GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIEconomics

Gas prices in the US in Jul 2026?

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Gas prices in the US in Jul 2026?

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Kalshi

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Polymarket

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Kalshi

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21 markets tracked

Will average gas prices be above $3.50?

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Single-Platform Markets(21)

Market	Platform	Price
Will average gas prices be above $3.50?	Kalshi	100%
Will average gas prices be above $3.40?	Kalshi	100%
Will average gas prices be above $3.30?	Kalshi	100%
Will average gas prices be above $3.20?	Kalshi	100%
Will average gas prices be above $3.10?	Kalshi	100%
Will average gas prices be above $3.00?	Kalshi	100%
Will average gas prices be above $2.90?	Kalshi	100%
Will average gas prices be above $2.80?	Kalshi	100%
Will average gas prices be above $2.70?	Kalshi	100%
Will average gas prices be above $2.60?	Kalshi	100%
Will average gas prices be above $2.50?	Kalshi	100%
Will average gas prices be above $3.60?	Kalshi	99%
Will average gas prices be above $3.70?	Kalshi	93%
Will average gas prices be above $3.80?	Kalshi	76%
Will average gas prices be above $3.90?	Kalshi	61%
Will average gas prices be above $4.00?	Kalshi	38%
Will average gas prices be above $4.10?	Kalshi	13%
Will average gas prices be above $4.20?	Kalshi	11%
Will average gas prices be above $4.30?	Kalshi	9%
Will average gas prices be above $4.40?	Kalshi	5%
Will average gas prices be above $4.50?	Kalshi	3%

AI Analysis

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100%

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About This Event

On Jul 31, 2026 If average regular gas prices for United States are strictly greater than X on Jul 31, 2026 according to AAA, then the market resolves to Yes.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Tap to expand

Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Friday, July 10, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Gas prices in the US in Jul 2026?
**Category:** Economics | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** On Jul 31, 2026

If average regular gas prices for United States are strictly greater than X on Jul 31, 2026 according to AAA, then the market resolves to Yes.

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If average regular gas prices for United States are strictly greater than $4.50 on Jul 31, 2026 according to AAA, then the market resolves to Yes."

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $0
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will average **gas prices** be above $4.50?
- **Kalshi** (End: Aug 30, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 3.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will average **gas prices** be above $4.40?
- **Kalshi** (End: Aug 30, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 4.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will average **gas prices** be above $4.30?
- **Kalshi** (End: Aug 30, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 9.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 91.0% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will average **gas prices** be above $4.20?
- **Kalshi** (End: Aug 30, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 10.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 89.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will average **gas prices** be above $4.10?
- **Kalshi** (End: Aug 30, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 12.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 87.5% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will average **gas prices** be above $4.00?
- **Kalshi** (End: Aug 30, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 37.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 62.5% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will average **gas prices** be above $3.90?
- **Kalshi** (End: Aug 30, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 60.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 39.5% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will average **gas prices** be above $3.80?
- **Kalshi** (End: Aug 30, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 76.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 24.0% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will average **gas prices** be above $3.70?
- **Kalshi** (End: Aug 30, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 93.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 7.0% (0.0%)]

### 10. Will average **gas prices** be above $3.60?
- **Kalshi** (End: Aug 30, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 99.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 1.0% (0.0%)]

### 11. Will average **gas prices** be above $3.50?
- **Kalshi** (End: Aug 30, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 99.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 0.5% (0.0%)]

### 12. Will average **gas prices** be above $3.40?
- **Kalshi** (End: Aug 30, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 99.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 0.5% (0.0%)]

### 13. Will average **gas prices** be above $3.30?
- **Kalshi** (End: Aug 30, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 99.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 0.5% (0.0%)]

### 14. Will average **gas prices** be above $3.20?
- **Kalshi** (End: Aug 30, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 99.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 0.5% (0.0%)]

### 15. Will average **gas prices** be above $3.10?
- **Kalshi** (End: Aug 30, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 99.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 0.5% (0.0%)]

### 16. Will average **gas prices** be above $3.00?
- **Kalshi** (End: Aug 30, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 99.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 0.5% (0.0%)]

### 17. Will average **gas prices** be above $2.90?
- **Kalshi** (End: Aug 30, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 99.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 0.5% (0.0%)]

### 18. Will average **gas prices** be above $2.80?
- **Kalshi** (End: Aug 30, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 99.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 0.5% (0.0%)]

### 19. Will average **gas prices** be above $2.70?
- **Kalshi** (End: Aug 30, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 99.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 0.5% (0.0%)]

### 20. Will average **gas prices** be above $2.60?
- **Kalshi** (End: Aug 30, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 99.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 0.5% (0.0%)]

### 21. Will average **gas prices** be above $2.50?
- **Kalshi** (End: Aug 30, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 99.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 0.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHIEconomics

Gas prices in the US in Jul 2026?

On Jul 31, 2026 If average regular gas prices for United States are strictly greater than X on Jul 31, 2026 according to AAA, then the market resolves to Yes.

Volume$0.00

Markets21

21 of 21

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KALSHI

Will average gas prices be above $3.50?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 99.5¢No 0.5¢

KALSHIOther

Will average gas prices be above $3.50?

If average regular gas prices for United States are strictly greater than $3.50 on Jul 31, 2026 according to AAA, then the market resolves to Yes.

KALSHI

Will average gas prices be above $3.40?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 99.5¢No 0.5¢

KALSHIOther

Will average gas prices be above $3.40?

If average regular gas prices for United States are strictly greater than $3.40 on Jul 31, 2026 according to AAA, then the market resolves to Yes.

KALSHI

Will average gas prices be above $3.30?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 99.5¢No 0.5¢

KALSHIOther

Will average gas prices be above $3.30?

If average regular gas prices for United States are strictly greater than $3.30 on Jul 31, 2026 according to AAA, then the market resolves to Yes.

KALSHI

Will average gas prices be above $3.20?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 99.5¢No 0.5¢

KALSHIOther

Will average gas prices be above $3.20?

If average regular gas prices for United States are strictly greater than $3.20 on Jul 31, 2026 according to AAA, then the market resolves to Yes.

KALSHI

Will average gas prices be above $3.10?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 99.5¢No 0.5¢

KALSHIOther

Will average gas prices be above $3.10?

If average regular gas prices for United States are strictly greater than $3.10 on Jul 31, 2026 according to AAA, then the market resolves to Yes.

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Average Yes Price

71¢

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/PHmVXm" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="Gas prices in the US in Jul 2026?"></iframe>

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Will average **gas prices** be above $3.50?

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About This Event

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Educational Context

Events (1)

Gas prices in the US in Jul 2026?

Markets (21)

Will average **gas prices** be above $3.50?

Will average **gas prices** be above $3.50?

Will average **gas prices** be above $3.40?

Will average **gas prices** be above $3.40?

Will average **gas prices** be above $3.30?

Will average **gas prices** be above $3.30?

Will average **gas prices** be above $3.20?

Will average **gas prices** be above $3.20?

Will average **gas prices** be above $3.10?

Will average **gas prices** be above $3.10?

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Discussion

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Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

Will average **gas prices** be above $3.50?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Gas prices in the US in Jul 2026?

Will average **gas prices** be above $3.50?

Will average **gas prices** be above $3.50?

Will average **gas prices** be above $3.40?

Will average **gas prices** be above $3.40?

Will average **gas prices** be above $3.30?

Will average **gas prices** be above $3.30?

Will average **gas prices** be above $3.20?

Will average **gas prices** be above $3.20?

Will average **gas prices** be above $3.10?

Will average **gas prices** be above $3.10?

Related News & Context

Discussion

Share

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Will average gas prices be above $3.50?

Will average gas prices be above $3.50?

Will average gas prices be above $3.50?

Will average gas prices be above $3.40?

Will average gas prices be above $3.40?

Will average gas prices be above $3.30?

Will average gas prices be above $3.30?

Will average gas prices be above $3.20?

Will average gas prices be above $3.20?

Will average gas prices be above $3.10?

Will average gas prices be above $3.10?

Will average gas prices be above $3.50?

Will average gas prices be above $3.50?

Will average gas prices be above $3.50?

Will average gas prices be above $3.40?

Will average gas prices be above $3.40?

Will average gas prices be above $3.30?

Will average gas prices be above $3.30?

Will average gas prices be above $3.20?

Will average gas prices be above $3.20?

Will average gas prices be above $3.10?

Will average gas prices be above $3.10?