Market snapshot: Oct 21, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETPolitics

Mexico Legislative Election Winner

Reported volume

PM $110.1K

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Mexico Legislative Election Winner

Vol

PM $110.1K

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Current odds

Snapshot from Oct 21, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC

As of Oct 21, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Polymarket is Morena at 87.1%.

Polymarket

Morena87.1%
PAN6.9%
MC3.1%
PRI2.5%
PT0.3%

Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.

Price ChartContract price history

6 markets tracked

Historical observations can differ from current quotes. Kalshi points are hourly trade averages.

Saved prices are comparisons, not executable quotes. A price difference does not establish arbitrage. Check both contracts, live order prices, fees and available size.

Will the National Regeneration Movement (Morena) win the most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(6)

Market	Platform	Price
Will the National Regeneration Movement (Morena) win the most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election?	Poly	87.1%
Will the National Action Party (PAN) win the most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election?	Poly	6.9%
Will Citizens’ Movement (MC) win the most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election?	Poly	3.1%
Will the Institutional Revolutionary Party (PRI) win the most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election?	Poly	2.5%
Will the Labor Party (PT) win the most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election?	Poly	0.3%
Will the Ecologist Green Party of Mexico (PVEM) win the most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election?	Poly	<0.1%

Rules & Resolution

Saved matching review

Needs review: no direct pair assessment is available.

A saved event match does not establish identical settlement. Pair reviews appear with each price comparison.

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks

PM $110.1K

Reported volume · provider units

Saved contracts

Same-question pairs

Source snapshot: Oct 21, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC

About This Event

A legislative election is scheduled to be held in Mexico on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies (Cámara de Diputados) as a result of this election. If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes in this election. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Mexican Government, specifically the National Electoral Institute (https://ine.mx/).

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

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Event: Mexico Legislative Election Winner
Source snapshot: Oct 21, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC
Reported event volume (provider units): PM $110.1K
Coverage: 6 of 6 saved contracts included.
Prices are saved observations, not executable quotes. Listed close dates do not promise settlement or payout time.

Contract: Will the National Action Party (PAN) win the most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-2271398; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-the-national-action-party-pan-win-the-most-seats-in-the-2027-mexico-legislative-election
Observed: Oct 21, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Jun 7, 2027, 3:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $18.0K
Outcome Yes: 6.9%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 93.2%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: A legislative election is scheduled to be held in Mexico on June 6, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies (Cámara de Diputados) as a result of this election.

If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes in this election. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Mexican Government, specifically the National Electoral Institute (https://ine.mx/).

Contract: Will the Institutional Revolutionary Party (PRI) win the most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-2271399; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-the-institutional-revolutionary-party-pri-win-the-most-seats-in-the-2027-mexico-legislative-election
Observed: Oct 21, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Jun 7, 2027, 3:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $8.8K
Outcome Yes: 2.5%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 97.5%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: A legislative election is scheduled to be held in Mexico on June 6, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies (Cámara de Diputados) as a result of this election.

If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes in this election. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Mexican Government, specifically the National Electoral Institute (https://ine.mx/).

Contract: Will the Labor Party (PT) win the most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-2271400; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-the-labor-party-pt-win-the-most-seats-in-the-2027-mexico-legislative-election
Observed: Oct 21, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Jun 7, 2027, 3:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $7.5K
Outcome Yes: 0.3%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 99.8%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: A legislative election is scheduled to be held in Mexico on June 6, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies (Cámara de Diputados) as a result of this election.

If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes in this election. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Mexican Government, specifically the National Electoral Institute (https://ine.mx/).

Contract: Will the Ecologist Green Party of Mexico (PVEM) win the most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-2271401; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-the-ecologist-green-party-of-mexico-pvem-win-the-most-seats-in-the-2027-mexico-legislative-election
Observed: Oct 21, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Jun 7, 2027, 3:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $6.4K
Outcome Yes: <0.1%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: >99.9%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: A legislative election is scheduled to be held in Mexico on June 6, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies (Cámara de Diputados) as a result of this election.

If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes in this election. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Mexican Government, specifically the National Electoral Institute (https://ine.mx/).

Contract: Will Citizens’ Movement (MC) win the most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-2271402; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-citizens-movement-mc-win-the-most-seats-in-the-2027-mexico-legislative-election
Observed: Oct 21, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Jun 7, 2027, 3:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $12.1K
Outcome Yes: 3.1%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 96.9%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: A legislative election is scheduled to be held in Mexico on June 6, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies (Cámara de Diputados) as a result of this election.

If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes in this election. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Mexican Government, specifically the National Electoral Institute (https://ine.mx/).

Contract: Will the National Regeneration Movement (Morena) win the most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election?
Provider: polymarket; ID: polymarket-2271403; status: active
Source: https://polymarket.com/event/will-the-national-regeneration-movement-morena-win-the-most-seats-in-the-2027-mexico-legislative-election
Observed: Oct 21, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC
Listed close: Jun 7, 2027, 3:59 AM UTC
Reported volume: $57.3K
Outcome Yes: 87.1%; 24h change unavailable
Outcome No: 13.0%; 24h change unavailable
Saved rules: A legislative election is scheduled to be held in Mexico on June 6, 2027.

This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies (Cámara de Diputados) as a result of this election.

If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

In the event of a tie between multiple parties for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party that received a greater number of valid votes in this election. In the event that results in a tie, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation appears first in alphabetical order.

This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies.

This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Mexican Government, specifically the National Electoral Institute (https://ine.mx/).

Saved cross-platform review:
No exact pair with two valid binary Yes prices is available for comparison.

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AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

POLYMARKETPolitics