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Events
GroupPOLYMARKET

Mexico Legislative Election: 2nd Place?

Mexico Legislative Election: 2nd Place?
Vol

PM $86.2K

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Events

1

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Markets

6

Current odds

Snapshot from

As of Oct 21, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Polymarket is PAN at 75.5%.

Polymarket

  1. PAN75.5%
  2. PRI15.8%
  3. PVEM4.5%
  4. MC3.3%
  5. Morena2.5%

Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks

PM $86.2K

Reported volume · provider units

6

Saved contracts

0

Same-question pairs

Source snapshot: Oct 21, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC

About This Event

A legislative election is scheduled to be held in Mexico on June 6, 2027. This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the second greatest number of seats in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies (Cámara de Diputados) as a result of this election. If the results of this election are not known definitively by March 31, 2028, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the Mexican Chamber of Deputies. This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by the Mexican Government, specifically the National Electoral Institute (https://ine.mx/).

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.

PolymarketPolitics
Israeli Legislative Election: 2nd Place

Israeli Legislative Election: 2nd Place

PM $42.0K
Will Likud win the second-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Yes 68%
Will Yashar win the second-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Yes 29%
Will Together win the second-most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?Yes 1.6%
+12 moreNext deadline Oct 28, 2026 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
New Zealand Election: 2nd Place

New Zealand Election: 2nd Place

PM $26.1K
Will National Party win the second-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?Yes 48%
Will Labour Party win the second-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?Yes 48%
Will Green Party win the second-most seats in the New Zealand House of Representatives in the 2026 New Zealand legislative election?Yes 5.4%
+3 moreNext deadline Nov 8, 2026 UTC
KalshiPolitics
New Mexico's 2nd District margin of victory

New Mexico's 2nd District margin of victory

K 9.0K contracts
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New Mexico's 2nd District House election be at least 1 percentage points?Yes 87%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New Mexico's 2nd District House election be at least 4 percentage points?Yes 79%
Will the margin of victory for Democrats in the New Mexico's 2nd District House election be at least 7 percentage points?Yes 68.5%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 3, 2027 UTC
PolymarketPolitics
Mexico Legislative Election Winner

Mexico Legislative Election Winner

PM $110.1K
Will the National Regeneration Movement (Morena) win the most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election?Yes 87.1%
Will the National Action Party (PAN) win the most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election?Yes 6.9%
Will Citizens’ Movement (MC) win the most seats in the 2027 Mexico legislative election?Yes 3.1%
+3 moreNext deadline Jun 7, 2027 UTC
KalshiPolitics
Israeli Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place

Israeli Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place

K 12.9K contracts
Will Likud finish 2nd in the 2026 Israeli Knesset election?Yes 64%
Will Yashar finish 2nd in the 2026 Israeli Knesset election?Yes 28%
Will Together finish 2nd in the 2026 Israeli Knesset election?Yes 6.5%
+20 moreNext deadline Oct 27, 2027 UTC
PolymarketKalshiPolitics
Bulgaria Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place

Bulgaria Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place

PM $17.4K · K 47.6K contracts

Will Andrey Gyurov win the third-most votes in the first round of the 2026 Bulgaria presidential election?

Kalshi: Will Andrey Gyurov finish 2nd in the first round of the 2026 Bulgarian presidential election?

Related contracts

PM Yes 2.1%Rules differK Yes 95%

Will Andrey Gyurov win the second-most votes in the first round of the 2026 Bulgaria presidential election?

Kalshi: Will Andrey Gyurov finish 2nd in the first round of the 2026 Bulgarian presidential election?

Same question, fine print differs

PM Yes 95%Rules differK Yes 95%

Will Kostadin Kostadinov win the third-most votes in the first round of the 2026 Bulgaria presidential election?

Kalshi: Will Kostadin Kostadinov finish 2nd in the first round of the 2026 Bulgarian presidential election?

Related contracts

PM Yes 91.5%Rules differK Yes 2%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

8 saved comparisonsNext deadline Oct 25, 2026 UTC

Market Insights

Price gaps of 2 pp+

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Same-question pairs

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No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.

Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.

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