GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETCulture

Oscars 2027: Best Picture Nominations

Name: Oscars 2027: Best Picture Nominations
End: 2027-01-21T00:00:00.000Z

Total Volume

$19.87K

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Markets

Trade on Polymarket

Oscars 2027: Best Picture Nominations

Vol

$19.87K

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $19.87K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $19.87K

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

17 markets tracked

Will "The Odyssey" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(17)

Market	Platform	Price
Will "The Odyssey" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?	Poly	98%
Will "Project Hail Mary" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?	Poly	87%
Will "Wild Horse Nine" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?	Poly	84%
Will "Dune: Part Three" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?	Poly	83%
Will "La Bola Negra" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?	Poly	79%
Will "Fjord" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?	Poly	63%
Will "The Debut" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?	Poly	56%
Will "Digger" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?	Poly	52%
Will "The Invite" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?	Poly	47%
Will "All of a Sudden" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?	Poly	32%
Will "The Social Reckoning" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?	Poly	30%
Will "The Adventures of Cliff Booth" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?	Poly	19%
Will "Fatherland" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?	Poly	18%
Will "Michael" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?	Poly	12%
Will "The Drama" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?	Poly	10%
Will "Avengers: Doomsday" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?	Poly	5%
Will "Disclosure Day" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?	Poly	4%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

98%

Top Probability

$19.87K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed film is nominated for the 99th Academy Award for Best Picture. If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Picture when t

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Saturday, September 5, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

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## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Oscars 2027: Best Picture Nominations 
**Category:** Culture | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Jan 21, 2027 (138 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Low

**Description:** The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed film is nominated for the 99th Academy Award for Best Picture. If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Picture when t

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $19.9K
* **Total Liquidity:** $17.4K
* **Activity Level:** Stable (Vol/Liq Ratio: 1.14)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will "The Odyssey" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 21, 2027): Vol $3.5K
  DATA: [Yes: 98.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 2.1% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will "Dune: Part Three" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 21, 2027): Vol $958
  DATA: [Yes: 82.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 17.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will "Digger" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 21, 2027): Vol $2.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 51.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 48.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will "Fjord" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 21, 2027): Vol $40
  DATA: [Yes: 63.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 37.0% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will "Project Hail Mary" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 21, 2027): Vol $1.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 86.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 13.5% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will "Wild Horse Nine" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 21, 2027): Vol $3.9K
  DATA: [Yes: 83.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 16.5% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will "The Social Reckoning" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 21, 2027): Vol $1.9K
  DATA: [Yes: 30.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 70.0% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will "Disclosure Day" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 21, 2027): Vol $1.9K
  DATA: [Yes: 3.6% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.4% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will "Fatherland" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 21, 2027): Vol $182
  DATA: [Yes: 18.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 81.8% (0.0%)]

### 10. Will "The Adventures of Cliff Booth" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 21, 2027): Vol $928
  DATA: [Yes: 18.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 81.5% (0.0%)]

### 11. Will "All of a Sudden" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 21, 2027): Vol $130
  DATA: [Yes: 31.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 68.5% (0.0%)]

### 12. Will "Michael" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 21, 2027): Vol $584
  DATA: [Yes: 11.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 88.5% (0.0%)]

### 13. Will "Avengers: Doomsday" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 21, 2027): Vol $305
  DATA: [Yes: 5.4% (0.0%)] | [No: 94.6% (0.0%)]

### 14. Will "The Drama" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 21, 2027): Vol $107
  DATA: [Yes: 9.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 90.5% (0.0%)]

### 15. Will "La Bola Negra" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 21, 2027): Vol $1.6K
  DATA: [Yes: 78.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 21.5% (0.0%)]

### 16. Will "The Invite" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 21, 2027): Vol $26
  DATA: [Yes: 46.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 53.5% (0.0%)]

### 17. Will "The Debut" be nominated for Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 21, 2027): Vol $556
  DATA: [Yes: 55.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 44.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

POLYMARKETCulture