Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 31, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET
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Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 31, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET
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AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
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Reported volume · provider units
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Source snapshot: Oct 31, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC
About This Event
This market will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of Hyperliquid, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the HYPE/USD TWAP data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/hype-usd-twap-60s-streams. Please note that this market is about the price according to the TWAP Chainlink data stream for the asset pair HYPE/USD, not according to any other sources or spot markets.
Snapshot observed 2026-10-30T21:00:05.889Z. This analysis describes that snapshot and is not a live news update.
What the contract measures
This is a single Polymarket contract titled "Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 31, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET" [1]. Its rules state that it "will resolve to "Up" if the time-weighted average price (TWAP) of Hyperliquid, generated by Chainlink, of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down"" [1]. The resolution source is the HYPE/USD TWAP data stream from Chainlink, and the rules say the market concerns that stream "not according to any other sources or spot markets" [1].
The listed end time is 2026-10-31T17:00:00.000Z [1]. The title's window is given in Eastern Time, so readers comparing it with other contracts should check that both use the same window and time zone. Contracts with different wording, reference assets, or close times should not be read as the same question.
Reading the snapshot
The provider observed this market at 2026-10-30T21:00:05.889Z, and PredictPedia retrieved the source at 2026-10-31T00:14:58.146Z [1]. Those are two different times, and both are earlier than the contract's listed end time. The snapshot records the market as "active" at observation [1].
At that observation, the quoted prices were Up at 0.505 and Down at 0.495 [1]. These are snapshot prices, not executable quotes, and they are not verified probabilities. They show how the market was priced at one moment, not how it is priced now.
The sample covers all saved markets for this provider event: one market, with no partial sample flagged [1]. Because there is only one contract and no other outcomes in this sample, there is no cross-platform comparison to make.
What remains uncertain
The evidence does not include the current price, trading volume, or any later snapshot, so it cannot show how the market has moved since observation. It also does not explain why the quoted prices were where they were. A price difference of 0.01 between Up and Down is small, and the snapshot alone does not show whether it reflects any particular view.
The evidence also does not establish the price of Hyperliquid at the start of the window or any outcome of the contract. Until the listed end time passes and the resolution source is checked, the contract's result is unknown.
References
- Polymarket: Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 31, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET. Provider data observed 2026-10-30T21:00:05.889Z.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
Saved Oct 31, 2026 UTCOverview
This PredictPedia entry covers a short-window price contract for Hyperliquid, titled "Hyperliquid Up or Down - October 31, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET." The contract is listed in the crypto category on Polymarket and asks whether the price of HYPE/USD will move up or down over a 15-minute window [1]. The outcomes are "Up" and "Down." The contract is based on a time-weighted average price (TWAP), not a single moment's price. The contract rules state that it resolves to "Up" if the TWAP over the stated time range is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range, and to "Down" otherwise [1]. The listed end time for the contract is 17:00 UTC on October 31, 2026, which corresponds to the close of the 1:00 PM ET end of the window [1]. The contract's provider status was recorded as active in the source material, meaning the market was open for trading at the time of retrieval. The contract closing time and the actual resolution are separate events. The rules describe how resolution will be determined, but the source material does not report any resolution outcome.
Why It Matters
The contract measures the direction of Hyperliquid's HYPE/USD price over one specific 15-minute window on October 31, 2026, as recorded by a Chainlink TWAP data stream [1]. Because the outcome depends on an average over the window compared with the starting price, the contract is about the net direction of the averaged price rather than the closing price alone [1]. Traders who read the contract should note that the rules tie resolution to this one data stream, so price movements on other venues do not determine the result [1]. The contract is therefore narrow in scope: it asks only about this data feed during this window.
Snapshot context
The latest published provider snapshot for this topic was observed on 2026-10-30 at 21:00 UTC. It contains listings from Polymarket. Market descriptions and listed closing times define the contracts; they do not establish that the real-world outcome has occurred. This article does not include a separately verified news update. [1]
Frequently Asked Questions
How is the outcome of this contract determined?
The contract resolves to "Up" if the time-weighted average price of HYPE/USD over the stated time range is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range, and to "Down" otherwise [1].
Which data source is used for resolution?
The rules name the HYPE/USD TWAP data stream from Chainlink as the resolution source, and state that other sources or spot markets are not used [1].
When does the contract's window end?
The listed end time is 2026-10-31T17:00:00.000Z, which the source material records as the end of the contract's time range [1].
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
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Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.
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Price gaps of 2 pp+
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Same-question pairs
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No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.
Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.