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Events
GroupPOLYMARKET

South African Reserve Bank Decision in March?

South African Reserve Bank Decision in March?
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PM $0

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Events

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Markets

5

Current odds

Snapshot from

As of Oct 31, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Polymarket is No Change at 48%.

Polymarket

  1. No Change48%
  2. 25 bps decrease42.5%
  3. 50+ bps decrease42%
  4. 25 bps increase42%
  5. 50+ bps increase42%

Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks

PM $0

Reported volume · provider units

5

Saved contracts

0

Same-question pairs

Source snapshot: Oct 31, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC

About This Event

This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the repo rate resulting from the March 2027 meeting of the South African Reserve Bank's Monetary Policy Committee, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting. The resolution source will be official information from the South African Reserve Bank's Monetary Policy Committee, including the statement or release from its March 2027 meeting, scheduled for March 18, 2027, as listed on the official South African Reserve Bank calendar (https://www.resbank.co.za/en/home/calendar). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the South African Reserve Bank's Monetary Policy Committee resulting from its March 2027 meeting with relevant data is issued. If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound. If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of “Increase” or “Decrease” will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size. If the specified meeting is postponed to a date and time before the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve based on the outcome of that postponed meeting. If the specified meeting is cancelled, or postponed such that no decision is announced by the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket. Emergency changes to the specified rate not resulting from the specified meeting will not be considered.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.

PolymarketKalshiEconomy
South Africa rate decision in November

South Africa rate decision in November

PM $1.2K · K 76.6K contracts

Will the South African Reserve Bank make no change to the repo rate at the November meeting?

Kalshi: Will the South African Reserve Bank maintain the current rate at the November Monetary Policy Committee meeting?

Same question, fine print differs

PM Yes 38%Rules differK Yes 79%

Will the South African Reserve Bank increase the repo rate by 25 bps at the November meeting?

Kalshi: Will the South African Reserve Bank hike 1-25bps at the November Monetary Policy Committee meeting?

Related contracts

PM Yes 22%Rules differK Yes 14.5%

Will the South African Reserve Bank increase the repo rate by 50+ bps at the November meeting?

Kalshi: Will the South African Reserve Bank hike more than 25bps at the November Monetary Policy Committee meeting?

Related contracts

PM Yes 4.5%Rules differK Yes 5%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

5 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 19, 2026 UTC
PolymarketEconomy
South African Reserve Bank Decision in January?

South African Reserve Bank Decision in January?

PM $0
Will the South African Reserve Bank decrease the repo rate by 25 bps at the January meeting?Yes 46%
Will the South African Reserve Bank decrease the repo rate by 50+ bps at the January meeting?Yes 45.5%
Will the South African Reserve Bank increase the repo rate by 50+ bps at the January meeting?Yes 45%
+2 moreNext deadline Jan 28, 2027 UTC
PolymarketKalshiEconomics
Fed decision in Dec 2026?

Fed decision in Dec 2026?

PM $11.03M · K 3.50M contracts

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?

Kalshi: Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 0bps at their October 2027 meeting?

Related contracts

PM Yes 27.5%Rules differK Yes 94.5%

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the January 2027 meeting?

Kalshi: Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 0bps at their October 2027 meeting?

Related contracts

PM Yes 72.5%Rules differK Yes 94.5%

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the December 2026 meeting?

Kalshi: Will the Federal Reserve Hike rates by 0bps at their September 2027 meeting?

Related contracts

PM Yes 27.5%Rules differK Yes 82%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

66 saved comparisonsNext deadline Dec 9, 2026 UTC
PolymarketKalshiEconomy
Reserve Bank of India rate decision in December

Reserve Bank of India rate decision in December

PM $22.9K · K 18.2K contracts

Will the Reserve Bank of India increase the policy repo rate by 25 bps at the December meeting?

Kalshi: Will the Reserve Bank of India hike 1-25bps at the December Monetary Policy Committee meeting?

Related contracts

PM Yes 65.5%Rules differK Yes 70.5%

Will the Reserve Bank of India make no change to the policy repo rate at the December meeting?

Kalshi: Will the Reserve Bank of India maintain the current rate at the December Monetary Policy Committee meeting?

Same question, fine print differs

PM Yes 20%Rules differK Yes 20.5%

Will the Reserve Bank of India increase the policy repo rate by 50+ bps at the December meeting?

Kalshi: Will the Reserve Bank of India hike more than 25bps at the December Monetary Policy Committee meeting?

Related contracts

PM Yes 13.5%Rules differK Yes 9.5%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

5 saved comparisonsNext deadline Dec 4, 2026 UTC
PolymarketEconomy
Bank of England Decision in March?

Bank of England Decision in March?

PM $3.7K
Will the Bank of England make no change to the Bank Rate at the March meeting?Yes 60.5%
Will the Bank of England increase the Bank Rate by 25 bps at the March meeting?Yes 33%
Will the Bank of England decrease the Bank Rate by 50+ bps at the March meeting?Yes 9.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Mar 18, 2027 UTC
PolymarketEconomy
Swiss National Bank Decision in March?

Swiss National Bank Decision in March?

PM $2.0K
Will the Swiss National Bank make no change to the SNB policy rate at the March meeting?Yes 61.5%
Will the Swiss National Bank increase the SNB policy rate by 25 bps at the March meeting?Yes 25%
Will the Swiss National Bank decrease the SNB policy rate by 50+ bps at the March meeting?Yes 5.5%
+2 moreNext deadline Mar 18, 2027 UTC

Market Insights

Price gaps of 2 pp+

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Same-question pairs

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No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.

Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.

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