 26.5%
+4 moreNext deadline Nov 8, 2026 UTC

Market Insights

Price gaps of 2 pp+

0

Same-question pairs

0

No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.

Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.

Trade This Market