Market snapshot: Oct 11, 2026, 9:47 PM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIEconomics

Will Pennsylvania natural-gas production rise YoY?

Total Volume

$17.53K

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Markets

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Will Pennsylvania natural-gas production rise YoY?

Vol

$17.53K

Events

Markets

Kalshi

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $17.53K

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $17.53K

100%

Kalshi leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

1 market tracked

Will Pennsylvania’s marketed natural-gas production for 2026 be above 7.675792 trillion cubic feet?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(1)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Pennsylvania’s marketed natural-gas production for 2026 be above 7.675792 trillion cubic feet?	Kalshi	53%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

53%

Top Probability

$17.53K

Volume

Markets

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About This Event

2026 If EIA reports Pennsylvania’s marketed natural-gas production for calendar year 2026 is above 7.675792 trillion cubic feet, then the market resolves to Yes. The Underlying is EIA’s Pennsylvania Natural Gas Marketed Production statistic for calendar year 2026. EIA reports production in million cubic feet; 7.675792 Tcf equals 7,675,792 million cubic feet. The numerical threshold is fixed and will not change if EIA subsequently revises its 2025 value. This market will close and expire early

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Sunday, October 11, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

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## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Will Pennsylvania natural-gas production rise YoY?
**Category:** Economics | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** 2026

If EIA reports Pennsylvania’s marketed natural-gas production for calendar year 2026 is above 

7.675792 trillion cubic feet, then the market resolves to Yes. The Underlying is EIA’s Pennsylvania Natural Gas Marketed Production statistic for calendar year 2026. EIA reports production in million cubic feet; 7.675792 Tcf equals 7,675,792 million cubic feet. The numerical threshold is fixed and will not change if EIA subsequently revises its 2025 value. This market will close and expire early

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If EIA reports Pennsylvania’s marketed natural-gas production for calendar year 2026 is above 

7.675792 trillion cubic feet, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Underlying is EIA’s Pennsylvania Natural Gas Marketed Production statistic for calendar year 2026. EIA reports productio"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $17.5K
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Pennsylvania’s marketed natural-gas production for 2026 be above 7.675792 trillion cubic feet?
- **Kalshi** (End: Mar 5, 2027): Vol $17.5K
  DATA: [Yes: 52.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 47.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHIEconomics