Market snapshot: Oct 12, 2026, 12:00 AM UTC. Prices may have changed since this snapshot.

GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETCrypto

First to list tokenized stocks in the US?

Name: First to list tokenized stocks in the US?
End: 2028-01-01T04:59:00.000Z

Total Volume

$62.71K

Events

Markets

Trade on Polymarket

First to list tokenized stocks in the US?

Vol

$62.71K

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $62.71K

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $62.71K

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

5 markets tracked

Will Robinhood be first to list tokenized stocks in the US?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(5)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Robinhood be first to list tokenized stocks in the US?	Poly	46%
Will Kraken be first to list tokenized stocks in the US?	Poly	20%
Will none of the listed platforms list tokenized stocks in the US by December 31, 2027?	Poly	12%
Will Coinbase be first to list tokenized stocks in the US?	Poly	7%
Will Gemini be first to list tokenized stocks in the US?	Poly	6%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

46%

Top Probability

$62.71K

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market will resolve to the first of the listed platforms to make tokenized stocks available for purchase in the United States after September 17, 2026. If none of the listed platforms do so by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No listing by December 31, 2027". A tokenized stock means a blockchain-based token that represents one share, or a fraction of a share, of a stock or ETF listed on a U.S. national securities exchange (such as Nasdaq or the NYSE) and is eith

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Monday, October 12, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** First to list tokenized stocks in the US?
**Category:** Crypto | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** Jan 1, 2028 (447 days left)
**Time Pressure:** Low

**Description:** This market will resolve to the first of the listed platforms to make tokenized stocks available for purchase in the United States after September 17, 2026. If none of the listed platforms do so by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No listing by December 31, 2027".

A tokenized stock means a blockchain-based token that represents one share, or a fraction of a share, of a stock or ETF listed on a U.S. national securities exchange (such as Nasdaq or the NYSE) and is eith

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market will resolve to the first of the listed platforms to make tokenized stocks available for purchase in the United States after September 17, 2026. If none of the listed platforms do so by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No listing by December 31, 2027".

A toke"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $62.7K
* **Total Liquidity:** $9.0K
* **Activity Level:** Moderate (Vol/Liq Ratio: 6.99)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Robinhood be first to list tokenized stocks in the US?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2028): Vol $10.9K
  DATA: [Yes: 45.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 54.5% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Coinbase be first to list tokenized stocks in the US?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2028): Vol $14.2K
  DATA: [Yes: 6.9% (0.0%)] | [No: 93.2% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Kraken be first to list tokenized stocks in the US?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2028): Vol $22.9K
  DATA: [Yes: 19.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 80.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Gemini be first to list tokenized stocks in the US?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2028): Vol $4.4K
  DATA: [Yes: 5.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 94.5% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will none of the listed platforms list tokenized stocks in the US by December 31, 2027?
- **Polymarket** (End: Jan 1, 2028): Vol $10.3K
  DATA: [Yes: 12.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 87.9% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

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