GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIEconomics

ADP employment change in Jul 2026?

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ADP employment change in Jul 2026?

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Kalshi

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Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

7 markets tracked

ADP employment change in Jul 2026? (Above -25000)

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Single-Platform Markets(7)

Market	Platform	Price
ADP employment change in Jul 2026? (Above -25000)	Kalshi	93%
ADP employment change in Jul 2026? (Above 25000)	Kalshi	87%
ADP employment change in Jul 2026? (Above 0)	Kalshi	87%
ADP employment change in Jul 2026? (Above 50000)	Kalshi	69%
ADP employment change in Jul 2026? (Above 75000)	Kalshi	48%
ADP employment change in Jul 2026? (Above 100000)	Kalshi	39%
ADP employment change in Jul 2026? (Above 125000)	Kalshi	14%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

93%

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$0.00

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About This Event

In Jul 2026 If the ADP Employment Change in Jul 2026 is above X then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs. This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Friday, July 10, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** ADP employment change in Jul 2026?
**Category:** Economics | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** In Jul 2026

If the ADP Employment Change in Jul 2026 is above X then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs. This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If the ADP Employment Change in Jul 2026 is above 75000, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs."

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $0
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. ADP employment change in Jul 2026? (Above 75000)
- **Kalshi** (End: Sep 5, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 47.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 52.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. ADP employment change in Jul 2026? (Above 50000)
- **Kalshi** (End: Sep 5, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 68.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 31.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. ADP employment change in Jul 2026? (Above -25000)
- **Kalshi** (End: Sep 5, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 92.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 7.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. ADP employment change in Jul 2026? (Above 25000)
- **Kalshi** (End: Sep 5, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 86.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 13.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. ADP employment change in Jul 2026? (Above 125000)
- **Kalshi** (End: Sep 5, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 13.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 86.5% (0.0%)]

### 6. ADP employment change in Jul 2026? (Above 100000)
- **Kalshi** (End: Sep 5, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 38.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 61.5% (0.0%)]

### 7. ADP employment change in Jul 2026? (Above 0)
- **Kalshi** (End: Sep 5, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 86.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 13.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHIEconomics

ADP employment change in Jul 2026?

Volume$0.00

Markets7

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KALSHI

ADP employment change in Jul 2026? (Above -25000)

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 92.5¢No 7.5¢

KALSHIOther

ADP employment change in Jul 2026? (Above -25000)

If the ADP Employment Change in Jul 2026 is above -25000, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

KALSHI

ADP employment change in Jul 2026? (Above 25000)

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 86.5¢No 13.5¢

KALSHIOther

ADP employment change in Jul 2026? (Above 25000)

If the ADP Employment Change in Jul 2026 is above 25000, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

KALSHI

ADP employment change in Jul 2026? (Above 0)

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 86.5¢No 13.5¢

KALSHIOther

ADP employment change in Jul 2026? (Above 0)

If the ADP Employment Change in Jul 2026 is above 0, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

KALSHI

ADP employment change in Jul 2026? (Above 50000)

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 68.5¢No 31.5¢

KALSHIOther

ADP employment change in Jul 2026? (Above 50000)

If the ADP Employment Change in Jul 2026 is above 50000, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

KALSHI

ADP employment change in Jul 2026? (Above 75000)

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 47.5¢No 52.5¢

KALSHIOther

ADP employment change in Jul 2026? (Above 75000)

If the ADP Employment Change in Jul 2026 is above 75000, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the event occurs.

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62¢

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/S6N7Hx" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="ADP employment change in Jul 2026?"></iframe>

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ADP employment change in Jul 2026? (Above -25000)

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Events (1)

ADP employment change in Jul 2026?

Markets (7)

ADP employment change in Jul 2026? (Above -25000)

ADP employment change in Jul 2026? (Above -25000)

ADP employment change in Jul 2026? (Above 25000)

ADP employment change in Jul 2026? (Above 25000)

ADP employment change in Jul 2026? (Above 0)

ADP employment change in Jul 2026? (Above 0)

ADP employment change in Jul 2026? (Above 50000)

ADP employment change in Jul 2026? (Above 50000)

ADP employment change in Jul 2026? (Above 75000)

ADP employment change in Jul 2026? (Above 75000)

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Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

ADP employment change in Jul 2026? (Above -25000)

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

ADP employment change in Jul 2026?

ADP employment change in Jul 2026? (Above -25000)

ADP employment change in Jul 2026? (Above -25000)

ADP employment change in Jul 2026? (Above 25000)

ADP employment change in Jul 2026? (Above 25000)

ADP employment change in Jul 2026? (Above 0)

ADP employment change in Jul 2026? (Above 0)

ADP employment change in Jul 2026? (Above 50000)

ADP employment change in Jul 2026? (Above 50000)

ADP employment change in Jul 2026? (Above 75000)

ADP employment change in Jul 2026? (Above 75000)

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