Market snapshot: Oct 11, 2026, 9:47 PM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIEconomics

Will Minnesota taconite production rise YoY?

Total Volume

$6.34K

Events

Markets

Trade on Kalshi

Will Minnesota taconite production rise YoY?

Vol

$6.34K

Events

Markets

Kalshi

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $6.34K

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $6.34K

100%

Kalshi leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

1 market tracked

Will Minnesota taconite production for 2026 be above 28.525 million tons?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(1)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Minnesota taconite production for 2026 be above 28.525 million tons?	Kalshi	41%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

41%

Top Probability

$6.34K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

2026 If the Minnesota Department of Revenue reports that Minnesota taconite production for production year 2026 is above 28.525 million tons, then the market resolves to Yes. The Underlying is the Total 2026 production tonnage in the Minnesota Department of Revenue’s Minnesota Taconite Production Summary. Production Tax report tonnages are used; weights are reported on a dry basis and exclude flux. The threshold is fixed at 28,525,103 tons. Use Production Data → Minnesota Taconite Production

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Sunday, October 11, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

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## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Will Minnesota taconite production rise YoY?
**Category:** Economics | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** 2026

If the Minnesota Department of Revenue reports that Minnesota taconite production for production year 2026 is above 

28.525 million tons, then the market resolves to Yes. The Underlying is the Total 2026 production tonnage in the Minnesota Department of Revenue’s Minnesota Taconite Production Summary. Production Tax report tonnages are used; weights are reported on a dry basis and exclude flux. The threshold is fixed at 28,525,103 tons.

Use Production Data → Minnesota Taconite Production

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If the Minnesota Department of Revenue reports that Minnesota taconite production for production year 2026 is above 

28.525 million tons, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Underlying is the Total 2026 production tonnage in the Minnesota Department of Revenue’s Minnesota Taconite"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $6.3K
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Minnesota taconite production for 2026 be above 28.525 million tons?
- **Kalshi** (End: Apr 7, 2027): Vol $6.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 40.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 59.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHIEconomics