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Events
GroupPOLYMARKET

Reserve Bank of India Decision in February?

Reserve Bank of India Decision in February?
Vol

PM $435.4

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Events

1

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Markets

5

Current odds

Snapshot from

As of Oct 31, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC, the highest-priced outcome on Polymarket is 50+ bps decrease at 47%.

Polymarket

  1. 50+ bps decrease47%
  2. 25 bps decrease44%
  3. 25 bps increase44%
  4. No Change43%
  5. 50+ bps increase28%

Yes prices. They are not order quotes; check each platform's rules, fees and live prices before trading.

AI Analysis

Trader mode: Market mechanics, assumptions and risks

PM $435.4

Reported volume · provider units

5

Saved contracts

0

Same-question pairs

Source snapshot: Oct 31, 2026, 3:00 AM UTC

About This Event

This market will resolve according to the change in basis points in the policy repo rate resulting from the February 2027 meeting of the Reserve Bank of India Monetary Policy Committee, relative to the level it was prior to this meeting. The resolution source will be official information from the Reserve Bank of India Monetary Policy Committee, including the statement or release from its February 2027 meeting, with the decision to be announced on February 5, 2027, as listed on the official Reserve Bank of India calendar (https://www.rbi.org.in/scripts/BS_PressReleaseDisplay.aspx?prid=62422). This market may resolve as soon as the statement or release of the Reserve Bank of India Monetary Policy Committee resulting from its February 2027 meeting with relevant data is issued. If the specified rate is defined by an upper and lower bound, the relevant change will be the change to the upper bound. If the specified rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded according to the following guidelines. Increases or decreases of less than 25 bps will be rounded to 25 bps (e.g. an increase or decrease of 10 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 25 bps). Increases or decreases of greater than 25 bps will be rounded to the nearest 25 bps and will be rounded away from 0 in cases of equidistance (e.g., an increase or decrease of 37.5 bps would be considered to be an increase or decrease of 50 bps). Displayed options of “Increase” or “Decrease” will include policy rate increases or decreases of any size. If the specified meeting is postponed to a date and time before the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve based on the outcome of that postponed meeting. If the specified meeting is cancelled, or postponed such that no decision is announced by the start of the next scheduled meeting, this market will resolve to the “No Change” bracket. Emergency changes to the specified rate not resulting from the specified meeting will not be considered.

AI-generated analysis based on market data. Not financial advice.

AI-written background. References identify the evidence used; Wikipedia links under Learn More are additional reading. Prices and provider rules are dated snapshots. This is not financial advice.

Prices are catalog snapshots and may have changed. Check each market's rules and observation time.

PolymarketKalshiEconomy
Reserve Bank of India rate decision in December

Reserve Bank of India rate decision in December

PM $22.9K · K 18.2K contracts

Will the Reserve Bank of India increase the policy repo rate by 25 bps at the December meeting?

Kalshi: Will the Reserve Bank of India hike 1-25bps at the December Monetary Policy Committee meeting?

Related contracts

PM Yes 65.5%Rules differK Yes 70.5%

Will the Reserve Bank of India make no change to the policy repo rate at the December meeting?

Kalshi: Will the Reserve Bank of India maintain the current rate at the December Monetary Policy Committee meeting?

Same question, fine print differs

PM Yes 20%Rules differK Yes 20.5%

Will the Reserve Bank of India increase the policy repo rate by 50+ bps at the December meeting?

Kalshi: Will the Reserve Bank of India hike more than 25bps at the December Monetary Policy Committee meeting?

Related contracts

PM Yes 13.5%Rules differK Yes 9.5%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

5 saved comparisonsNext deadline Dec 4, 2026 UTC
PolymarketKalshiEconomy
South Africa rate decision in November

South Africa rate decision in November

PM $1.2K · K 76.6K contracts

Will the South African Reserve Bank make no change to the repo rate at the November meeting?

Kalshi: Will the South African Reserve Bank maintain the current rate at the November Monetary Policy Committee meeting?

Same question, fine print differs

PM Yes 38%Rules differK Yes 79%

Will the South African Reserve Bank increase the repo rate by 25 bps at the November meeting?

Kalshi: Will the South African Reserve Bank hike 1-25bps at the November Monetary Policy Committee meeting?

Related contracts

PM Yes 22%Rules differK Yes 14.5%

Will the South African Reserve Bank increase the repo rate by 50+ bps at the November meeting?

Kalshi: Will the South African Reserve Bank hike more than 25bps at the November Monetary Policy Committee meeting?

Related contracts

PM Yes 4.5%Rules differK Yes 5%

Related or unreviewed contracts may settle differently. Their gap is not an equivalent-contract comparison.

Saved prices; check contract rules.

5 saved comparisonsNext deadline Nov 19, 2026 UTC
PolymarketEconomy
Bank of England Decision in February?

Bank of England Decision in February?

PM $2.0K
Will the Bank of England increase the Bank Rate by 25 bps at the February meeting?Yes 57%
Will the Bank of England make no change to the Bank Rate at the February meeting?Yes 45%
Will the Bank of England decrease the Bank Rate by 25 bps at the February meeting?Yes 2.9%
+2 moreNext deadline Feb 4, 2027 UTC
PolymarketEconomy
Bank of Israel Decision in February?

Bank of Israel Decision in February?

PM $0
Will the Bank of Israel make no change to the Bank of Israel Interest Rate at the February meeting?Yes 49%
Will the Bank of Israel decrease the Bank of Israel Interest Rate by 50+ bps at the February meeting?Yes 43%
Will the Bank of Israel increase the Bank of Israel Interest Rate by 50+ bps at the February meeting?Yes 43%
+2 moreNext deadline Feb 22, 2027 UTC
PolymarketEconomy
Bank of Russia Decision in February?

Bank of Russia Decision in February?

PM $51.24
Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate at the February meeting?Yes 89%
Will the Bank of Russia decrease the key rate by 25 bps at the February meeting?Yes 50.5%
Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate by 50+ bps at the February meeting?Yes 49%
+2 moreNext deadline Feb 12, 2027 UTC
PolymarketEconomy
South African Reserve Bank Decision in January?

South African Reserve Bank Decision in January?

PM $0
Will the South African Reserve Bank decrease the repo rate by 25 bps at the January meeting?Yes 46%
Will the South African Reserve Bank decrease the repo rate by 50+ bps at the January meeting?Yes 45.5%
Will the South African Reserve Bank increase the repo rate by 50+ bps at the January meeting?Yes 45%
+2 moreNext deadline Jan 28, 2027 UTC

Market Insights

Price gaps of 2 pp+

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Same-question pairs

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No outcomes on this page have been reviewed as the same question on both platforms yet.

Price differences do not establish arbitrage. Check each pair's review, current order prices, fees and settlement rules.

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