Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIEconomics

Washington aerospace manufacturing employment average in 2026

Total Volume

$460.82K

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Washington aerospace manufacturing employment average in 2026

Vol

$460.82K

Events

Markets

Kalshi

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Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $460.82K

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

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Volume DistributionTotal: $460.82K

100%

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13 markets tracked

Will Washington’s annual-average employment in Aerospace Product and Parts Manufacturing for 2026 be above 80,000 jobs?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(13)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Washington’s annual-average employment in Aerospace Product and Parts Manufacturing for 2026 be above 80,000 jobs?	Kalshi	98%
Will Washington’s annual-average employment in Aerospace Product and Parts Manufacturing for 2026 be above 81,000 jobs?	Kalshi	97%
Will Washington’s annual-average employment in Aerospace Product and Parts Manufacturing for 2026 be above 82,000 jobs?	Kalshi	95%
Will Washington’s annual-average employment in Aerospace Product and Parts Manufacturing for 2026 be above 83,000 jobs?	Kalshi	88%
Will Washington’s annual-average employment in Aerospace Product and Parts Manufacturing for 2026 be above 84,000 jobs?	Kalshi	67%
Will Washington’s annual-average employment in Aerospace Product and Parts Manufacturing for 2026 be above 85,000 jobs?	Kalshi	29%
Will Washington’s annual-average employment in Aerospace Product and Parts Manufacturing for 2026 be above 86,000 jobs?	Kalshi	13%
Will Washington’s annual-average employment in Aerospace Product and Parts Manufacturing for 2026 be above 87,000 jobs?	Kalshi	10%
Will Washington’s annual-average employment in Aerospace Product and Parts Manufacturing for 2026 be above 88,000 jobs?	Kalshi	7%
Will Washington’s annual-average employment in Aerospace Product and Parts Manufacturing for 2026 be above 89,000 jobs?	Kalshi	5%
Will Washington’s annual-average employment in Aerospace Product and Parts Manufacturing for 2026 be above 91,000 jobs?	Kalshi	4%
Will Washington’s annual-average employment in Aerospace Product and Parts Manufacturing for 2026 be above 90,000 jobs?	Kalshi	4%
Will Washington’s annual-average employment in Aerospace Product and Parts Manufacturing for 2026 be above 92,000 jobs?	Kalshi	2%

AI Analysis

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98%

Top Probability

$460.82K

Volume

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About This Event

2026 If BLS reports Washington’s annual-average employment in Aerospace Product and Parts Manufacturing for 2026 is above X jobs, then the market resolves to Yes. The Underlying is All Employees: Aerospace Product and Parts Manufacturing in Washington, NAICS 3364, measured in thousands of jobs. The officially published BLS annual-average figure will be used rather than independently averaging monthly values. Subsequent revisions after determination will not affect resolution. This market will c

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Washington aerospace manufacturing employment average in 2026
**Category:** Economics | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** 2026

If BLS reports Washington’s annual-average employment in Aerospace Product and Parts Manufacturing for 2026 is above X jobs, then the market resolves to Yes. The Underlying is All Employees: Aerospace Product and Parts Manufacturing in Washington, NAICS 3364, measured in thousands of jobs. The officially published BLS annual-average figure will be used rather than independently averaging monthly values. Subsequent revisions after determination will not affect resolution. This market will c

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If BLS reports Washington’s annual-average employment in Aerospace Product and Parts Manufacturing for 2026 is above 92,000 jobs, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Underlying is All Employees: Aerospace Product and Parts Manufacturing in Washington (NAICS 3364), measured in thous"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $460.8K
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Washington’s annual-average employment in Aerospace Product and Parts Manufacturing for 2026 be above 92,000 jobs?
- **Kalshi** (End: May 7, 2027): Vol $281
  DATA: [Yes: 1.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Washington’s annual-average employment in Aerospace Product and Parts Manufacturing for 2026 be above 91,000 jobs?
- **Kalshi** (End: May 7, 2027): Vol $10.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 3.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Washington’s annual-average employment in Aerospace Product and Parts Manufacturing for 2026 be above 90,000 jobs?
- **Kalshi** (End: May 7, 2027): Vol $44.6K
  DATA: [Yes: 3.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Washington’s annual-average employment in Aerospace Product and Parts Manufacturing for 2026 be above 89,000 jobs?
- **Kalshi** (End: May 7, 2027): Vol $38.8K
  DATA: [Yes: 4.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Washington’s annual-average employment in Aerospace Product and Parts Manufacturing for 2026 be above 88,000 jobs?
- **Kalshi** (End: May 7, 2027): Vol $12.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 6.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 93.5% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Washington’s annual-average employment in Aerospace Product and Parts Manufacturing for 2026 be above 87,000 jobs?
- **Kalshi** (End: May 7, 2027): Vol $71.6K
  DATA: [Yes: 9.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 90.5% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will Washington’s annual-average employment in Aerospace Product and Parts Manufacturing for 2026 be above 86,000 jobs?
- **Kalshi** (End: May 7, 2027): Vol $52.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 12.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 87.5% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will Washington’s annual-average employment in Aerospace Product and Parts Manufacturing for 2026 be above 85,000 jobs?
- **Kalshi** (End: May 7, 2027): Vol $37.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 28.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 71.5% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will Washington’s annual-average employment in Aerospace Product and Parts Manufacturing for 2026 be above 80,000 jobs?
- **Kalshi** (End: May 7, 2027): Vol $896
  DATA: [Yes: 97.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 2.5% (0.0%)]

### 10. Will Washington’s annual-average employment in Aerospace Product and Parts Manufacturing for 2026 be above 84,000 jobs?
- **Kalshi** (End: May 7, 2027): Vol $52.7K
  DATA: [Yes: 66.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 33.5% (0.0%)]

### 11. Will Washington’s annual-average employment in Aerospace Product and Parts Manufacturing for 2026 be above 83,000 jobs?
- **Kalshi** (End: May 7, 2027): Vol $72.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 87.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 12.5% (0.0%)]

### 12. Will Washington’s annual-average employment in Aerospace Product and Parts Manufacturing for 2026 be above 82,000 jobs?
- **Kalshi** (End: May 7, 2027): Vol $49.5K
  DATA: [Yes: 94.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 5.5% (0.0%)]

### 13. Will Washington’s annual-average employment in Aerospace Product and Parts Manufacturing for 2026 be above 81,000 jobs?
- **Kalshi** (End: May 7, 2027): Vol $18.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 96.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 3.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHIEconomics

Washington aerospace manufacturing employment average in 2026

Volume$460.82K

Markets13

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KALSHI

Will Washington’s annual-average employment in Aerospace Product and Parts Manufacturing for 2026 be above 80,000 jobs?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 97.5¢No 2.5¢

KALSHIScience

Will Washington’s annual-average employment in Aerospace Product and Parts Manufacturing for 2026 be above 80,000 jobs?

If BLS reports Washington’s annual-average employment in Aerospace Product and Parts Manufacturing for 2026 is above 80,000 jobs, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Underlying is All Employees: Aerospace Product and Parts Manufacturing in Washington (NAICS 3364), measured in thous

KALSHI

Will Washington’s annual-average employment in Aerospace Product and Parts Manufacturing for 2026 be above 81,000 jobs?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 96.5¢No 3.5¢

KALSHIScience

Will Washington’s annual-average employment in Aerospace Product and Parts Manufacturing for 2026 be above 81,000 jobs?

If BLS reports Washington’s annual-average employment in Aerospace Product and Parts Manufacturing for 2026 is above 81,000 jobs, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Underlying is All Employees: Aerospace Product and Parts Manufacturing in Washington (NAICS 3364), measured in thous

KALSHI

Will Washington’s annual-average employment in Aerospace Product and Parts Manufacturing for 2026 be above 82,000 jobs?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 94.5¢No 5.5¢

KALSHIScience

Will Washington’s annual-average employment in Aerospace Product and Parts Manufacturing for 2026 be above 82,000 jobs?

If BLS reports Washington’s annual-average employment in Aerospace Product and Parts Manufacturing for 2026 is above 82,000 jobs, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Underlying is All Employees: Aerospace Product and Parts Manufacturing in Washington (NAICS 3364), measured in thous

KALSHI

Will Washington’s annual-average employment in Aerospace Product and Parts Manufacturing for 2026 be above 83,000 jobs?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 87.5¢No 12.5¢

KALSHIScience

Will Washington’s annual-average employment in Aerospace Product and Parts Manufacturing for 2026 be above 83,000 jobs?

If BLS reports Washington’s annual-average employment in Aerospace Product and Parts Manufacturing for 2026 is above 83,000 jobs, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Underlying is All Employees: Aerospace Product and Parts Manufacturing in Washington (NAICS 3364), measured in thous

KALSHI

Will Washington’s annual-average employment in Aerospace Product and Parts Manufacturing for 2026 be above 84,000 jobs?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 66.5¢No 33.5¢

KALSHIScience

Will Washington’s annual-average employment in Aerospace Product and Parts Manufacturing for 2026 be above 84,000 jobs?

If BLS reports Washington’s annual-average employment in Aerospace Product and Parts Manufacturing for 2026 is above 84,000 jobs, then the market resolves to Yes. Secondary rules: The Underlying is All Employees: Aerospace Product and Parts Manufacturing in Washington (NAICS 3364), measured in thous

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<iframe src="https://predictpedia.com/embed/fUzXc4" width="400" height="160" frameborder="0" style="border-radius: 8px; max-width: 100%;" title="Washington aerospace manufacturing employment average in 2026"></iframe>

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Washington aerospace manufacturing employment average in 2026

Washington aerospace manufacturing employment average in 2026

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Will Washington’s annual-average employment in Aerospace Product and Parts Manufacturing for 2026 be above 80,000 jobs?

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Events (1)

Washington aerospace manufacturing employment average in 2026

Markets (13)

Will Washington’s annual-average employment in Aerospace Product and Parts Manufacturing for 2026 be above 80,000 jobs?

Will Washington’s annual-average employment in Aerospace Product and Parts Manufacturing for 2026 be above 80,000 jobs?

Will Washington’s annual-average employment in Aerospace Product and Parts Manufacturing for 2026 be above 81,000 jobs?

Will Washington’s annual-average employment in Aerospace Product and Parts Manufacturing for 2026 be above 81,000 jobs?

Will Washington’s annual-average employment in Aerospace Product and Parts Manufacturing for 2026 be above 82,000 jobs?

Will Washington’s annual-average employment in Aerospace Product and Parts Manufacturing for 2026 be above 82,000 jobs?

Will Washington’s annual-average employment in Aerospace Product and Parts Manufacturing for 2026 be above 83,000 jobs?

Will Washington’s annual-average employment in Aerospace Product and Parts Manufacturing for 2026 be above 83,000 jobs?

Will Washington’s annual-average employment in Aerospace Product and Parts Manufacturing for 2026 be above 84,000 jobs?

Will Washington’s annual-average employment in Aerospace Product and Parts Manufacturing for 2026 be above 84,000 jobs?

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Will Washington’s annual-average employment in Aerospace Product and Parts Manufacturing for 2026 be above 80,000 jobs?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Washington aerospace manufacturing employment average in 2026

Will Washington’s annual-average employment in Aerospace Product and Parts Manufacturing for 2026 be above 80,000 jobs?

Will Washington’s annual-average employment in Aerospace Product and Parts Manufacturing for 2026 be above 80,000 jobs?

Will Washington’s annual-average employment in Aerospace Product and Parts Manufacturing for 2026 be above 81,000 jobs?

Will Washington’s annual-average employment in Aerospace Product and Parts Manufacturing for 2026 be above 81,000 jobs?

Will Washington’s annual-average employment in Aerospace Product and Parts Manufacturing for 2026 be above 82,000 jobs?

Will Washington’s annual-average employment in Aerospace Product and Parts Manufacturing for 2026 be above 82,000 jobs?

Will Washington’s annual-average employment in Aerospace Product and Parts Manufacturing for 2026 be above 83,000 jobs?

Will Washington’s annual-average employment in Aerospace Product and Parts Manufacturing for 2026 be above 83,000 jobs?

Will Washington’s annual-average employment in Aerospace Product and Parts Manufacturing for 2026 be above 84,000 jobs?

Will Washington’s annual-average employment in Aerospace Product and Parts Manufacturing for 2026 be above 84,000 jobs?

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