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Events
GroupPOLYMARKET

'Carnaval de Luz' First Week Album Sales?

'Carnaval de Luz' First Week Album Sales?
Vol

PM $1.05

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Events

1

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Markets

5

Current odds

Snapshot from

As of Nov 1, 2026, 9:00 PM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Polymarket is 45k+ at 95%.

Polymarket

  1. 45k+95%
  2. 55k+50%
  3. 65k+50%
  4. 85k+50%
  5. 75k+48%

Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks

PM $1.05

Reported volume · provider units

5

Saved contracts

0

Same-question pairs

Source snapshot: Nov 1, 2026, 9:00 PM UTC

About This Event

"Carnaval de Luz" (U2 / Interscope Records) is expected to release November 13, 2026. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the debut week sales for "Carnaval de Luz", according to Hits Daily Double, are greater than or equal to the specified amount. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the album has not been released by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be the "HITS TOP 50" list found at https://hitsdailydouble.com/sales_plus_streaming, specifically the figure in the column titled "Activity", once the results are finalized for the album's debut week. If this resolution source becomes permanently unavailable, another credible resolution source may be chosen.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.

KalshiCulture
Carnaval De Luz: First Week Pure Album Sales

Carnaval De Luz: First Week Pure Album Sales

K 376 contracts
Will Carnaval De Luz by U2 have above 5000 Pure Album Sales (aka Product Sales) during the November 13, 2026 - November 19, 2026 tracking week?Yes 87.5%
Will Carnaval De Luz by U2 have above 10000 Pure Album Sales (aka Product Sales) during the November 13, 2026 - November 19, 2026 tracking week?Yes 62.5%
Will Carnaval De Luz by U2 have above 80000 Pure Album Sales (aka Product Sales) during the November 13, 2026 - November 19, 2026 tracking week?Yes 55%
+9 moreNext deadline Nov 26, 2026 UTC
KalshiCulture
Carnaval de Luz: First Week Album Equivalent Units

Carnaval de Luz: First Week Album Equivalent Units

K 1.7K contracts
Will Carnaval de Luz by U2 have above 25000 Album Equivalent Units during the November 13, 2026 - November 19, 2026 tracking week?Yes 89.5%
Will Carnaval de Luz by U2 have above 30000 Album Equivalent Units during the November 13, 2026 - November 19, 2026 tracking week?Yes 78.5%
Will Carnaval de Luz by U2 have above 40000 Album Equivalent Units during the November 13, 2026 - November 19, 2026 tracking week?Yes 62%
+7 moreNext deadline Nov 26, 2026 UTC
PolymarketKalshiCulture
Grand Theft Auto VI · The Album: First Week Album Equivalent Units

Grand Theft Auto VI · The Album: First Week Album Equivalent Units

PM $16.9K · K 50.5K contracts

Will "GTA VI: The Album" first week sales be at least 100k?

Kalshi: Will Grand Theft Auto VI: The Album by Grand Theft Auto VI have above 100000 Album Equivalent Units during the November 20, 2026 -November 26, 2026 tracking week?

Related contracts

PM Yes 83.5%Rules differK Yes 91.5%

Will "GTA VI: The Album" first week sales be at least 200k?

Kalshi: Will Grand Theft Auto VI: The Album by Grand Theft Auto VI have above 200000 Album Equivalent Units during the November 20, 2026 -November 26, 2026 tracking week?

Related contracts

PM Yes 24%Rules differK Yes 30.5%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

2 saved comparisonsNext deadline Dec 3, 2026 UTC
KalshiCulture
Grand Theft Auto VI · The Album: First Week Pure Album Sales

Grand Theft Auto VI · The Album: First Week Pure Album Sales

K 25.5K contracts
Will Grand Theft Auto VI: The Album by Grand Theft Auto VI have above 20000 Pure Album Sales (aka Product Sales) during the November 20, 2026 -November 26, 2026 tracking week?Yes 55%
Will Grand Theft Auto VI: The Album by Grand Theft Auto VI have above 140000 Pure Album Sales (aka Product Sales) during the November 20, 2026 -November 26, 2026 tracking week?Yes 54.5%
Will Grand Theft Auto VI: The Album by Grand Theft Auto VI have above 60000 Pure Album Sales (aka Product Sales) during the November 20, 2026 -November 26, 2026 tracking week?Yes 51%
+17 moreNext deadline Dec 3, 2026 UTC
KalshiCulture
Dream Fatigue: First Week Pure Album Sales

Dream Fatigue: First Week Pure Album Sales

K 208 contracts
Will Dream Fatigue by Rex Orange County have above 10000 Pure Album Sales (aka Product Sales) during the November 06, 2026 - November 12, 2026 tracking week?Yes 58.5%
Will Dream Fatigue by Rex Orange County have above 8000 Pure Album Sales (aka Product Sales) during the November 06, 2026 - November 12, 2026 tracking week?Yes 50%
Will Dream Fatigue by Rex Orange County have above 5000 Pure Album Sales (aka Product Sales) during the November 06, 2026 - November 12, 2026 tracking week?Yes 50%
+6 moreNext deadline Nov 19, 2026 UTC
KalshiCulture
Everything Under The Sun: First Week Pure Album Sales

Everything Under The Sun: First Week Pure Album Sales

K 230.94 contracts
Will Everything Under The Sun by Nickelback have above Pure Album Sales (aka Product Sales) during the October 30, 2026 - November 05, 2026 tracking week? (Above 15K)Yes 51%
Will Everything Under The Sun by Nickelback have above Pure Album Sales (aka Product Sales) during the October 30, 2026 - November 05, 2026 tracking week? (Above 20K)Yes 50%
Will Everything Under The Sun by Nickelback have above Pure Album Sales (aka Product Sales) during the October 30, 2026 - November 05, 2026 tracking week? (Above 10K)Yes 50%
+5 moreNext deadline Nov 12, 2026 UTC

Market Insights

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