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GroupPOLYMARKET

Event GroupPOLYMARKETScience

Precipitation in Seoul in May?

Name: Precipitation in Seoul in May?
End: 2026-05-31T00:00:00.000Z

Total Volume

$407.99

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Markets

Trade on Polymarket

Precipitation in Seoul in May?

Vol

$407.99

Events

Markets

Polymarket

Platform StatsQuick Platform Comparison

Polymarket

markets · $407.99

Kalshi

markets · $0.00

Price Spread

0.0%avg

max 0.0%

Arbitrage

of 0 cross-platform

Volume DistributionTotal: $407.99

100%

Polymarket leads

Price ChartMatched Markets Price Graph

8 markets tracked

Will Seoul have between 130-140mm of precipitation in May?

No data available

Single-Platform Markets(8)

Market	Platform	Price
Will Seoul have between 130-140mm of precipitation in May?	Poly	41%
Will Seoul have between 150-160mm of precipitation in May?	Poly	41%
Will Seoul have between 100-110mm of precipitation in May?	Poly	36%
Will Seoul have less than 100mm of precipitation in May?	Poly	34%
Will Seoul have 160mm or more of precipitation in May?	Poly	33%
Will Seoul have between 110-120mm of precipitation in May?	Poly	33%
Will Seoul have between 120-130mm of precipitation in May?	Poly	30%
Will Seoul have between 140-150mm of precipitation in May?	Poly	25%

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Actionable analysis for identifying opportunities and edge

41%

Top Probability

$407.99

Volume

Markets

Platforms

About This Event

This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm in Seoul in May, 2026, according to the Korea Meteorological Administration's information for the region/branch of "Seoul". If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The resolution source for this market will be the Korea Meteorological Administration, specifically the figure for monthly precipitation in mm when the classification is set for "ground", t

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

Custom AI Analysis Prompt

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Open in:ChatGPT Claude Gemini Grok DeepSeek

**Role:** Expert Prediction Market Analyst & Trader
**Objective:** Analyze the provided betting market data to deliver actionable insights, identify mispricings, and perform scenario analysis.
**Current Date:** Friday, July 10, 2026
**Context:** Prediction markets (Polymarket/Kalshi) are binary option markets where price (1-99) equals implied probability (1%-99%).

---

## 1. Event Snapshot
**Event:** Precipitation in Seoul in May?
**Category:** Science | **Status:** active
**Resolution Date:** May 31, 2026 (Ended)
**Time Pressure:** Expired

**Description:** This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm in Seoul in May, 2026, according to the Korea Meteorological Administration's information for the region/branch of "Seoul".

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.

The resolution source for this market will be the Korea Meteorological Administration, specifically the figure for monthly precipitation in mm when the classification is set for "ground", t

**Resolution Criteria (Sample):**
"This market will resolve according to the total precipitation in mm in Seoul in May, 2026, according to the Korea Meteorological Administration's information for the region/branch of "Seoul".

If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range"

## 2. Market liquidity & Volume
* **Total Volume:** $408
* **Total Liquidity:** $1.6K
* **Activity Level:** Low Activity (Vol/Liq Ratio: 0.26)

## 3. Market Data (Prices & Odds)
### 1. Will Seoul have less than 100mm of precipitation in May?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 31, 2026): Vol $50
  DATA: [Yes: 34.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 66.0% (0.0%)]

### 2. Will Seoul have between 100-110mm of precipitation in May?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 31, 2026): Vol $50
  DATA: [Yes: 35.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 64.5% (0.0%)]

### 3. Will Seoul have between 110-120mm of precipitation in May?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 31, 2026): Vol $50
  DATA: [Yes: 32.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 67.5% (0.0%)]

### 4. Will Seoul have between 120-130mm of precipitation in May?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 31, 2026): Vol $50
  DATA: [Yes: 30.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 70.0% (0.0%)]

### 5. Will Seoul have between 130-140mm of precipitation in May?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 31, 2026): Vol $50
  DATA: [Yes: 41.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 59.0% (0.0%)]

### 6. Will Seoul have between 140-150mm of precipitation in May?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 31, 2026): Vol $50
  DATA: [Yes: 24.5% (0.0%)] | [No: 75.5% (0.0%)]

### 7. Will Seoul have between 150-160mm of precipitation in May?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 31, 2026): Vol $50
  DATA: [Yes: 41.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 59.0% (0.0%)]

### 8. Will Seoul have 160mm or more of precipitation in May?
- **Polymarket** (End: May 31, 2026): Vol $58
  DATA: [Yes: 33.0% (0.0%)] | [No: 67.0% (0.0%)]

---

## Analysis Instructions
Please provide a structured analysis using the following template:

### 1. Executive Summary
*   **Verdict:** [Most Likely Outcome]
*   **Confidence:** [0-100]%
*   **Timeframe:** [Immediate / Short-term / Long-term]
*   **Actionable Trade:** [Buy YES / Buy NO / Stay Away] (Include entry price target if applicable)
*   **Rationale:** 2-sentence summary of the core thesis.

### 2. Scenario Analysis
*   **Bull Case (Why YES goes up):** List specific catalysts or data points.
*   **Bear Case (Why YES goes down):** List specifics.
*   **Invalidation Point:** What happens to prove your thesis wrong?

### 3. Market Mechanics & Risks
*   **Liquidity/Volume Analysis:** Is the market efficient? Is it easy to exit?
*   **Cross-Platform Arbitrage:** (If applicable) Is the spread tradeable after fees?
*   **Time Decay:** How does time passing affect this position?

### 4. Signal Scores (0-100)
*   **Momentum:** [Score] (Price trend & velocity)
*   **Conviction:** [Score] (Volume backing the move)
*   **Information Edge:** [Score] (Likelihood of non-public info affecting price)
*   **Risk/Reward:** [Score] (Potential upside vs downside)

**Constraints:**
- Be direct and objective.
- Use bullet points for readability.
- If data is conflicting or insufficient, explicitly state "Low Confidence".

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Educational content is AI-generated and sourced from Wikipedia. It should not be considered financial advice.

POLYMARKETScience