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GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETPolitics

Who will Trump speak to in May?

Name: Who will Trump speak to in May?
End: 2026-05-31T00:00:00.000Z

Total Volume

$6.85K

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket

Who will Trump speak to in May?

Vol

$6.85K

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $6.85K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $6.85K

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

20 markets tracked

Will Trump speak to Xi Jinping in May?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(20)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Trump speak to Xi Jinping in May?	Poly	93%
Will Trump speak to Vladimir Putin in May?	Poly	67%
Will Trump speak to Mark Carney in May?	Poly	64%
Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in May?	Poly	61%
Will Trump speak to Mark Rutte in May?	Poly	59%
Will Trump speak to Keir Starmer in May?	Poly	49%
Will Trump speak to Volodymyr Zelenskyy in May?	Poly	49%
Will Trump speak to Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in May?	Poly	48%
Will Trump speak to Mohammed bin Salman in May?	Poly	39%
Will Trump speak to Ursula von der Leyen in May?	Poly	39%
Will Trump speak to Elon Musk in May?	Poly	34%
Will Trump speak to Friedrich Merz in May?	Poly	26%
Will Trump speak to Maria Corina Machado in May?	Poly	16%
Will Trump speak to Ahmed al-Sharaa in May?	Poly	14%
Will Trump speak to Reza Pahlavi in May?	Poly	13%
Will Trump speak to Masoud Pezeshkian in May?	Poly	10%
Will Trump speak to Pope Leo XIV in May?	Poly	7%
Will Trump speak to Kim Jong Un in May?	Poly	6%
Will Trump speak to Nicolás Maduro in May?	Poly	5%
Will Trump speak to Yoon Suk Yeol in May?	Poly	2%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

93%

Top Probability

$6.85K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual speaks with Donald Trump between May 1 and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". Speaking is defined as any verbal interaction between the listed individual and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call. The resolution source will be credible media reporting. However, in the absence of definitive or in the case of contradictory media reporting, statements by

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Friday, July 10, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Who will Trump speak to in May?
**Category:** Politics | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** May 31, 2026 (Ended)
**Time Pressure:** Expired

**Description:** This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual speaks with Donald Trump between May 1 and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".

Speaking is defined as any verbal interaction between the listed individual and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through verbal communication by phone or video call.

The resolution source will be credible media reporting. However, in the absence of definitive or in the case of contradictory media reporting, statements by

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual speaks with Donald Trump between May 1 and May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No".

Speaking is defined as any verbal interaction between the listed individual and Donald Trump, occurring either in person or through ve"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $6.8K
* **Total Liquidity:** $457.7K
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.01)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Trump speak to Reza Pahlavi in May?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 31, 2026): Vol $23
  DATA: [Yes: 12.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 87.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Trump speak to Volodymyr Zelenskyy in May?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 31, 2026): Vol $493
  DATA: [Yes: 48.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 51.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Trump speak to Mohammed bin Salman in May?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 31, 2026): Vol $88
  DATA: [Yes: 39.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 61.0% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Trump speak to Yoon Suk Yeol in May?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 31, 2026): Vol $76
  DATA: [Yes: 1.8% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.2% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Trump speak to Emmanuel Macron in May?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 31, 2026): Vol $150
  DATA: [Yes: 61.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 39.0% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Trump speak to Ursula von der Leyen in May?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 31, 2026): Vol $308
  DATA: [Yes: 39.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 61.0% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will Trump speak to Mark Rutte in May?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 31, 2026): Vol $89
  DATA: [Yes: 58.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 41.5% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will Trump speak to Mark Carney in May?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 31, 2026): Vol $105
  DATA: [Yes: 63.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 36.5% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will Trump speak to Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in May?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 31, 2026): Vol $3
  DATA: [Yes: 47.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 52.5% (0.0%)]

### 10. Will Trump speak to Pope Leo XIV in May?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 31, 2026): Vol $66
  DATA: [Yes: 7.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 93.0% (0.0%)]

### 11. Will Trump speak to Nicolás Maduro in May?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 31, 2026): Vol $67
  DATA: [Yes: 4.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.5% (0.0%)]

### 12. Will Trump speak to Kim Jong Un in May?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 31, 2026): Vol $10
  DATA: [Yes: 6.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 94.0% (0.0%)]

### 13. Will Trump speak to Xi Jinping in May?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 31, 2026): Vol $4.6K
  DATA: [Yes: 93.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 7.0% (0.0%)]

### 14. Will Trump speak to Vladimir Putin in May?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 31, 2026): Vol $146
  DATA: [Yes: 66.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 33.5% (0.0%)]

### 15. Will Trump speak to Maria Corina Machado in May?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 31, 2026): Vol $52
  DATA: [Yes: 15.7% (0.0%)] | [No: 84.4% (0.0%)]

### 16. Will Trump speak to Keir Starmer in May?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 31, 2026): Vol $222
  DATA: [Yes: 49.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 51.0% (0.0%)]

### 17. Will Trump speak to Ahmed al-Sharaa in May?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 31, 2026): Vol $5
  DATA: [Yes: 14.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 86.0% (0.0%)]

### 18. Will Trump speak to Friedrich Merz in May?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 31, 2026): Vol $204
  DATA: [Yes: 25.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 74.5% (0.0%)]

### 19. Will Trump speak to Masoud Pezeshkian in May?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 31, 2026): Vol $127
  DATA: [Yes: 9.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 90.5% (0.0%)]

### 20. Will Trump speak to Elon Musk in May?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 31, 2026): Vol $21
  DATA: [Yes: 33.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 66.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

POLYMARKETPolitics