GroupKALSHI

Event GroupKALSHIEconomics

PPI YoY in June

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PPI YoY in June

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Kalshi

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Polymarket

markets · $0.00

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

18 markets tracked

Will the United States Producer Price Index for final demand for June 2026 be above 5.7%?

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Single-Platform Markets(18)

Market	Platform	Price
Will the United States Producer Price Index for final demand for June 2026 be above 5.7%?	Kalshi	98%
Will the United States Producer Price Index for final demand for June 2026 be above 5.6%?	Kalshi	97%
Will the United States Producer Price Index for final demand for June 2026 be above 5.9%?	Kalshi	89%
Will the United States Producer Price Index for final demand for June 2026 be above 5.8%?	Kalshi	82%
Will the United States Producer Price Index for final demand for June 2026 be above 6.0%?	Kalshi	81%
Will the United States Producer Price Index for final demand for June 2026 be above 6.1%?	Kalshi	66%
Will the United States Producer Price Index for final demand for June 2026 be above 6.2%?	Kalshi	48%
Will the United States Producer Price Index for final demand for June 2026 be above 6.4%?	Kalshi	32%
Will the United States Producer Price Index for final demand for June 2026 be above 6.6%?	Kalshi	12%
Will the United States Producer Price Index for final demand for June 2026 be above 6.8%?	Kalshi	5%
Will the United States Producer Price Index for final demand for June 2026 be above 7.4%?	Kalshi	3%
Will the United States Producer Price Index for final demand for June 2026 be above 8.0%?	Kalshi	2%
Will the United States Producer Price Index for final demand for June 2026 be above 7.8%?	Kalshi	2%
Will the United States Producer Price Index for final demand for June 2026 be above 7.2%?	Kalshi	2%
Will the United States Producer Price Index for final demand for June 2026 be above 8.4%?	Kalshi	1%
Will the United States Producer Price Index for final demand for June 2026 be above 8.2%?	Kalshi	1%
Will the United States Producer Price Index for final demand for June 2026 be above 7.0%?	Kalshi	1%
Will the United States Producer Price Index for final demand for June 2026 be above 7.6%?	Kalshi	1%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

98%

Top Probability

$0.00

Volume

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About This Event

June 2026 If year-over-year percent change in the United States Producer Price Index for final demand for June 2026 is above X then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the economic data is released. This market will close and expire early if the economic data is released.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Friday, July 10, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** PPI YoY in June
**Category:** Economics | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** N/A (Unknown)
**Time Pressure:** Unknown

**Description:** June 2026

If year-over-year percent change in the United States Producer Price Index for final demand for June 2026 is above X then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the economic data is released. This market will close and expire early if the economic data is released.

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"If year-over-year percent change in the United States Producer Price Index for final demand for June 2026 is above 5.6%, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the economic data is released."

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $0
* **Total Liquidity:** $0
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.00)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will the United States Producer Price Index for final demand for June 2026 be above 5.6%?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 22, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 97.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 3.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will the United States Producer Price Index for final demand for June 2026 be above 5.7%?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 22, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 97.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 2.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will the United States Producer Price Index for final demand for June 2026 be above 5.8%?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 22, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 82.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 18.0% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will the United States Producer Price Index for final demand for June 2026 be above 5.9%?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 22, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 88.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 11.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will the United States Producer Price Index for final demand for June 2026 be above 6.0%?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 22, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 80.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 19.5% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will the United States Producer Price Index for final demand for June 2026 be above 6.1%?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 22, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 65.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 34.5% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will the United States Producer Price Index for final demand for June 2026 be above 8.4%?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 22, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 1.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.0% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will the United States Producer Price Index for final demand for June 2026 be above 8.2%?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 22, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 1.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.0% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will the United States Producer Price Index for final demand for June 2026 be above 8.0%?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 22, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.0% (0.0%)]

### 10. Will the United States Producer Price Index for final demand for June 2026 be above 7.8%?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 22, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.0% (0.0%)]

### 11. Will the United States Producer Price Index for final demand for June 2026 be above 7.6%?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 22, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 0.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.5% (0.0%)]

### 12. Will the United States Producer Price Index for final demand for June 2026 be above 7.4%?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 22, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.5% (0.0%)]

### 13. Will the United States Producer Price Index for final demand for June 2026 be above 7.2%?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 22, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 2.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.0% (0.0%)]

### 14. Will the United States Producer Price Index for final demand for June 2026 be above 7.0%?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 22, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 1.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.0% (0.0%)]

