Will Daylight Savings Time become permanent in the US in 2026?
PM $23.1K
1
1
Will Daylight Savings Time become permanent in the US in 2026?
PM $23.1K
1
1
Current odds
Snapshot from
As of Oct 21, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC, Yes is priced at 8.5% on Polymarket.
Polymarket
- Yes8.5%
Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.
AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
PM $23.1K
Reported volume · provider units
1
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Same-question pairs
Source snapshot: Oct 21, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC
About This Event
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a law with the effect of making Daylight Saving Time the permanent, year-round time across the United States, is enacted into law by December 31, 2026 at 11:59PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". The existence of any carve-outs or exceptions shall not be relevant for purposes of this market. The primary resolution source is Congress.gov’s legislation tracker and other official information from the government of the United States, however other credible reporting may be used.
This analysis is awaiting a background update, so its prices may be older than the odds above.
Snapshot observed 2026-10-17T15:00:06.111Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
The contract asks whether Daylight Savings Time will become permanent in the US in 2026. It "will resolve to "Yes" if a law with the effect of making Daylight Saving Time the permanent, year-round time across the United States, is enacted into law by December 31, 2026 at 11:59PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No"" [1]. The rules say that "The existence of any carve-outs or exceptions shall not be relevant for purposes of this market" [1]. The primary resolution source is Congress.gov's legislation tracker and other official United States government information, though "other credible reporting may be used" [1].
The provider lists an end time of 2027-01-01T04:59:00.000Z [1]. This is the same moment as the 11:59 PM ET deadline in the rules, expressed in UTC. The listed time is therefore a closing timestamp, and the qualifying condition is enactment of a law, not a vote or introduction.
Reading the snapshot
The saved sample contains one market from one platform, Polymarket, under one event. All saved markets for that event are included, and the sample is not partial [1]. The provider observed the market at 2026-10-17T15:00:06.111Z, and the evidence was retrieved at 2026-10-17T15:51:24.275Z [1]. The status was recorded as active [1]. These are timestamps for a past snapshot, not a live reading.
The recorded prices are 0.085 for Yes and 0.915 for No [1]. On that observation, these correspond to about 8.5 and 91.5 cents. They are snapshot prices, not executable quotes or verified probabilities. The evidence does not include volume, liquidity, or the number of traders, so the prices cannot be read as measures of depth or agreement.
There is no second market in the sample, so no cross-contract or cross-platform comparison is possible here. Any comparison with a differently worded contract would need that contract's own rules, close time, and snapshot.
What remains uncertain
The evidence does not describe any pending legislation, committee action, or scheduled vote, so this summary cannot say whether such steps exist. It also does not explain why the recorded prices sit at these levels. Prices at other times may differ from this observation.
References
- Polymarket: Will Daylight Savings Time become permanent in the US in 2026?. Provider data observed 2026-10-17T15:00:06.111Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Oct 17, 2026 UTCThis saved content is awaiting a background update. It may contain outdated claims; use the dated market data and provider rules for the latest available information.
Overview
This PredictPedia contract asks whether Daylight Saving Time will become permanent in the United States in 2026. Under the contract rules, it resolves "Yes" only if a law with the effect of making Daylight Saving Time the permanent, year-round time across the United States is enacted into law by December 31, 2026 at 11:59PM ET, and resolves "No" otherwise [1]. The rules also state that any carve-outs or exceptions are not relevant to the outcome [1]. The listed end time for the event is 2027-01-01T04:59:00.000Z [1], which is a provider listing, not an announced event date. Daylight saving time is generally described as the practice of advancing clocks by one hour in spring or late winter and setting them back by one hour in autumn, so that darkness falls at a later clock time during summer [2]. The contract asks a narrower question than whether clock changes exist. It asks whether a federal enactment would end the twice-yearly change in favor of one fixed time. The primary resolution source named in the rules is Congress.gov's legislation tracker, along with other official information from the United States government. The rules also allow other credible reporting to be used [1]. The evidence supplied here does not identify any specific bill, its sponsors, or its current stage in Congress, so this article cannot say whether such legislation is pending.
Historical Context
The supplied sources describe the general practice of daylight saving time [2] but do not provide a history of United States federal legislation on the topic. On the wider North American context, one source states that "In 2026, British Columbia, Alberta, Manitoba, and the Northwest Territories abolished biannual clock changes, choosing to remain on DST year-round." It adds that they "joined Saskatchewan and Yukon, which had made similar changes in 1966 and 2020, respectively" [3]. These are Canadian provincial and territorial changes and do not establish the status of any United States law.
Why It Matters
The contract measures a single, specific event: enactment of a law that would make daylight saving time the permanent, year-round time across the United States by the end of 2026 [1]. Its value depends on whether that enactment happens within the stated window, not on general debate about clock changes or on actions by individual states or other countries. Because the rules name Congress.gov as the primary resolution source [1], the outcome would be judged by official legislative records rather than by reporting alone, although other credible reporting may be used [1]. Readers should check the contract wording directly, since the resolution criteria define what counts.
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-17 at 15:00 UTC. It contains listings from Polymarket. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
What must happen for this contract to resolve Yes?
A law with the effect of making Daylight Saving Time the permanent, year-round time across the United States must be enacted into law by December 31, 2026 at 11:59PM ET [1].
Do state-level exceptions or carve-outs affect the outcome?
The rules state that the existence of any carve-outs or exceptions shall not be relevant for purposes of this market [1].
Where will the outcome be checked?
The primary resolution source is Congress.gov's legislation tracker and other official information from the government of the United States, although other credible reporting may be used [1].
Do Canadian clock changes in 2026 affect this contract?
The Canadian changes described in the supplied sources involve British Columbia, Alberta, Manitoba, and the Northwest Territories [3]. The contract concerns United States law, so those provincial and territorial decisions do not determine its outcome under the stated rules [1].
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
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