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S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on October 21?

S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on October 21?
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Source snapshot: Oct 20, 2026, 6:00 PM UTC

About This Event

This market will resolve to "Up" if the official S&P 500 Index open price for S&P 500 (SPX) on October 21 is higher than the official S&P 500 Index closing price for SPX on the most recent prior trading day. This market will resolve to "Down" if the official S&P 500 Index open price for S&P 500 (SPX) on October 21 is lower than the official S&P 500 Index closing price for SPX on the most recent prior trading day. E.g., ordinarily, a market on Monday would refer to the previous Friday for its most recent closing price, unless that Friday were a market holiday, in which case it would refer to Thursday, or the next most recent trading day. If the two prices are exactly equal, this market will resolve 50-50. Note that all figures will be rounded to the nearest cent using standard rounding. If SPX does not trade at all during the regular session, the market will resolve 50-50. If either of the relevant days are shortened (for example, due to a market holiday schedule), the official open/close price published by S&P 500 Index for that shortened session will still be used for resolution. If the previous trading day has no official closing price (for example, due to a trading halt into the market close, system issue, delisting, or other disruption), the market will use the last valid on-exchange trade price of the regular session as the effective closing price. The resolution source for this market is the Wall Street Journal, specifically the Open/Close values published by the WSJ under "Historical Prices". US: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks EMEA: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks/emea ASIA: https://www.wsj.com/market-data/stocks/asia

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.

PolymarketFinance
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 21?

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 21?

PM $1.85
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 21?View outcomes
1 mktNext deadline Oct 21, 2026 UTC
PolymarketFinance
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above ___ on October 21?

S&P 500 (SPY) closes above ___ on October 21?

PM $463.81
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $745 on October 21?Yes 96.2%
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $740 on October 21?Yes 95.9%
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $750 on October 21?Yes 95.3%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 21, 2026 UTC
PolymarketFinance
What will S&P 500 (SPY) hit in October 2026?

What will S&P 500 (SPY) hit in October 2026?

PM $175.4K
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $770 in October?Yes 99.5%
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $760 in October?Yes 54.9%
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $780 in October?Yes 53.3%
+12 moreNext deadline Nov 1, 2026 UTC
PolymarketFinance
What will S&P 500 (SPX) hit by end of December?

What will S&P 500 (SPX) hit by end of December?

PM $425.9K
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $8,000 (HIGH) in December?Yes 57.5%
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,400 (LOW) in December?Yes 50.5%
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $8,200 (HIGH) in December?Yes 34.5%
+11 moreNext deadline Dec 31, 2026 UTC
PolymarketFinance
What will S&P 500 (SPY) hit Week of October 19 2026?

What will S&P 500 (SPY) hit Week of October 19 2026?

PM $28.2K
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $770 Week of October 19 2026?Yes >99.9%
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $775 Week of October 19 2026?Yes 55%
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $760 Week of October 19 2026?Yes 35.5%
+10 moreNext deadline Oct 23, 2026 UTC
PolymarketFinance
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above ___ on October 21?

WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above ___ on October 21?

PM $195.88
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $96 on October 21?Yes 87%
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $99 on October 21?Yes 67.5%
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $97 on October 21?Yes 55%
+8 moreNext deadline Oct 21, 2026 UTC

Market Insights

Price gaps of 2 pp+

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Same-question pairs

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No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.

Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.

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