Snapshot observed 2026-11-01T15:00:06.203Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.

What the contract measures

This contract covers a five-minute window, 10:15 PM to 10:20 PM ET on November 1, as listed on Polymarket. It resolves to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of Solana, generated by Chainlink, over that window is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of the range. Otherwise it resolves to "Down" [1]. The rules specify that the market concerns "the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair SOL/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets" [1]. A reader should therefore check the Chainlink SOL/USD TWAP stream named in the rules, not exchange prices or other feeds.

The listed end time is 2026-11-02T03:20:00.000Z [1]. The rules give the window in ET, so the UTC end time is the same moment expressed in a different zone.

Reading the snapshot

The saved snapshot was observed at 2026-11-01T15:00:06Z and retrieved at 2026-11-01T17:51:21Z [1]. Those times describe when the data was captured. They do not show the current price, and the contract's status at the time you read this may differ. The provider status recorded in the snapshot is "active" [1].

The snapshot shows two outcomes: Up at 0.505 and Down at 0.495 [1]. These are snapshot prices, not executable quotes, and they are not verified probabilities. The sample contains one market from one provider event, and the coverage record indicates a complete, non-partial sample of that event [1]. Because only one market is included, there is no cross-platform comparison here.

Volume is not included in this record, so the snapshot says nothing about liquidity or how many participants are involved.

What remains uncertain

The evidence does not explain why the prices stood where they did, and this note does not infer any cause. It also does not include any information about Solana price movements during or after the observation window, or the eventual resolution. Readers should not treat the snapshot as a forecast of the outcome. The sample warning notes that the included markets do not establish that the provider lists every possible real-world outcome [1].

References

1. Polymarket: Solana Up or Down - November 1, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET. Provider data observed 2026-11-01T15:00:06.203Z.