### 15. Will the United States Producer Price Index for final demand for June 2026 be above 6.8%?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 22, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 4.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.5% (0.0%)]

### 16. Will the United States Producer Price Index for final demand for June 2026 be above 6.6%?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 22, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 11.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 88.5% (0.0%)]

### 17. Will the United States Producer Price Index for final demand for June 2026 be above 6.4%?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 22, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 32.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 68.0% (0.0%)]

### 18. Will the United States Producer Price Index for final demand for June 2026 be above 6.2%?
- **Kalshi** (End: Jul 22, 2026): Vol $0
  DATA: [Yes: 47.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 52.5% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

Tap text to select all

Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

KALSHIEconomics

PPI YoY in June

Volume$0.00

Markets18

18 of 18

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KALSHI

Will the United States Producer Price Index for final demand for June 2026 be above 5.7%?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 97.5¢No 2.5¢

KALSHIWorld

Will the United States Producer Price Index for final demand for June 2026 be above 5.7%?

If year-over-year percent change in the United States Producer Price Index for final demand for June 2026 is above 5.7%, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the economic data is released.

KALSHI

Will the United States Producer Price Index for final demand for June 2026 be above 5.6%?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 97.0¢No 3.0¢

KALSHIWorld

Will the United States Producer Price Index for final demand for June 2026 be above 5.6%?

If year-over-year percent change in the United States Producer Price Index for final demand for June 2026 is above 5.6%, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the economic data is released.

KALSHI

Will the United States Producer Price Index for final demand for June 2026 be above 5.9%?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 88.5¢No 11.5¢

KALSHIWorld

Will the United States Producer Price Index for final demand for June 2026 be above 5.9%?

If year-over-year percent change in the United States Producer Price Index for final demand for June 2026 is above 5.9%, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the economic data is released.

KALSHI

Will the United States Producer Price Index for final demand for June 2026 be above 5.8%?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 82.0¢No 18.0¢

KALSHIWorld

Will the United States Producer Price Index for final demand for June 2026 be above 5.8%?

If year-over-year percent change in the United States Producer Price Index for final demand for June 2026 is above 5.8%, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the economic data is released.

KALSHI

Will the United States Producer Price Index for final demand for June 2026 be above 6.0%?

KALSHI

KKalshi

Yes 80.5¢No 19.5¢

KALSHIWorld

Will the United States Producer Price Index for final demand for June 2026 be above 6.0%?

If year-over-year percent change in the United States Producer Price Index for final demand for June 2026 is above 6.0%, then the market resolves to Yes. Early close condition: This market will close and expire early if the economic data is released.

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PPI YoY in June

PPI YoY in June

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Will the United States Producer Price Index for final demand for June 2026 be above 5.7%?

AI Analysis

About This Event

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

Educational Context

Events (1)

PPI YoY in June

Markets (18)

Will the United States Producer Price Index for final demand for June 2026 be above 5.7%?

Will the United States Producer Price Index for final demand for June 2026 be above 5.7%?

Will the United States Producer Price Index for final demand for June 2026 be above 5.6%?

Will the United States Producer Price Index for final demand for June 2026 be above 5.6%?

Will the United States Producer Price Index for final demand for June 2026 be above 5.9%?

Will the United States Producer Price Index for final demand for June 2026 be above 5.9%?

Will the United States Producer Price Index for final demand for June 2026 be above 5.8%?

Will the United States Producer Price Index for final demand for June 2026 be above 5.8%?

Will the United States Producer Price Index for final demand for June 2026 be above 6.0%?

Will the United States Producer Price Index for final demand for June 2026 be above 6.0%?

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Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

Will the United States Producer Price Index for final demand for June 2026 be above 5.7%?

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

PPI YoY in June

Will the United States Producer Price Index for final demand for June 2026 be above 5.7%?

Will the United States Producer Price Index for final demand for June 2026 be above 5.7%?

Will the United States Producer Price Index for final demand for June 2026 be above 5.6%?

Will the United States Producer Price Index for final demand for June 2026 be above 5.6%?

Will the United States Producer Price Index for final demand for June 2026 be above 5.9%?

Will the United States Producer Price Index for final demand for June 2026 be above 5.9%?

Will the United States Producer Price Index for final demand for June 2026 be above 5.8%?

Will the United States Producer Price Index for final demand for June 2026 be above 5.8%?

Will the United States Producer Price Index for final demand for June 2026 be above 6.0%?

Will the United States Producer Price Index for final demand for June 2026 be above 6.0%?

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