Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETPolitics

New South Wales Legislative Council: Most Seats After Election

Name: New South Wales Legislative Council: Most Seats After Election
End: 2027-03-28T03:59:00.000Z

Total Volume

$3.02K

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket

New South Wales Legislative Council: Most Seats After Election

Vol

$3.02K

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $3.02K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $3.02K

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

8 markets tracked

Will Labor hold the most seats in the New South Wales Legislative Council after the next New South Wales state election?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(8)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Labor hold the most seats in the New South Wales Legislative Council after the next New South Wales state election?	Poly	56%
Will Libertarian hold the most seats in the New South Wales Legislative Council after the next New South Wales state election?	Poly	25%
Will Liberal–National hold the most seats in the New South Wales Legislative Council after the next New South Wales state election?	Poly	22%
Will Greens hold the most seats in the New South Wales Legislative Council after the next New South Wales state election?	Poly	15%
Will One Nation hold the most seats in the New South Wales Legislative Council after the next New South Wales state election?	Poly	7%
Will Legalise Cannabis hold the most seats in the New South Wales Legislative Council after the next New South Wales state election?	Poly	4%
Will Shooters, Fishers, Farmers hold the most seats in the New South Wales Legislative Council after the next New South Wales state election?	Poly	3%
Will Animal Justice hold the most seats in the New South Wales Legislative Council after the next New South Wales state election?	Poly	2%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

56%

Top Probability

$3.02K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

The 2027 New South Wales state election is currently scheduled to be held on March 27, 2027 to elect members of the 59th Parliament of New South Wales. This market will resolve to "Yes" according to which party or coalition holds the most seats in the Legislative Council (New South Wales' upper house) following the next New South Wales state election, including both members elected at this election and continuing members whose terms do not expire at this election. If the results of this electi

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** New South Wales Legislative Council: Most Seats After Election
**Category:** Politics | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Mar 28, 2027 (168 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Low

**Description:** The 2027 New South Wales state election is currently scheduled to be held on March 27, 2027 to elect members of the 59th Parliament of New South Wales.

This market will resolve to "Yes" according to which party or coalition holds the most seats in the Legislative Council (New South Wales' upper house) following the next New South Wales state election, including both members elected at this election and continuing members whose terms do not expire at this election.

If the results of this electi

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"The 2027 New South Wales state election is currently scheduled to be held on March 27, 2027 to elect members of the 59th Parliament of New South Wales.

This market will resolve to "Yes" according to which party or coalition holds the most seats in the Legislative Council (New South Wales' upper hou"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $3.0K
* **Total Liquidity:** $56.4K
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.05)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Labor hold the most seats in the New South Wales Legislative Council after the next New South Wales state election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Mar 28, 2027): Vol $716
  DATA: [Yes: 56.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 44.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Liberal–National hold the most seats in the New South Wales Legislative Council after the next New South Wales state election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Mar 28, 2027): Vol $541
  DATA: [Yes: 21.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 78.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Greens hold the most seats in the New South Wales Legislative Council after the next New South Wales state election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Mar 28, 2027): Vol $340
  DATA: [Yes: 15.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 85.0% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will One Nation hold the most seats in the New South Wales Legislative Council after the next New South Wales state election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Mar 28, 2027): Vol $172
  DATA: [Yes: 6.6% (0.0%)] | [No: 93.4% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Legalise Cannabis hold the most seats in the New South Wales Legislative Council after the next New South Wales state election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Mar 28, 2027): Vol $252
  DATA: [Yes: 4.3% (0.0%)] | [No: 95.7% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Animal Justice hold the most seats in the New South Wales Legislative Council after the next New South Wales state election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Mar 28, 2027): Vol $234
  DATA: [Yes: 2.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 98.0% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will Libertarian hold the most seats in the New South Wales Legislative Council after the next New South Wales state election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Mar 28, 2027): Vol $372
  DATA: [Yes: 24.6% (0.0%)] | [No: 75.4% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will Shooters, Fishers, Farmers hold the most seats in the New South Wales Legislative Council after the next New South Wales state election?
- **Polymarket** (End: Mar 28, 2027): Vol $396
  DATA: [Yes: 3.2% (0.0%)] | [No: 96.8% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

POLYMARKETPolitics