
Reserve Bank of India Decision in February?
PM $435.4
1
5
Reserve Bank of India Decision in February?

PM $435.4
1
5
Current odds
Snapshot from
As of Oct 31, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Polymarket is 50+ bps decrease at 47%.
Polymarket
- 50+ bps decrease47%
- 25 bps decrease44%
- 25 bps increase44%
- No Change43%
- 50+ bps increase28%
Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.
AI Analysis
Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks
PM $435.4
Reported volume · provider units
5
Saved contracts
0
Same-question pairs
Source snapshot: Oct 31, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC
About This Event
This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the policy repo rate resulting from the February 2027 meeting of the Reserve Bank of India Monetary Policy Committee, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting. The resolution source will be official information from the Reserve Bank of India Monetary Policy Committee, including the statement or release from its February 2027 meeting, with the decision to be announced on February 5, 2027, as listed on the official Reserve Bank of India calendar (https://www.rbi.org.in/scripts/BS_PressReleaseDisplay.aspx?prid=62422). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Reserve Bank of India Monetary Policy Committee resulting from its February 2027 meeting with relevant data is issued. If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound. If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of “Increase” or “Decrease” will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size. If the specified meeting is postponed to a date and time before the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve based on the outcome of that postponed meeting. If the specified meeting is cancelled, or postponed such that no decision is announced by the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket. Emergency changes to the specified rate not resulting from the specified meeting will not be considered.
AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.
AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.
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Reserve Bank of India rate decision in December
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Same question, fine print differs
Will the Reserve Bank of India increase the policy repo rate by 50+ bps at the December meeting?
Kalshi: Will the Reserve Bank of India hike more than 25bps at the December Monetary Policy Committee meeting?
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South Africa rate decision in November
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Same question, fine print differs
Will the South African Reserve Bank increase the repo rate by 25 bps at the November meeting?
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Will the South African Reserve Bank increase the repo rate by 50+ bps at the November meeting?
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Bank of England Decision in February?
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South African Reserve Bank Decision in January?
PM $0Market Insights
Price gaps of 2 pp+
0
Same-question pairs
0
No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.
Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.