GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETWorld

Brazil Annual Inflation 2026

Name: Brazil Annual Inflation 2026
End: 2027-01-12T00:00:00.000Z

Total Volume

$105.91K

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket

Brazil Annual Inflation 2026

Vol

$105.91K

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $105.91K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $105.91K

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

10 markets tracked

Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 5.00% and 5.49%?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(10)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 5.00% and 5.49%?	Poly	42%
Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 4.50% and 4.99%?	Poly	29%
Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 5.50% and 5.99%?	Poly	21%
Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 6.00% and 6.49%?	Poly	4%
Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 4.00% and 4.49%?	Poly	3%
Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 3.50% and 3.99%?	Poly	1%
Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 6.50% and 6.99%?	Poly	0%
Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be less than 3.00%?	Poly	0%
Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 3.00% and 3.49%?	Poly	0%
Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be at least 7.00%?	Poly	0%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

42%

Top Probability

$105.91K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in Brazil over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Brazilian Institute of Geography and Statistics (IBGE). This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Extended National Consumer Price Index (IPCA) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly IBGE report. The resolution source for this market will be the IBGE Extended National Consumer Price Index monthly report re

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Saturday, September 5, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Brazil Annual Inflation 2026
**Category:** World | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Jan 12, 2027 (129 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Low

**Description:** This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in Brazil over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Brazilian Institute of Geography and Statistics (IBGE).

This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Extended National Consumer Price Index (IPCA) during the 12-month period ending December 2026 according to the monthly IBGE report.

The resolution source for this market will be the IBGE Extended National Consumer Price Index monthly report re

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This is a market about the variation of consumer prices in Brazil over the 12-month period ending December 2026, as reported by the Brazilian Institute of Geography and Statistics (IBGE).

This market will resolve according to the percentage change in the Extended National Consumer Price Index (IPCA"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $105.9K
* **Total Liquidity:** $16.1K
* **Activity Level:** Moderate (Vol/Liq Ratio: 6.58)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be less than 3.00%?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 12, 2027): Vol $6.5K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.2% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.8% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 3.00% and 3.49%?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 12, 2027): Vol $6.4K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.9% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 3.50% and 3.99%?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 12, 2027): Vol $13.8K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.9% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.1% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 4.00% and 4.49%?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 12, 2027): Vol $14.8K
  DATA: [Yes: 2.8% (0.0%)] | [No: 97.3% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 4.50% and 4.99%?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 12, 2027): Vol $18.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 28.8% (0.0%)] | [No: 71.2% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 5.00% and 5.49%?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 12, 2027): Vol $15.6K
  DATA: [Yes: 42.4% (0.0%)] | [No: 57.6% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 5.50% and 5.99%?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 12, 2027): Vol $10.9K
  DATA: [Yes: 21.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 78.6% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 6.00% and 6.49%?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 12, 2027): Vol $7.5K
  DATA: [Yes: 3.8% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.3% (0.0%)]

### 9. Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be between 6.50% and 6.99%?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 12, 2027): Vol $7.0K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.4% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.7% (0.0%)]

### 10. Will Brazil’s Annual Inflation in 2026 be at least 7.00%?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 12, 2027): Vol $5.1K
  DATA: [Yes: 0.1% (0.0%)] | [No: 99.9% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

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